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Republican Hard and Soft Count Delegate Summary
Green Papers ^ | March 7, 2012

Posted on 03/07/2012 10:32:50 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife

Republican Hard and Soft Count Delegate Summary

Total Delegates: 2,286 (1144 needed to win) 2012 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions Chronologically

This is a good chart to study to get a feel for the delegate "count" jungle.

And think about this when you hear a candidate or their PAC "demand" another candidate withdraw. (Newt and Rick are very close in the count -- actually Newt looks potentially stronger).

The candidates know these numbers and they play the MSM and the MSM plays us.

Stay informed.


TOPICS: Extended News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: delegates; gopprimary; hardcount; softcount
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1 posted on 03/07/2012 10:32:57 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

So, Romney is ahead of all the other candidates combined?


2 posted on 03/07/2012 10:38:06 AM PST by marron
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

And if Newt successfully contests Florida’s delegate allocation, he could take a significant chunk of Romney’s 50 delegates.


3 posted on 03/07/2012 10:43:07 AM PST by BuckeyeTexan (Man is not free unless government is limited. ~Ronald Reagan)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

It just baffles me how two people can look at the same information, and come away with two diametrically opposed views.

Newt has now won his past home state and a neighbor state.

Santorum has won a number of states, and has nearly 50% more delegates.

Santorum just won three of ten states, none of which were his home state.

Newt just won one of ten states, that WAS his old home state.

How does this translate to Newt actually being in a better position going down the road? What has he won recently that wasn’t his home state?

All this spin is going to accomplish, is Newt’s supporters viewing him in an unrealistic light, and keeping him in just long enough to ensure Romney the nomination.

Newt IS NOT playing the role of a statesman here. He is now playing the role of an egotistical spoiler that will sell out Conservatism in the end.

Nobody but Romney will win, if Newt persists. It is crystal clear he has failed. I can’t change that. You can’t change that. Only the voters can change that, and Newt isn’t winning them over.

Super Tuesday is over. The voters have had their say.

Newt..., please come to your senses.


4 posted on 03/07/2012 10:51:05 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Abortion? No. Gov't heath care? No. Gore on warming? No. McCain on immigration? No.)
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To: DoughtyOne

If it means a brokered convention, so be it.

I’d rather have romney ANY DAY over Father Rick. So, if Newt does drop out, I’m in Mitts camp.

I think a lot of people feel the same. So, how does Newt’s dropping out help Rick?


5 posted on 03/07/2012 10:58:10 AM PST by Reagan69 (I supported Sarah Palin and all I got was a lousy DVD !)
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To: DoughtyOne

Newt is the only candidate that can successfully take on the MSM and BO.

Heaven help us if Santorum is the nominee, as he will turn into the human pretzel when responding to the MSM onslaughts.


6 posted on 03/07/2012 10:58:47 AM PST by IWONDR
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To: BuckeyeTexan
And if Newt successfully contests Florida’s delegate allocation, .....

We've been told this will be considered at the Convention in Tampa. I think they'll be waiting to see if they need to forgive the FL GOP their primary transgressions and award all 99 FL delegates to Mitt if it will help him to 1144 delegates and the nomination -- or if they can do the right thing and give Newt his share (those delegates where to be awarded proportionally if the contest was held before March 1 -- and FL moved their primary to Jan 31). They accepted being docked to 50 delegates but awarded them all to Mitt, even though Newt won close to 32% of the popular vote -- to Mitt's 46%. And Newt won the majority of Congressional districts).

7 posted on 03/07/2012 11:01:40 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: marron

By hook and by crook — Mitt’s ahead.


8 posted on 03/07/2012 11:05:57 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: DoughtyOne
Come On FReepers & Other Conservatives -

If you REALLY WANT TO STOP Myth-Rom - Let's make a deal NOW - In the Primary:

Gingrich and Santorum are killing each other. - by xzins (Since 1998)

Rick and Newt need to get together and cream Romney. - by Linda Frances

* Rick as temp Placekeeper Nominee *

The FR Golden Gate Plan! => Post 55 "GOP Brokered Primary Now!" thread

Quinn: “If you want to know what the democrats are up to, look at what they are accusing the Republicans of.”

- Quinn & Rose - warroom.com

9 posted on 03/07/2012 11:06:45 AM PST by Golden Gate
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To: DoughtyOne

Did you look over the chart I linked to as the basis for this thread? Or are you just using the MSM “count?”


10 posted on 03/07/2012 11:08:45 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: DoughtyOne
Look this over, it's less cluttered. Though the one above gives more information.
11 posted on 03/07/2012 11:13:14 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: DoughtyOne
Super Tuesday gains in delegates:

12 posted on 03/07/2012 11:13:24 AM PST by Brown Deer (Pray for 0bama. Psalm 109:8)
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To: Reagan69

“I’m in Mitts camp.
I think a lot of people feel the same.”

Uh, not around here, Reagan69.
You lost me on that one.


13 posted on 03/07/2012 11:15:02 AM PST by Mountain Mary ("This is OUR country and WE will decide"... Mark Levin)
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To: DoughtyOne

Look, pledged delegates do the nominating. Not the unpledged. It is the arithmetic now, and Newt’s got the arithmetic margin lead in pledged delegates against Romney.

Read em and weep. Santorum simply won the wrong states. He won states with fewer delegates in the first place. He won caucus states and not primary states in the second place. Until last night he had not won a single primary state.

He is stuck with UNPLEDGED delegates. Horse race continues.


14 posted on 03/07/2012 11:16:41 AM PST by RitaOK (LET 'ER RIP, NEWT. Newt knows where all the bodies are buried, because he buried them.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Mark for later. Good post.


15 posted on 03/07/2012 11:17:08 AM PST by Ms. AntiFeminazi
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To: Reagan69
If it means a brokered convention, so be it.

Mitt only needs about 75 more delegates and he's half way to the nomination.

Okay, so he winds up at the convention with roughly 1050 delegates.  Santorum shows up with 700, Newt shows up with 550.  It is honestly your judgment that the delegates vote Gingrich over either other guy?  Why would these folks be loyal to Newt?  Their constitutents wouldn't have supported him.

I’d rather have romney ANY DAY over Father Rick. So, if Newt does drop out, I’m in Mitts camp.

Okay, then you're on the record of supporting Mr. Government Healthcare and friend of abortion over a man who is neither.  If that makes sense to you, so be it.  It doesn't to me.

I am also curious why you would try to slam a guy by refering to him as Father anything.  Don't your morals, our Founding Documents, our guaranteed rights owe their very adoption in their present format to the reality that men based their beliefs on a Judao Christian God?

We have expressed the desire to see our government draw more nearer to our Founding Ideals based on Judao Christian beliefs, here we have a guy who agrees, and you're all fired up to vote for a man who is closer to Ted Kennedy than our Founders.

Say what?


I think a lot of people feel the same.

A lot of people give this stuff very little thought.  They see Republican leaders supporting Mitt Romney, and that's all they need to know.  Off to the races to vote for Mitt.  That's why many of us are sick and tired of the Republican Party leadership.  They can't even find a reason to stand up to Obama as of this date.  Here you are expressing agreement with those sorts of people.

Why would you want to vote for Obama lite to represent us this fall.  Anyone even tempted to vote for that guy as an Independent or a Democrat, would merely vote for the real thing.  Why waste a vote on a pretender?

So, how does Newt’s dropping out help Rick?


Newt would drop out and pledge as many of his delegates as he could, to Rick Santorum.  Then Santorum could enter the future races with Newt's old support.

Rick Santorum could have won Ohio with the voters who voted for Perry and Huntsman.  They stood on principle and gave Romney the win.  How screwed up is that?

I know you mean well, but I think you've bought off on way too much of the anti-Santorum propaganda.

We could have develped much the same type of list about Newt, but we didn't want to operate that way.  Besides, it was the forum policy not to.

16 posted on 03/07/2012 11:21:47 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Abortion? No. Gov't heath care? No. Gore on warming? No. McCain on immigration? No.)
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To: Mountain Mary

I agree!

NO MORE RINOS!

Rick and Newt will take each other on for delegates. Period.

Newt, on a shoe string against all odds, worked the tactical wins. Rick thought this race was about popular wins.

Hillary thought that too.

Newt rocks in the brains catagory and the media knows it. That is exactly why the delegate count is in the freezer.


17 posted on 03/07/2012 11:25:04 AM PST by RitaOK (LET 'ER RIP, NEWT. Newt knows where all the bodies are buried, because he buried them.)
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To: DoughtyOne

I repeat. Hillary made the same mistake Santorum has made.


18 posted on 03/07/2012 11:26:44 AM PST by RitaOK (LET 'ER RIP, NEWT. Newt knows where all the bodies are buried, because he buried them.)
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To: Brown Deer

Newt’s margin of gain was mostly related to two things. He was trailing in previous delegate counts, and he was a shoe-in in his old state, one that assigned delegates in a block.

He is not projected to be winning any other states at this point. Because of proportionality he will gain more delegates, but you have to win states to gain on the others.

I may be wrong, but I’ll be quite surprised to see Newt win another state. Yesterday he won one state, his old home state.

He failed to win one other one.


19 posted on 03/07/2012 11:28:46 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Abortion? No. Gov't heath care? No. Gore on warming? No. McCain on immigration? No.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Do you honestly see Newt winning states going forward?

I do not. I think he has won his last state primary.

So far he has won his old home state and a neighbor state to his old home state.

I do not think Santorum has won his last one.

First it was Perry. Now it’s Newt. Sorry Cincinatus’ Wife, I’m not buying pre-packed knockwurst here.

Quit trying to sell it to me.


20 posted on 03/07/2012 11:37:53 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Abortion? No. Gov't heath care? No. Gore on warming? No. McCain on immigration? No.)
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