Posted on 03/07/2012 10:32:50 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
Republican Hard and Soft Count Delegate Summary
Total Delegates: 2,286 (1144 needed to win) 2012 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions Chronologically
This is a good chart to study to get a feel for the delegate "count" jungle.
And think about this when you hear a candidate or their PAC "demand" another candidate withdraw. (Newt and Rick are very close in the count -- actually Newt looks potentially stronger).
The candidates know these numbers and they play the MSM and the MSM plays us.
Stay informed.
So, Romney is ahead of all the other candidates combined?
And if Newt successfully contests Florida’s delegate allocation, he could take a significant chunk of Romney’s 50 delegates.
It just baffles me how two people can look at the same information, and come away with two diametrically opposed views.
Newt has now won his past home state and a neighbor state.
Santorum has won a number of states, and has nearly 50% more delegates.
Santorum just won three of ten states, none of which were his home state.
Newt just won one of ten states, that WAS his old home state.
How does this translate to Newt actually being in a better position going down the road? What has he won recently that wasn’t his home state?
All this spin is going to accomplish, is Newt’s supporters viewing him in an unrealistic light, and keeping him in just long enough to ensure Romney the nomination.
Newt IS NOT playing the role of a statesman here. He is now playing the role of an egotistical spoiler that will sell out Conservatism in the end.
Nobody but Romney will win, if Newt persists. It is crystal clear he has failed. I can’t change that. You can’t change that. Only the voters can change that, and Newt isn’t winning them over.
Super Tuesday is over. The voters have had their say.
Newt..., please come to your senses.
If it means a brokered convention, so be it.
I’d rather have romney ANY DAY over Father Rick. So, if Newt does drop out, I’m in Mitts camp.
I think a lot of people feel the same. So, how does Newt’s dropping out help Rick?
Newt is the only candidate that can successfully take on the MSM and BO.
Heaven help us if Santorum is the nominee, as he will turn into the human pretzel when responding to the MSM onslaughts.
We've been told this will be considered at the Convention in Tampa. I think they'll be waiting to see if they need to forgive the FL GOP their primary transgressions and award all 99 FL delegates to Mitt if it will help him to 1144 delegates and the nomination -- or if they can do the right thing and give Newt his share (those delegates where to be awarded proportionally if the contest was held before March 1 -- and FL moved their primary to Jan 31). They accepted being docked to 50 delegates but awarded them all to Mitt, even though Newt won close to 32% of the popular vote -- to Mitt's 46%. And Newt won the majority of Congressional districts).
By hook and by crook — Mitt’s ahead.
If you REALLY WANT TO STOP Myth-Rom - Let's make a deal NOW - In the Primary:
Gingrich and Santorum are killing each other. - by xzins (Since 1998)
Rick and Newt need to get together and cream Romney. - by Linda Frances
* Rick as temp Placekeeper Nominee *
The FR Golden Gate Plan! => Post 55 "GOP Brokered Primary Now!" thread
Quinn: “If you want to know what the democrats are up to, look at what they are accusing the Republicans of.”
Did you look over the chart I linked to as the basis for this thread? Or are you just using the MSM “count?”
“I’m in Mitts camp.
I think a lot of people feel the same.”
Uh, not around here, Reagan69.
You lost me on that one.
Look, pledged delegates do the nominating. Not the unpledged. It is the arithmetic now, and Newt’s got the arithmetic margin lead in pledged delegates against Romney.
Read em and weep. Santorum simply won the wrong states. He won states with fewer delegates in the first place. He won caucus states and not primary states in the second place. Until last night he had not won a single primary state.
He is stuck with UNPLEDGED delegates. Horse race continues.
Mark for later. Good post.
I agree!
NO MORE RINOS!
Rick and Newt will take each other on for delegates. Period.
Newt, on a shoe string against all odds, worked the tactical wins. Rick thought this race was about popular wins.
Hillary thought that too.
Newt rocks in the brains catagory and the media knows it. That is exactly why the delegate count is in the freezer.
I repeat. Hillary made the same mistake Santorum has made.
Newt’s margin of gain was mostly related to two things. He was trailing in previous delegate counts, and he was a shoe-in in his old state, one that assigned delegates in a block.
He is not projected to be winning any other states at this point. Because of proportionality he will gain more delegates, but you have to win states to gain on the others.
I may be wrong, but I’ll be quite surprised to see Newt win another state. Yesterday he won one state, his old home state.
He failed to win one other one.
Do you honestly see Newt winning states going forward?
I do not. I think he has won his last state primary.
So far he has won his old home state and a neighbor state to his old home state.
I do not think Santorum has won his last one.
First it was Perry. Now it’s Newt. Sorry Cincinatus’ Wife, I’m not buying pre-packed knockwurst here.
Quit trying to sell it to me.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.