Illinois: Romney 41% Santorum 32% Gingrich 14%

Rassmussen Reports ^ | 3/15/12 | N/A

[PSYCHO-FREEP]

Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney has the lead in Illinois but lots of voters are still trying to decide in the final days before the state’s GOP Primary.

The first Rasmussen Reports poll in the state shows Romney at 41% and Rick Santorum at 32%. Trailing further back are Newt Gingrich at 14% and Ron Paul at seven percent (7%).

[PSYCHO-FREEP]

Link for details;......

http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/illinois/questions_illinois_gop_primary_march_15_2012

[Principled]

mittens needs 47% of all remaining delegates.

if all he can do is get 41% in illinois...

when and what states are winner take all?

[PSYCHO-FREEP]

Since this is another “OPEN” primary, it is very critical, to the number of how many Democrat crossover “Prank” votes will show at the polls. Just when Romney held a 6 point lead in Mississippi and a slight lead in Alabama, the Democrats showed up and made the difference.

They want Santorum to win in the worst way, so this thing is definitely still up for grabs.

[Paperdoll]

If the Grinch areally wanted to beat Obama and avoid the LDS take over of the government, he would have bowed out gracefully yesterday.

[Clintonfatigued]

Someone, quick, get Rick Santorum into downstate Illinois FAST!!!!!

[PSYCHO-FREEP]

Illinois is a “Direct Election primary”.

Here is a link to the status of all the states as well as the counts; http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/republican_delegate_count.html

[jfd1776]

Illinois is wide open.

Since we vote by congressional district, Romney could have a 60/40 advantage in a Chicago district and win their delegates, and then Santorum could have just a 51-49 advantage in the suburbs or downstate and win their delegates.

Every district is different. Hearing 41-32-etc. isn’t helpful in a state like Illinois. It’s not proportional, in terms of allocating delegates based on percentages.

Delegates (and the alternates too) run to represent their congressional districts.

Incidentally, regarding the claim that Democrats are meddling... oh yes, dems meddle all the time, but they’re more likely to vote for Romney as the moderate they can more easily beat.

The few remaining dems who cross over to vote for Rick are usually doing so because they agree with him on some major issue, so they would be with him in November.

[PSYCHO-FREEP]

Gingrich could bow out, and still may after Tuesday, but either way, you will not like the result. It will not turn out like you think it will.

[dirtboy]

They want Santorum to win in the worst way,

Tell us again how well Republicans crossing over to vote for Obama in the Dem primary worked out. Those stunts have a history of backfiring.

[napscoordinator]

Add Illinois to the states that Gingrich has taken from Santorum....Ohio and Michigan are also on the list. Had Santorum gotten these three states, it would be over for Mittens. Unfortunately quite a few people would rather see Mittens as the nominee then Santorum. Doesn’t say much for them.

[PSYCHO-FREEP]

[mittens needs 47% of all remaining delegates.
if all he can do is get 41% in Illinois...]

That's not quite how it works. You are confusing raw polling data with Delegate allocations. You are not even close to how it works. Santorum needs over 70% after today, and Romney will also get 150 Super Delegates. Ron Paul will also probably hand his delegates over to Romney as well.

[usconservative]

Why? So he can lose worse?

Anyone who knows the demographics of the state knows the overwhelming majority of voters live north of I-80, with most living in Chicago and the suburbs//collar counties. That's historically also been why Chicago democrats control this effing state.

[Paperdoll]

But it will turn out exactly as the Establishment wants it to. My hopes for our future died on December 3.

And I’ve read sevweral very interesting books since them!

[Right_in_Virginia]

Since this is another “OPEN” primary, it is very critical, to the number of how many Democrat crossover “Prank” votes will show at the polls. . . They want Santorum to win in the worst way, so this thing is definitely still up for grabs.

Now why would Democrats want Santorum to win a GOP primary? (/sarc)

[TitansAFC]

Gotta be honest, I think Santorum has a shot here.

He has delegate issues in a few districts, but he may win statewide. A huge chuck of Newt folks here are casting for Rick to beat Romney.

Most of them held out, but Newt just didn’t rise here in time.

Newt will underperform polling, Rick will overperform. Just what I’m seeing. Been doing this a while now, and I can tell you Rick will benefit from Newt voters trying to slow Romney.

Of my phone “tree” of Newt folks, nearly everyone who is in a district where Rick can take the delegates is going to vote for Santorum. Though nobody is apparently casting for him in the troubled districts.......

[Christie at the beach]

Dang—always wanted Newt to go one on one to Romney.

Santorum keeps getting in the way. The insiders wrote this like a script. (Turn curse, folks)

[Christie at the beach]

Turn course.............

[Clintonfatigued]

In the midwestern primaries, there has been a distinct urban/rural split, with Romney winning the cities and suburbs and Santorum sweeping small towns and rural areas. There is every reason to expect that pattern to repeat itself in Illinois.

[Bailee]

“I got some real concerns about this movement with in the republican party and tea party movement to sorta re-fashion conservatism. and I will vocally and publicly appose it and uh do my best to correct the record.”

Rick Santorum.

Dont take my word go listen.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P8smmN5QWf8

[org.whodat]

Wrong, I think you mean to say the voters are getting in the way because they seem to disagree with you.