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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: katiedidit1
Santorum is who he is, a former US Senator with thousands of votes on bills which you can find disagreement on. However, when comparing Santorum to Perry, it's no contest in my mind. Both have issues in their pasts. But, Perry has numerous recent issues which I strongly disagree with. Those, combined with his his ongoing misstatements (today's was the bridge to nowhere being in Arizona) leads me to believe he would not do well in a National election.

On the other hand, Santorum has been articulate, Conservative and intelligent during this campaign. Now, that could change and I'm sure the media will set their sites on him in the days to come, but also with his new surge will come much more camera time in the upcoming debates. In other words, if he is as good a campaigner as he claims to be, he has a chance.

721 posted on 01/03/2012 7:19:24 PM PST by Rational Thought
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To: show

Why will the South back Newt? He’s from Pennsylvania.

Do they have more serial adulterers down south?


722 posted on 01/03/2012 7:19:48 PM PST by Palladin (No Newts!)
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To: onyx

Yeah...just saw her. I love her, but what’s up with that hair? Is she trying out for Jersey Shore next summer? Snooki’s hairdo...sheesh!


723 posted on 01/03/2012 7:20:03 PM PST by Pharmboy (She turned me into a Newt! 2012)
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To: onyx

Sarah really needs to come out and endorse Newt before SC. He would wrap the nomination up after SC and FL if she did.


724 posted on 01/03/2012 7:20:03 PM PST by TitansAFC (Mitt Romney gets less bang for the buck than John-Freaking-Huntsman.)
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To: caww

“Perry never had his heart in the race to begin with as his “interviews” for the job attested to early on. he wasn’t prepared and he isn’t now either.... He loves being Gov. of Texas and he’ll be delighted to get back to it very soon...that’s where his heart is.”

That’s all so true.


725 posted on 01/03/2012 7:20:13 PM PST by CainConservative ( Newt/Rubio 2012 with Cain, Bolton, Santorum, Perry, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: onyx

Sounds to me like Sarah Palin likes Newt too.


726 posted on 01/03/2012 7:20:25 PM PST by topfile
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To: AmericanInTokyo

They hate Santorum because he is 100% pro-life. A young pregnant woman decided against an abortion after channel surfing one night in 1998 and hearing him speak these words before an almost empty Senate chamber in defense of the unborn:

http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/CREC-1998-09-17/pdf/CREC-1998-09-17-pt1-PgS10545-2.pdf#page=2

Google “Santorum CSPAN miracle” for the story.


727 posted on 01/03/2012 7:20:25 PM PST by Deo volente (God willing, America will survive this Obamination.)
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To: vooch; 50mm; darkwing104; Old Sarge; TheOldLady; Admin Moderator; Jim Robinson
SPIFF.

Last post before Dec. 2011 was Feb.2005.

Springing up posts like mushrooms for Ron Paul Tonight.

(Springs out of way of ozone-laced Purina delivered at relativistic speed).

Cheers!

728 posted on 01/03/2012 7:20:43 PM PST by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: RitaOK

I simply don’t have any faith in Santorum. He is a go along to get along politician — the Spector endorsement proved that. He comes across as a too eager boy scout who can’t quite make the grade.


729 posted on 01/03/2012 7:20:58 PM PST by varina davis (We grow too soon old and too late smart -- Pennsylvania Dutch adage)
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To: onyx

Between this and Colmes BS yeaterday, they must need to hire new/more operators.

Liberal job creation.


730 posted on 01/03/2012 7:20:59 PM PST by Norm Lenhart (Curse you, Norm Lenhart! Im slain, crumpled in a ditch by your obvious superiority - Humblegunner)
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To: onyx

Palin noted positive points about each candidate, not just Newt. I look for her to ultimately endorse Santorum if he remains this strong, based on social conservatism and values. She also said she was proud of Bachmann but clarified that she just doesn’t see how Bachmann goes forward unless she wants to spend personal money. And I agree, no one every quits running for President, they just run out of money.


731 posted on 01/03/2012 7:21:15 PM PST by bigbob
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To: RitaOK

NEWT is my man...Perry next. Newt is on cspan NOW...I just love his brilliance and know he would turn this country around. He is ON tonight


732 posted on 01/03/2012 7:21:18 PM PST by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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To: Diogenesis

FOX News is lying and pimping for Romney 24/7.
+++++++++++
Thanks for the report. We need someone monitoring Faux News.

You’re the one. The rest of us? Well, we’re boycotting the Bash-Newt, Nominate-Romney and Elect-Obama Network.


733 posted on 01/03/2012 7:21:25 PM PST by InterceptPoint (TIN)
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To: onyx

As well Gov. Palin should. He is the only one praising her- and offering a job of Secretary of Energy. The rest shun her.

I think she steps up in SC - and if she starts campaigning for Newt-, it’s Katie bar the door. -:)


734 posted on 01/03/2012 7:21:49 PM PST by VinL (It is better to suffer every wrong, than to consent to wrong.)
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To: novemberslady

Go Santorum!!!!


735 posted on 01/03/2012 7:21:54 PM PST by Huber (And the light shineth in darkness; and the darkness comprehended it not. - John 1:5)
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To: novemberslady

Go Santorum!!!!


736 posted on 01/03/2012 7:22:00 PM PST by Huber (And the light shineth in darkness; and the darkness comprehended it not. - John 1:5)
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To: Sun

Sorry for that ma’am. :)

Yes, it will be a long and difficult road, but the first steps have been taken. For that we should be thankful.


737 posted on 01/03/2012 7:22:06 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: CainConservative
Santorum winning in 32 counties
Newt winning 0
Paul winning 16
Willard winning 16
Perry winning 0
Michele winning 0

Actually:
Winneshiek County
Gingrich 104 27%
Romney 93 25%
Paul 88 23%
Santorum 67 18%
Perry 21 6%
Bachmann 8 3%
Huntsman 5 2%
No Preference 1 <1%
Other - -

738 posted on 01/03/2012 7:22:06 PM PST by bondserv (God governs our universe and has seen fit to offer us a pardon.)
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To: Diogenesis

Your right Santorum is leading now.


739 posted on 01/03/2012 7:22:10 PM PST by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: Palladin
It’s a mystery to me, also. Santorum has experience in the Senate; he has an impeccable personal life; he is youthful and attractive; he is 100% conservative. What’s not to like?

He flatlines in his delivery.....needs a dose or two of self-confidence on the campaign trail and a little more excitement wouldn't hurt him either.

I could vote for him quite easily...if my guy falters down the road....He'd be my second choice....but I would have concerns how he'd stand in a debate with Obama....when he interviews with journalists etc. they can get him off guard too easily....he's too polite and they run over him for that rather than stand his ground which he'll have to do up against Obama.

740 posted on 01/03/2012 7:22:13 PM PST by caww
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