This election will not be a cakewalk for the GOP, but Obama will not be extremely difficult to defeat. The US economy is still going to be very soft on election day and that will be the biggest issue in the election. I don’t think attacks on Perry, Cain, or any other GOP candidate are really effective given the huge number of personal attacks that have occurred in elections over the last 20 years. It takes an awfully serious and substantiated accusation to get the attention of the voters after all the attacks they’ve seen in recent years. When people go in to cast their votes in November 2012 they are going to care about the economy and not about relatively minor issues raised in MSM attacks on the GOP candidate.
Cain could give Obama a thrashing but he’s a risky candidate because we really don’t know how well the GOP’s conservative base in the battleground states will support an African-American candidate, especially after seeing the disastrous policies of the first black president. The results of a Cain-Obama election are very tough to predict: Cain could win in a huge landslide if conservative white voters turn out to vote for him and he wins just 30% of the black vote nationwide. But Cain could also lose if white voters are simply unenthusiastic about Cain and there is a low GOP turnout.
Perry could crush Obama if he just moves to the right on immigration and health care and develops a solid alternative health care policy to replace the dreadful Obamacare law. Perry needs to work on his speaking and develop just a dozen long paragraphs on the key issues that he can repeat in answers to questions (with some variation from day to day). Perry needs to push the simple powerful message that Obamacare has seized control of the health care costs of business owners and business is reacting to Obamacare by minimizing hiring and headcount. Business owners are minimizing the number of people they employ in an effort to minimize the risk of uncontrolled health care costs dictated by Washington. Trust me on this, business owners are terrified by the way Washington has seized control of their health care costs and created a huge uncertain future financial risk for all business owners and corporate managers. Their natural reaction to this new financial risk is absolutely killing job growth in America. Perry and other GOP candidates need to make this point forcefully and continually about how Obamacare is killing job growth in American and how this problem will get even worse as full implementation of Obamcare in 2014 moves closer.
Perry can crush and destroy Obama next year if improves his communication skills and gets his message across to voters, especially about how he can get our economy and job growth rolling again (...repeal and replace Obamacare is a great start). Perry has very strong, appealing personal style and charm, as does Romney, but Romney is way too liberal for Republicans and will never win the nomination. Both Cain and Perry can crush Obama next year, but Cain is the riskier candidate and Perry is almost a sure winner if he moves to the right on immigration and improves his message on how he will successfully repeal and replace Obamacare and get our economy rolling again.
Your argument is that Perry can win if he becomes a better liar. Really, what good will that do?
Romney will be easy for Obama to beat, and Romney is a done deal.