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Santorum moves ahead in Michigan (Santorum 39, Romney 24, Paul 12, Gingrich 11)
Public Policy Polling ^ | 2/13/12 | staff

Posted on 02/13/2012 8:12:57 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009

Rick Santorum's taken a large lead in Michigan's upcoming Republican primary. He's at 39% to 24% for Mitt Romney, 12% for Ron Paul, and 11% for Newt Gingrich.

Santorum's rise is attributable to two major factors: his own personal popularity (a stellar 67/23 favorability) and GOP voters increasingly souring on Gingrich. Santorum's becoming something closer and closer to a consensus conservative candidate as Gingrich bleeds support.

Santorum's winning an outright majority of the Tea Party vote with 53% to 22% for Romney and 10% for Gingrich. He comes close to one with Evangelicals as well at 48% to 20% for Romney and 12% for Gingrich. And he cracks the 50% line with voters identifying as 'very conservative' at 51% to 20% for Romney and 10% for Gingrich.

Santorum's benefiting from the open nature of Michigan's primary as well. He's only up by 12 points with actual Republican voters, but he has a 40-21 advantage with the Democrats and independents planning to vote that pushes his overall lead up to 15 points. Santorum is winning by a healthy margin in every region of the state except for Oakland County, where Romney has a 40-26 advantage, and the area around Lansing where Paul actually has an advantage at 30% to 27% for both Romney and Santorum.

(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Michigan
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; backstabberromney; biggestloserhistory; biggovt; bigspender; dcinsider; earmarks; gingrich; lostby30pointsinpa; mi2012; michigan; mitt4romney; openbordersrick; openprimary; poll; ppp; ppppoll; proillegals; protaxes; prounion; romney; romney4bigdig; romney4romney; romneyantiteaparty; santorum; santorum4romney; unionbiasedtaxagenda
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To: ohioWfan

Good for your 30 year old son and good for you. But you just proved my point. Do you not realize that we are talking about human beings and men in particular. So Saint Rick has never made any mistakes that speak to his character. Give me a break. We all sin and seek forgiveness, including Rick Santorum. Character is built over a lifetime. Jesus had his strongest words to the self-righteous. Seems he thought it the one of the worse sins. Just saying. We are looking for someone with courage and the ability to move the country forward. Like I said I will vote for Rick if he gets for enough. But he will not win. You may not like that, but for what it is worth, get back with me after the election.


141 posted on 02/13/2012 10:24:22 AM PST by dt57
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To: Old Retired Army Guy
Paul will never drop out, but it is time for Newt to go

Much of Paul's support will return back to the dems anyway.

142 posted on 02/13/2012 10:24:41 AM PST by ScottinVA (GOP, meet Courage... Courage, meet GOP.)
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To: ohioWfan; PSYCHO-FREEP
This comment is truly insane. Unbelieveable that anyone other than a hardcore leftist would ever say such a stupid thing.

I just asked him/her if they're really and truly insane or if their crazy act is just an act. I really want to know.

143 posted on 02/13/2012 10:25:07 AM PST by pgkdan (Rick Santorum 2012. Conservative's last, best chance!)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Newt was correct that it’s down to a “two-man race”....he just got the most-viable alternative to Romney wrong.

http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/ppp-santorum-leads-romney-15-points_626728.html


144 posted on 02/13/2012 10:26:33 AM PST by RasterMaster ("Towering genius disdains a beaten path." - Abraham Lincoln)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Love it!


145 posted on 02/13/2012 10:33:08 AM PST by b4its2late (Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I am not sure about the former.)
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To: TShaunK

How has newt “self-destructed?”. I think he has had plenty of help from so-called conservatives, filthy political ads, MSM, and idiots who are hung up on this new term, “electable.”. This alone should make everyone flock to Gingrich.


146 posted on 02/13/2012 10:33:58 AM PST by Toespi
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To: ConservativeTeen
Good, me too whenever we vote in NY.

Hey Mitt, time to quit!

147 posted on 02/13/2012 10:34:15 AM PST by b4its2late (Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I am not sure about the former.)
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To: napscoordinator

I won’t complain if Santorum wins the nomination. Defeating Romney is our priority right now, and if Rick comes out on top, then so be it. I just never imagined him being someone to bring out Reagan Democrats. I guess it wouldn’t hurt to have social conservatism in our corner as a backup plan in case the Obama regime keeps cooking the numbers to make people think that the economy is recovering.

Rick has had several weeks now to come up with material for next Wednesday’s debate. Let’s hope he doesn’t squander this opportunity like Newt in Florida.


148 posted on 02/13/2012 10:34:30 AM PST by Cato in PA (1/26/12: Bloody Thursday)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP

Wow... PSYCHO-FREEP, take it easy.. I only assumed that you may be a college kid based on the fact that most college kids don’t understand our form of government, that a president cannot fire a member of congress... perhaps you were speaking in hyperbole and I failed to understand your meaning....


149 posted on 02/13/2012 10:36:32 AM PST by dps.inspect (the system is rigged...)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP

Wow... PSYCHO-FREEP, take it easy.. I only assumed that you may be a college kid based on the fact that most college kids don’t understand our form of government, that a president cannot fire a member of congress... perhaps you were speaking in hyperbole and I failed to understand your meaning....


150 posted on 02/13/2012 10:36:44 AM PST by dps.inspect (the system is rigged...)
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To: KansasGirl

I believe that the most sensible way to interpret the support that Santorum gets from Indy&Dem voters (evangelical, etc.) “who intend to vote in the primary” is that there are many conservative Dems and Indys (of which I could count myself) who can’t stand Obama, distrust Romney and Paul, and worry about Mr.Newt. In other words: interpret it straight up, as opposed to how some “operation chaos” fearmongers encourage.


151 posted on 02/13/2012 10:37:31 AM PST by AFPhys ((Praying for our troops, our citizens, that the Bible and Freedom become basis of the US law again))
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To: All
Democrat polling firm PPP is now the favorite of Santorum supporters.

Pray he gets the full-force vetting deserved before its too late.

152 posted on 02/13/2012 10:38:34 AM PST by newzjunkey (Romney vs. Santorum? The establishment wins.)
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To: Cato in PA
I look at it this way. We have never had a complete whole social conservative run before. This is an election where people are disillusioned by the way principles and morals are falling everyday. I bet it will be refreshing for people to actually vote for someone with character. I think Santorum could win in a landslide. All those family values folks who didn't like McCain can PROUDLY step up and vote for Santorum. I for one will run to the polling center with such excitement. Also I will help to elect Santorum something I did not do for McCain.
153 posted on 02/13/2012 10:40:18 AM PST by napscoordinator (A moral principled Christian with character is the frontrunner! Congrats Santorum!)
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To: ohioWfan

This guy’s modus-operandi is always the same. Name calling and rude remarks. He is one of about 8 that does the same. He is probably responsible for driving a nice sized contingent away from Newt by his remarks, thereby helping the cause for Rick. There is zero chance of having a reasoned argument or discussion with him without this happening. Some people are just that way. Wear it as a badge of honor. His home page says he has nothing to prove but his name calling and rude remarks say otherwise. Typical keyboard bravery.


154 posted on 02/13/2012 10:40:23 AM PST by FresnoRobert (When born, you cried and the world rejoiced. Live your life so that when you die, it's reversed.)
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To: KansasGirl; TexasFreeper2009
I cannot find anything from PPP showing if the survey was of:
Registered Republicans
Likely voters
Or, WHAT?
They only say this in their press release:
PPP surveyed 404 Republican primary between February 10th and 12th. The margin of error for the survey is +/-4.9%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews. PPP is a Democratic polling company, but polling expert Nate Silver of the New York Times found that its surveys in 2010 actually exhibited a slight bias toward Republican candidates.
Can anyone interpret this???
155 posted on 02/13/2012 10:45:58 AM PST by Ooh-Ah
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To: napscoordinator

The clock is ticking and it sounds like the bank account is nearing empty. I don’t think Newt should get out yet, but if Rick takes Michigan and does well in the South, I think it will be time.


156 posted on 02/13/2012 10:46:30 AM PST by FresnoRobert (When born, you cried and the world rejoiced. Live your life so that when you die, it's reversed.)
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To: dt57
Just because we're supposed to forgive as people doesn't mean I trust that person to be hired as CEO of the government.

Five serious candidates want the job. As a member of the board of directors of the Michigan branch, I choose from.
The current failure. Obama.
Mitt Romney. A guy who tries to be everything to everyone and inspired the failure. He's out.
Ron Paul. I like him, but voting for him would help Romney.
Newt Gingrich. Good Newt and Bad Newt. Good Newt can be really good and bad Newt is awful. Global Warming is also a dealbreaker issue with me, and he was on the coach with Pelosi. His cheating on his past wives casts doubts on his word. Is he lying about what he's going to do as president? That's my concern. Maybe he's been good this time. That's between him and Calista. Forgiveness is one thing. Trusting him with CEO is another. I have voted for a cheater before when he's kept his word to voters on every other issue. On it's own, it's a black mark, but not a dealbreaker with me. In addition, he's not competing in my state. Ok. I'm not going to waste my vote.

Santorum - Pro-life. Pro-2nd Amendment. Voted against Nafta (a good thing). Voted for the balanced budgets, but also the bad ones. Polling the best against Romney. Competing in my state. Worked his way up from a working class background compared to Romney. Santorum is who he is and I know what to expect from him.

I would have actually voted for Perry if he was still in, but he's out. I know he endorsed Newt, but politician endorsements mean little with me.

157 posted on 02/13/2012 10:48:48 AM PST by Darren McCarty (Rick Santorum in the primary)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP; ohioWfan

I don’t believe that there is much of any difference in the way the discussion was carried out by either side on this thread from the standpoint of “personal attacks”.


158 posted on 02/13/2012 10:49:49 AM PST by AFPhys ((Praying for our troops, our citizens, that the Bible and Freedom become basis of the US law again))
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To: newzjunkey

ARG is Republican and had Santorum up by 6.


159 posted on 02/13/2012 10:51:14 AM PST by Darren McCarty (Rick Santorum in the primary)
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To: Logical me
Beating a dead horse.
160 posted on 02/13/2012 10:52:01 AM PST by First A Patriot (Resistance to tyranny is obedience to God)
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