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To: Principled; PSYCHO-FREEP; napscoordinator; TitansAFC
IL is winner-take-all by district in the form of a direct delegate election. Mitt's, Newt's, Rick's and Paul's delegates are all shown on the ballot by name. Whichever 3 or 4 per district get the most votes are the winners. So if this poll holds and Mitt's delegates win 41% of the vote in a district, they win 100% of the delegates with 41% of the vote. He could sweep the state if that poll holds in every district. But as people have said here some districts are more heavily liberal and some more conservative, so it remains to be seen what districts will end up being "could've, would've, should've" districts where the combined Newt and Rick vote could have switched Romney from being the winner to the loser.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/republican_delegate_count.html

About 800 of the 1200 remaining delegates are in winner-take-all states or districts, or ones that become winner-take-all if a candidate hits a percentage threshold of the vote.

Illinois (direct delegate election by district)
Pennsylvania (direct delegate election by district)
West Virginia (direct delegate election by district)
California (WTA by district or a mix?)
New York (WTA by district or a mix?)
Texas (WTA by district or a mix?)
Connecticut (WTA by district or a mix?)
Maryland (WTA by district or a mix?)
Wisconsin (WTA by district or a mix?)
New Jersey (WTA by district or a mix?)
Puerto Rico (pure WTA statewide)
Washington D.C. (pure WTA statewide)
Delaware (pure WTA statewide)
Utah (pure WTA statewide)

60 posted on 03/18/2012 2:14:37 PM PDT by JediJones (The Divided States of Obama's Declaration of Dependence: Death, Taxes and the Pursuit of Crappiness)
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To: JediJones
I talked to Newt's staff and I ask for Newt to stay in.

I know santorum will never step aside. Now, the media is

pushing the 2 weakest candidates on us. Reality- 2 Game players.

63 posted on 03/18/2012 2:27:52 PM PDT by Christie at the beach (I like Newt and would love to see political dead bodies on the floor.)
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To: JediJones

It won’t hold in every district.

Santorum will win many downstate districts, and most of their delegates. Where Santorum will have a fight is otherwise Conservative places like DuPage County, and some important districts where he could have won a REPUBLICAN Primary and gotten more delegates, but failed to field any.

He could still win the state. I will say this: it looks like most Newt voters who COULD be persuaded to vote for Rick to beat Mitt WILL do so. This is of benefit to Santorum, because it means the “split” of where Newt voters would go if he wasn’t in the race won’t apply, and Rick will do as well as he possibly could have in IL when all is said and done.


84 posted on 03/18/2012 3:21:50 PM PDT by TitansAFC (Newt-torum can broker 1144 delegates in August - THEY CAN DO IT!!!)
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