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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: teg_76

That is your opinion. Bachmann needs to do her job in Congress and Perry with his propensity to trip over his tongue and brain in a debate would lose against Obama. I think far from losing we still have a chance.


1,141 posted on 01/03/2012 8:24:11 PM PST by antceecee (Bless us Father.. have mercy on us and protect us from evil.)
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To: pollywog

Hard to believe how close this is. Feels like election night 2000 all over again !


1,142 posted on 01/03/2012 8:24:28 PM PST by gswilder
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To: BenKenobi

Only 55% of this Country is pro-life so why is it a losing issue supposedly. It is only a losing issue to the Country Club wives.

Pray for America


1,143 posted on 01/03/2012 8:24:28 PM PST by bray (Romney is the Establishment)
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To: AFveteran

I am certain us bible thumpers know what is most important right now. Many people are suffering terribly right now. What is most important is to get a real conservative into office that can change that as quickly as possible. If not, the republic is doomed.


1,144 posted on 01/03/2012 8:24:38 PM PST by CSI007
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To: HapaxLegamenon; Mind-numbed Robot
I've been having a bad run the last week or so of flaming people to a crisp, then getting blowback for it.

So I'll trying saying this calmly.

Yes, I quite agree. The statement that "We lost in 1992, 1996, and 2008..." was *not* mine.

It belonged to the person I was replying to (and I was correcting them, just like you are).

I included it in italics in my post as a courtesy.

Thanks for your attention.

MNR, indirect courtesy *PING* : I'll try to calm down my instant pit-bull mode.

cheers!

1,145 posted on 01/03/2012 8:24:38 PM PST by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: Shortstop7

“I do NOT understand how anyone can support Ron Paul...”

The dopey leftist pukes support him, and are obviously engaged in a massive dirty trick by registering as Republicans just to vote for him, while spamming EVERY poll, month after month for “their” guy.

It should be a rule... if you switch over to vote Republican in a primary, you CANNOT vote democrat in the general election. These immoral cretins, though, don’t have the slightest reservation about cheating... and why would they? That’s how they get by in life.


1,146 posted on 01/03/2012 8:24:52 PM PST by Pravious
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To: jwalsh07

Good Point, he’s toast. </Sarc>


1,147 posted on 01/03/2012 8:24:55 PM PST by HapaxLegamenon
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To: HapaxLegamenon; Mind-numbed Robot
I've been having a bad run the last week or so of flaming people to a crisp, then getting blowback for it.

So I'll try saying this calmly.

Yes, I quite agree. The statement that "We lost in 1992, 1996, and 2008..." was *not* mine.

It belonged to the person I was replying to (and I was correcting them, just like you are).

I included it in italics in my post as a courtesy.

Thanks for your attention.

MNR, indirect courtesy *PING* : I'll try to calm down my instant pit-bull mode.

cheers!

1,148 posted on 01/03/2012 8:25:00 PM PST by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: Yankee

Rick Santorum is the Southerner? Good thing we’ve got SC coming up, but he’s down 125 right now to Romney.

We’d best not give Romney the lead, gives him more ground that has to be made up.


1,149 posted on 01/03/2012 8:25:15 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: sockmonkey

Sorry, I refuse to vote for a sockmonkey.


1,150 posted on 01/03/2012 8:25:16 PM PST by Palladin (No Newts!)
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To: AFveteran

“Bible thumpers?” Buddy, you’re on the wrong site to be going after Christians.


1,151 posted on 01/03/2012 8:25:16 PM PST by Cato in PA (Hope and pray for the Santorum surge!)
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To: antceecee

I don’t think you understood my post based on your response.


1,152 posted on 01/03/2012 8:25:27 PM PST by teg_76
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To: altura

The weird thing is, Romney, Paul, Santorum and Gingrich are simply cults of personality. None of them actually run anything and excepting Paul have been out of office too long.

All armchair quarterbacks except for Perry.


1,153 posted on 01/03/2012 8:25:33 PM PST by txhurl (Perry/Pence 2012 OR Perry/Ryan 2012 or even better Perry/Abbott 2012!)
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To: Proud2BeRight

I know people on here complain that Santorum couldn’t beat Obama, but I disagree. What Americans want is a Conservative and an American. Santorum fits both.

I think, despite all of the gnashing of teeth about Romney, that we saw a victory for Conservatism. Think about it...the Conservative vote FAR outflanked the moderate/Democrat vote. If you take out 30% of Romney’s vote and 48% of Ron Pauls, that means that they performed POORLY among the Republican base. If we had one or 2 solid Conservatives running, not 4, we would be winning big.


1,154 posted on 01/03/2012 8:25:33 PM PST by chilepup
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To: fatima

OMG! THAT CORPORAL IS BACK SPEAKING AT A POLITICAL RALLY IN UNIFORM.

I guess that means the Army endorses Ron Paul now? I hope that kid gets walled-to-walled tomorrow.


1,155 posted on 01/03/2012 8:25:48 PM PST by parksstp (Articulate Conservatives look for Converts. RINO's look for Democrat Heretics.)
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To: AFveteran

Bookmark.


1,156 posted on 01/03/2012 8:25:54 PM PST by antceecee (Bless us Father.. have mercy on us and protect us from evil.)
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To: Prokopton

Nice try. But Perry will endorse Newt. Stay tuned......


1,157 posted on 01/03/2012 8:26:03 PM PST by CainConservative ( Newt/Santorum 2012 with Cain, Huck, Bolton, Perry, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: altura; All

“I don’t think Santorum is bad enough to lose to Obama but it would be close.”

Trust me, Santorum’s time is coming, this week.

The Mainstream Media ABSOLUTELY HATES THIS GUY, because of his anti-gay stances.

MARK MY WORDS, the venomous explosion of hatred you are going to see directed at him now, will make the orgy of media Palin hate PALE in comparison.


1,158 posted on 01/03/2012 8:26:13 PM PST by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
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To: Shortstop7

**I do NOT understand how anyone can support Ron Paul.**

But does he have Soros money behind him?


1,159 posted on 01/03/2012 8:26:26 PM PST by Salvation ("With God all things are possible." Matthew 19:26)
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To: sockmonkey
I am also, but I have one zinger. I have full blooded American Indians three or four generations back, on both sides of my family. Just waiting for La Raza to try to tell me that the country belongs to them.
1,160 posted on 01/03/2012 8:26:26 PM PST by Yulee (Village of Albion)
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