Posted on 01/25/2012 4:29:10 AM PST by TBBT
Surging since his South Carolina Republican presidential primary win, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich wipes out a 12-point lead by Mitt Romney to tie the former Massachusetts governor in Florida, according to a Quinnipiac University poll release today. The final tally is 36 percent for Romney to 34 percent for Gingrich among likely voters in the Florida Republican presidential primary, but Gingrich gets 40 percent to 34 percent for Romney among likely voters surveyed after the South Carolina primary. Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum receives 13 percent to 10 percent for Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul.
—Gingrich gets 40 percent to 34 percent for Romney among likely voters surveyed after the South Carolina primary—
Despite being outspent by untold millions. Newt is probably still trending up, or plateauing.
My only fear is that he goes into the prevent defense in the next debate, but that’s doubtful, given his personality. The applause will help too.
I am still worried. Romney, the establishment, and Matt Drudge are pulling out all the stops. It will be very difficult to pull out. A Santorum drop out/endorsement would certainly help...
Jeez, I hate to tell them this, but most people know who won in SC so what in the hell is anyone doing screwing around with a meaningless piece of crap poll that was taken in 2007, or 2010 or before the South Carolina 2012 vote was reported?
The more I see of the long knives, the more likely I’ll stay home if Willard is the nominee.
Why is it that 10% of the republicans, or so called republicans, or whatever you want to call them, insist on voting for that nut case Paul? Do they REALLY think that guy can save America? Bring EVERY trooper home from overseas and build our Atlantic and Pacific walls to keep the invaders out? Is THAT what this guy proposes for the future?
The results of the separate poll results (before/after) the SC primary, are contained here... http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=1694 FLORIDA Dates Sample Gingrich Romney Santorum Paul Quinnipiac (post SC primary) 1/22 - 1/23 325* 40 34 11 6 FLORIDA Dates Sample Gingrich Romney Santorum Paul Quinnipiac (pre SC Primary) 1/19 - 1/22 276* 26 37 15 15
actually this poll captures exactly what is happening.
Romney was ahead in Florida before South Carolina, then Gingrich started surging and is now way ahead in Florida while Romney and Santorum fade.
Probably 38-34. Early voting tave Milt an estimated 2% jump.
I’ve pretty much quit watching FNC.
One thing that scares the electorate is that Romney looks like a McCain clone—and sentient beings do not want another candidate who’s cheerleading for his opponent—or who is utterly confused about what’s going on.
I saw that after I posted.....thanks
Which is one example why Newt’s so-called “baggage” is so irrelevant to the problems facing this country, that voters will react negatively to the people who trot it out because they will resent the distraction from the real issues.
One problem is some of the early voting went to Perry before he dropped out. Someone has to tell these early voters that patience is a virtue. Heck, any of these guys could drop dead tomorrow. Give it some time before committing, folks.
LOL, why don’t they give us a headline with Newt’s average approval rating from 1994 to now. That’s a real useful statistic.
I wonder what O.J. Simpson’s average approval rating was counting the 3 days before he killed Nicole and the 3 days after.
Right, and the Florida Chamber of Commerce just released a poll designed to tell folks that the Newt surge is over.
Poll is done by Cherry Hill farms or something like that, and only asks registered voters...says the race is tied at 33 a piece
Hearing mixed reports on how many voted in Florida prior to Newt surge? Heard 100 to 220,000 ? Someone said 500,000 but that I believe was inaccurate
I wonder if there is any kind of estimate how much of a lead Mittens gets from that? Any guesses.
Maybe/hopefully under 100,000 votes...Newt can overcome that!!! If only Santorum would drop out...he has a right to be in, absolutely, but really he has little chance of being more than a spoiler
I caught one panel discussion this morning where the backroom Mitch Daniels idea was being supported. And the Friends also played the Nutty Nancy clip over and over wondering—what does she know??? Gretchen figured it was something else about those ethics violations that only Nancy knows. Puleeze.
Wow, enlightening. Yet they get away with it.
“but Gingrich gets 40 percent to 34 percent for Romney among likely voters surveyed after the South Carolina primary”
Interesting methodology....is this a poll taken over time....odd.
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