mittens needs 47% of all remaining delegates.
if all he can do is get 41% in illinois...
when and what states are winner take all?
Illinois is a “Direct Election primary”.
Here is a link to the status of all the states as well as the counts; http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/republican_delegate_count.html
That's not quite how it works. You are confusing raw polling data with Delegate allocations. You are not even close to how it works. Santorum needs over 70% after today, and Romney will also get 150 Super Delegates. Ron Paul will also probably hand his delegates over to Romney as well.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/republican_delegate_count.html
About 800 of the 1200 remaining delegates are in winner-take-all states or districts, or ones that become winner-take-all if a candidate hits a percentage threshold of the vote.
Illinois (direct delegate election by district)
Pennsylvania (direct delegate election by district)
West Virginia (direct delegate election by district)
California (WTA by district or a mix?)
New York (WTA by district or a mix?)
Texas (WTA by district or a mix?)
Connecticut (WTA by district or a mix?)
Maryland (WTA by district or a mix?)
Wisconsin (WTA by district or a mix?)
New Jersey (WTA by district or a mix?)
Puerto Rico (pure WTA statewide)
Washington D.C. (pure WTA statewide)
Delaware (pure WTA statewide)
Utah (pure WTA statewide)
There’s another interesting way you can vote in Illinois. You can select Newt as your presidential choice, but vote for Santorum’s delegates. The presidential pick is nothing but a straw poll that’s non-binding. The delegates you pick are what counts. If it’s true that Santorum didn’t get delegates on every district ballot, then you may also want to vote for Newt’s delegates as a substitute. You could even go nuts and vote for one Newt, one Rick, one Mitt and one Paul delegate on your ballot. A good option for the undecided voter. ;)