Posted on 10/07/2011 11:31:56 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Unfortunately, it looks like the forces of smear, slander, and threat have finally claimed their intended victim. With Palin's announcement that she won't run for president, the election is essentially over.
The calculus is fairly simple: the media and GOP establishment want Romney to be the nominee. Once a progressive is at the head of the Republican ticket, low turnout for Republicans will hand a narrow victory to Obama.
So here is how the election will go. The media hasn't seriously opened up on Herman Cain, but most assuredly they will. Cain has been in business for decades, and the liberal media will troll through every relationship, every business deal, every word he has ever spoken. If that fails, the lies will start. To see evidence of this, we need not look at far as Palin. Rick Perry, another progressive, was attacked for something that someone painted on a rock on land his family leased out. That narrative will be used to attack both Perry and Cain -- Perry for having "allowed" it and Cain for making a big deal over "nothing." Both narratives will be forwarded, potentially in the same program. Once the liberal media goes through Cain's past with a fine-toothed comb, they will doubtless find disgruntled business adversaries, accusations of infidelity, and more.
If Palin had been in the race, the smear tactics would have failed, as the establishment and media threw everything they could possibly throw to get her out of the race. Who knows what her personal reasons, in her heart of hearts, were for not running? Perhaps she feared for the safety of her family. At any rate, there is no other conservative that has as much of a head start on the slander as Palin did....
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
Interesting point. I hadn’t thought of it that way.
“The way he’s going with the economy is still trending into a death spiral, the Cookie Monster could run against Obozo and win in a landslide.”
I agree.
Cain might pull it off, but don’t discount Perry. Perry’s funding means a campaign that will reach more voters. Those 2 are the best conservative choices. We risk getting Romney if conservative split on those two. Cain, Perry or even Romney will beat Obama.
This election will not be a cakewalk for the GOP, but Obama will not be extremely difficult to defeat. The US economy is still going to be very soft on election day and that will be the biggest issue in the election. I don’t think attacks on Perry, Cain, or any other GOP candidate are really effective given the huge number of personal attacks that have occurred in elections over the last 20 years. It takes an awfully serious and substantiated accusation to get the attention of the voters after all the attacks they’ve seen in recent years. When people go in to cast their votes in November 2012 they are going to care about the economy and not about relatively minor issues raised in MSM attacks on the GOP candidate.
Cain could give Obama a thrashing but he’s a risky candidate because we really don’t know how well the GOP’s conservative base in the battleground states will support an African-American candidate, especially after seeing the disastrous policies of the first black president. The results of a Cain-Obama election are very tough to predict: Cain could win in a huge landslide if conservative white voters turn out to vote for him and he wins just 30% of the black vote nationwide. But Cain could also lose if white voters are simply unenthusiastic about Cain and there is a low GOP turnout.
Perry could crush Obama if he just moves to the right on immigration and health care and develops a solid alternative health care policy to replace the dreadful Obamacare law. Perry needs to work on his speaking and develop just a dozen long paragraphs on the key issues that he can repeat in answers to questions (with some variation from day to day). Perry needs to push the simple powerful message that Obamacare has seized control of the health care costs of business owners and business is reacting to Obamacare by minimizing hiring and headcount. Business owners are minimizing the number of people they employ in an effort to minimize the risk of uncontrolled health care costs dictated by Washington. Trust me on this, business owners are terrified by the way Washington has seized control of their health care costs and created a huge uncertain future financial risk for all business owners and corporate managers. Their natural reaction to this new financial risk is absolutely killing job growth in America. Perry and other GOP candidates need to make this point forcefully and continually about how Obamacare is killing job growth in American and how this problem will get even worse as full implementation of Obamcare in 2014 moves closer.
Perry can crush and destroy Obama next year if improves his communication skills and gets his message across to voters, especially about how he can get our economy and job growth rolling again (...repeal and replace Obamacare is a great start). Perry has very strong, appealing personal style and charm, as does Romney, but Romney is way too liberal for Republicans and will never win the nomination. Both Cain and Perry can crush Obama next year, but Cain is the riskier candidate and Perry is almost a sure winner if he moves to the right on immigration and improves his message on how he will successfully repeal and replace Obamacare and get our economy rolling again.
I don’t know him and not familiar with his work, but I fully reject the premise of the article (and in fairness I’ve just skimmed it so far, I am in remote area with slow internet for a few hours...).
I’ll read it in light of the “drama queen” template. The header is definitely melodramatic.
Maybe but how many of his hard core base did he lose with his last debate and especially a very clear stand against a border fence and for amnesty? He lost me forever right there. If he can't win those folks back AND forge ahead to new converts he is toast in the primary. I don't care about his funding. Word of mouth and the bloggers will overcome the media campaigns.
Precisely. I think she was/is making a lot of assumptions of her overall popularity. Seriously. After spending the last six months doing a “now you see me, now you don’t” fan-dance, she’s kicked sand in the face of her most fanatical supporters and not only made them feel mad, she made them feel foolish.
She could find she’s not quite the item she was last month now that she’s no longer in the running.
RINO’s run the GOP. Romney has already bought and paid for the “R” nomination. That’s IMO why Sarah won’t run, because she said in essence in her announcement that she wouldn’t be responsible for handing Obama the win by going third party.
She didn’t say it in those words, but she did infer that in what she said IMO.
I think what she did was the only way she could go.
Leftists (as in Dems, and RINO’s) will probably put together a third party regardless with some anus orifice ringer to syphon votes from Romney. It’s the only way Obama will win a second term IMO. I could be wrong. Been there before, but we shall see.
Cain's Godfather Pizza did come in 10th place competing against other pizza chains.
How's that for an example of successful competition? ;)
i appreciate the effort. I doubt it will work. At the very least, I hope it will put pressure on our current group of candidates who need to do much better.
The calculus is very simple.
Cain was a Romney supporter in 2008 and endorsed Romney before Super Tuesday, 2008 when all candidates were in play and a strong showing on Super Tuesday would have propelled any candidate to the top.
Cain still supports Romney today.
Cain was not taking winning the Iowa Caucuses very seriously.
Cain is not taking the campaign very seriously right now as he hawks his book instead focusing on the campaign.
Cain has left his old pal, Romney, to lock up key donors while he locks up his book sales at Barnes & Nobles.
Romney Rounds Up Backing Among Key G.O.P. Donors
If there is one person that is helping Romney to become the GOP nominee, that person is Herman Cain.
“Please, Big Guy in the Sky, let this analysis be wrong.”
It isn’t analysis. It is well digested BS of the highest order.
bttt
Cain is the man of the hour and this author is out to lunch!
Then you shouldn't have had any problem with my post and refrained from more of your "FUtroll" responses. Your comments are all too often full of hate and venom for anyone who disagrees - particularly if they point out that Palin is not some conservative savior and wasn't going to run.
As far as Perry -- have his supporters post *substance* and I'll look at the substance.
What is needed is constructive criticism instead of needless invective and rage directed against Perry. I criticize his debate performances and positions on immigration all the time, but realize he may be our only realistic shot at stopping Romney. How about you be a little more thoughtful about the fact that one of these remaining candidates is the only thing standing between Romney the chameleon and the nomination - and for all his flaws Perry may be the only one with the money and proper campaign organization to do it.
And yes, Cain is experiencing a boomlet right now, but your kidding yourself if you think his campaign infrastructure and money situation combined with him being a political novice won't spell trouble down the line. Enough with the "unconventional campaign" nonsense we heard from Palin supporters. It is and always has been a fantasy. You'd be setting yourself up for a massive letdown if you throw all in with Cain the way your and others did with Palin. Nothing wrong with supporting Cain, but no reason to shred Perry in the process since we may just need him later.
How about just lighten up. Stop telling people effing trolls when you don't like what they have to stay. Stop calling people morons when you disagree with them. We all have the same goal - nominating someone other than Romney and defeating Hussein.
Cheers back at ya!
If anyone on our side of the aisle is *&&^%* stupid enough to stay home and not vote in 2012, then you need to have your head checked.
Romney is not my guy, but he is way better than Obama. If we have control of the Congress with enough Tea Party candidates, we can control the narrative in DC.
People stayed home in 06 and 08 and look at the crap that got us.
Think strategically people....not tactically.
All the candidates were in play? Who? The Huckster, McLame, and Nut Paul?
There are valid criticisms of Cain. Cain's support of Romney isn't one of them.
BTW, didn't your Perry endorse pro abort Rudy Tooty back in 2007?
Unbelievable.
The next important event in the 2012 Presidential election is eleven months away.
Everyone can go back to sleep.
When Rasmussen announces after Labor Day 2012 that it’s Obama 35, Romney 25, neither 40 something will happen, but not before.
By the way, I will not vote for Romney because it will do nothing but put a pretty face on Obamunism.
Given the choice between a socialist and a socialist, people will choose the real socialist every time.
It’ll work in the sense that we aren’t giving up or giving into the entrenched establishment elites. This isn’t a movement to try and force Palin into the race. We hope to show our support for her and to the movement she has led since taking her message to the national scene and build on it.
Your argument is that Perry can win if he becomes a better liar. Really, what good will that do?
Romney will be easy for Obama to beat, and Romney is a done deal.
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