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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: Prokopton
Maybe because that is what he just publicly stated he's going to do.

ha! I guess his pockets weren't that deep after all. Thanks for the reply.

1,761 posted on 01/03/2012 10:10:16 PM PST by naxetevitan
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To: MaxMax

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2012/01/03/michelle_obama_i_kind_of_like_being_called_your_excellency.html

More of the same....


1,762 posted on 01/03/2012 10:10:50 PM PST by Sleeping Freeper
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To: CedarDave
I am writing Sarah Palin and Herman Cain tomorrow, as a donor to both of their campaigns (2008 and 2011), and am going to ask them to get off the GD fence and not give this thing to ROMNEY but coalesce behind one Conservative, and politely ask that they endorse Rick Santorum for President and also encourage their supporters and contributors to support the man, join his troops on the ground, and appear jointly with him. I would say those of you of like mind join me in peppering their Facebook pages and e mails with such a request. Particularly if Gov. Rick Perry pulls the plug down in Texas -- as it appears.

We have got to stop this ROMNEY ASAP and SEIZE THE PARTY. Tea Party needs to be mobilized ASAP as well as the churches (in S. Carolina, Florida, etc). Karl Rove, Laura Ingraham, Michael Medved, et al and Fox News (up until now) needs to be bitchslapped something good, and I mean yesterday. EAGLES UP.

1,763 posted on 01/03/2012 10:10:50 PM PST by AmericanInTokyo (If FR slowly morphs from anti-Romney, via rationalizing, into supporting him like McCain, FR is over)
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To: tennmountainman
Is that you Bret?

Let's say 100 voters, 50 male and 50 female and let say Newt got 10% of the vote. 5 males and 5 females, or 10% of the male vote and 10% of the female vote. See how that works? Cool.

1,764 posted on 01/03/2012 10:11:08 PM PST by jpsb
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To: parksstp

I think there’s just one Romney precinct left with Santorum up by 20. 4/1 Santorum.


1,765 posted on 01/03/2012 10:11:17 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: berdie

#1752 :0(


1,766 posted on 01/03/2012 10:11:37 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
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To: RitaOK

Rita, you clearly know Perry better than I do, but I respect his saying he’s going to pray on it, and I assume, consult with his close advisers, family, and financial backers. That seems consistent with his character, just as you say, but I don’t think the outcome is a given. For one thing, SC has a 10% unemployment rate, vs. 5% in Iowa, so that should say that Perrys’ job-creation plans would be well-received in SC. I’d like to see him stay in the race.


1,767 posted on 01/03/2012 10:12:19 PM PST by bigbob
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To: RitaOK

I also hope Perry endorses Newt Gingrich.


1,768 posted on 01/03/2012 10:12:24 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC:DONATE MONTHLY! Sarah's New Ping List - tell me if you want on it.)
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To: parksstp

Santorum +34 99.5 percent counted.

Just about 500 votes left outstanding. Still TCTC.


1,769 posted on 01/03/2012 10:12:48 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: onyx; Windflier; caww; All

Gingrich has new aggressive stance against Romney
Associated Press By SHANNON McCAFFREY | AP – 12 mins ago

http://news.yahoo.com/gingrich-aggressive-stance-against-romney-054707226.html


1,770 posted on 01/03/2012 10:13:22 PM PST by STARWISE (The overlords are in place .. we are a nation under siege .. pray, go Galt & hunker down)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

So we ride together, FRiend? :D


1,771 posted on 01/03/2012 10:14:09 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: STARWISE

Did you hear Fox say Santorum spend $1.65 per vote

and

Romney spent $113.00 per vote.

My decimals are in the correct place! lol
~~~~~~

I’m now on Romney’s speech. It’s more like a stump speech. He is trying to be inspiring, but is not.


1,772 posted on 01/03/2012 10:14:09 PM PST by thouworm (.)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Right on.


1,773 posted on 01/03/2012 10:14:09 PM PST by Mozilla
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To: bigbob

I’ve been to Casey’s, better coffee and doughnuts, but nothing like hitting the small town bakery’s that are using 3rd generation recipes.


1,774 posted on 01/03/2012 10:14:24 PM PST by reaganaut (If Romney is a conservative then I'm the frickin Angel Moroni.)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Latest from CSPAN

Rick S 29,908

Romney 29,874


1,775 posted on 01/03/2012 10:14:28 PM PST by Tennessee Nana
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To: BenKenobi

Hancock and Hardin counties still out, where Santorum is winning handily.


1,776 posted on 01/03/2012 10:14:47 PM PST by Deo volente (God willing, America will survive this Obamination.)
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To: BenKenobi

Calling it now.

SANTORUM just won his first primary.

Congrats SANTORUM.


1,777 posted on 01/03/2012 10:15:17 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: STARWISE
Onyx: Romney rented a huge ballroom for his glorious win that’s not a win! LOL.

Hee hee... How embarrassing. I'm loving it!

Yes indeed. Tell that confetti guy to hold up until the cameras stop rolling .. LOL

1,778 posted on 01/03/2012 10:15:37 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: thouworm

Romney presented himself as the typical BIG MONEY Candidate who is PRIVILEGED and therefore, does not need to tell you a damn thing. Screw him.


1,779 posted on 01/03/2012 10:15:46 PM PST by antceecee (Bless us Father.. have mercy on us and protect us from evil.)
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To: STARWISE

LOL @ your confetti guy.

Yep, he rented a huge ballroom for his victory that’s not a victory.

Har! I guess the victory is still undecided, but it doesn’t matter now.

Romney congratulated Santorum.

Pretty funny.


1,780 posted on 01/03/2012 10:15:46 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC:DONATE MONTHLY! Sarah's New Ping List - tell me if you want on it.)
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