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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: Yankee

Yes indeed. Newt and Perry will take Romney and Santorum to the woodshed in the next couple of primaries.


681 posted on 01/03/2012 7:11:39 PM PST by varina davis (We grow too soon old and too late smart -- Pennsylvania Dutch adage)
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To: caww

Iowa is proving itself a joke. Open Primary and a lower actual “Republican” turn out.


682 posted on 01/03/2012 7:11:54 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC:DONATE MONTHLY! Sarah's New Ping List - tell me if you want on it.)
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To: Proud2BeRight

Oh, and I have not even gotten to how crackpot Paul screws up the “promote the geneal welfare” second most important objective of the uS Constitution.

No, I don’t mean the definition that the socialists have pevereted to build entitlements. I mean how that jerk has no problem expanding by tens of millions the number of people destroying families, neighborhoods, and US productivity with a massive growth in drug freaks.


683 posted on 01/03/2012 7:12:08 PM PST by Proud2BeRight
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To: gswilder

Romney will not beat Obama. Romney will savagely go after any conservative that is in his way but will be all nicey nicey with Obama, just like McCain. And the democrats will be their usual viscious selves.

Ford, Bush Sr., Dole, McCain, Romney. Wake up. These types never go after democrats, only conservatives so the gravy train keeps flowing.


684 posted on 01/03/2012 7:12:13 PM PST by cotton1706
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To: Parley Baer
Oh it is going to be politically open season on poor Rick Santorum from the State Controlled Media, Politico, Un-Named Sources, Made Up Smears, Tax Records from 35 years ago, papers written in high school, Oppos within the DNC, you name it the whole kitchen sink at him. Even he said it is now coming. He does not relish it, either for himself or his family, he has been through it before. Just watch how nasty they will give him holy hell, while giving their favorites, Willard and Crazy Uncle in the Attic an absolute Free Pass. Take it to the Bank. It is definitely his turn in the MSM barrel of horrors. It starts tomorrow, no doubt. For that reason alone, Herman Cain should endorse him to give a middle finger to these "journalists" in the tank for RINOS and Obama.

685 posted on 01/03/2012 7:12:28 PM PST by AmericanInTokyo (If FR slowly morphs from anti-Romney, via rationalizing, into supporting him like McCain, FR is over)
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To: WilliamHouston
"(2) As things stand today, the military is used to defend South Korea, Lithuania, Greece, France, and Japan, but not to protect the American Southwest from an invasion of millions of illegal aliens."

You forgot Germany, one of the biggest expenditures, or the biggest.

686 posted on 01/03/2012 7:12:28 PM PST by matthew fuller ("If the past sits in judgment on the present, the future will be lost." Winston Churchill)
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Wondering what the count is on the Sarah Palin write-in? I know she got some votes but will the MSM report it?


687 posted on 01/03/2012 7:12:31 PM PST by VastRWCon (The Middle Class is the Tea Party)
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To: ari-freedom

No, just give him the axe.


688 posted on 01/03/2012 7:12:47 PM PST by duffee (NEWT 2012)
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To: caww

Thanks for the response .... and goodnight.


689 posted on 01/03/2012 7:12:53 PM PST by Boston Blackie
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To: gswilder

Come on folks, who else can beat Obama, if not Romney? I am not saying I like Romney, or he will beat Obama. But none of the other republicans can beat Obama.

***

Keep saying it ...over and over. Until you begin to believe it.

Oh, seems you’ve already done that.


690 posted on 01/03/2012 7:13:06 PM PST by LibsRJerks
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To: SamAdams76

Geez! I just heard the guy on ABC radio news say that 30% were supporting Ron Paul because they’re looking for a “true conservative.”


691 posted on 01/03/2012 7:13:14 PM PST by aruanan
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To: parksstp
I saw that. The left has been working to politicize the military. They've had some success by working the Ron Paul angle.

The specter of this guy showing up in uniform in Iowa to campaign for a presidential candidate ought to be disturbing.

692 posted on 01/03/2012 7:13:20 PM PST by kristinn (Dump the Chump in 2012)
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To: BillyBoy

Someday BillyBoy....you may just get current about Newt along with the rest of the nation instead of re-laying old news that carries no truth to it.

Are you enjoying carrying the Romney agenda for him?


693 posted on 01/03/2012 7:13:20 PM PST by caww
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To: Lynne

Didn’t Gov. Carroll Campbell tell them to vote for GHWB, and they did?


694 posted on 01/03/2012 7:13:44 PM PST by Theodore R. (I'll still vote for Santorum if he is on the April 3 ballot.)
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To: Free Vulcan

Bill Kristol must not be a Mittens man, he’s pointed out Mitten’s shortcommings in even reaching 30,000 votes three times in the last half hour. With only 27% of precincts reported it seems like rank speculation to make such a jump once.


695 posted on 01/03/2012 7:14:01 PM PST by swamprebel (Where liberty dwells, there is my country.)
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To: gswilder
Wrong.

# 1, Romney will not have the Republican base. That is a Fact, no matter who he were to choose as a running mate. FACT

#2 Free Republic is an ANTI-ROMNEY website per the founder. Romeny will NEVER have the Conservative base. In fact, the Conservative base will continue to expose his Liberalism.

Happy New Year!!

Welcome to Free Republic, America's exclusive site for God, Family, Country, Life & Liberty conservatives!

ObamaCare = RomneyCare = CommieCare. NO Romney! NO WAY!!

696 posted on 01/03/2012 7:14:22 PM PST by show
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To: Revolting cat!

Newt won’t win SC either . His adultery and 3rd wife won’t go over with southern voters. I think it will be between Perry and Romney.

Folks want a candidate to rally around sooner rather than later. I think the NH primary will set the stage for a run off in SC and a finale in FL


697 posted on 01/03/2012 7:14:31 PM PST by not2worry
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To: Free Vulcan

Bill Kristol must not be a Mittens man, he’s pointed out Mitten’s shortcommings in even reaching 30,000 votes (like he did in 2008), three times in the last half hour. With only 27% of precincts reported it seems like rank speculation to make such a jump once.


698 posted on 01/03/2012 7:14:37 PM PST by swamprebel (Where liberty dwells, there is my country.)
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To: DB

I didn’t vote for Obama, rest assured. And I’ll support any candidate who eliminates O-Care outright. I hate that I am going to be forced to pay for other peopple’s abortions.


699 posted on 01/03/2012 7:14:55 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: Deo volente

Santorum - 12,231 - 24%
Romney - 12,124 - 24%
Paul - 11,117 - 22%

41% reporting

GO SANTORUM!!!


700 posted on 01/03/2012 7:15:01 PM PST by ScottinVA (Liberal logic: 0bamacare mandate is acceptable... but voter IDs are unconstitutional.)
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