[Note: above is clickable to NWS Storm Prediction Center]
Posted on 05/24/2011 6:44:43 AM PDT by FourPeas
[Note: above is clickable to NWS Storm Prediction Center]
ZCZC SPCPWOSPC ALL WOUS40 KWNS 240919 ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-241800-
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0419 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011
...TORNADO OUTBREAK EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS AND OZARKS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY...
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS AND OZARKS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
WESTERN AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS WESTERN AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA NORTH TEXAS
ELSEWHERE...SURROUNDING THE AREA OF GREATEST RISK...SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THE MID MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND STATES.
A STRONG JET STREAM DISTURBANCE NOW OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN DESERTS WILL SWEEP EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES TODAY...AND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT...BEFORE REACHING THE OZARKS EARLY WEDNESDAY.
AS THIS OCCURS...AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN AND MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO CENTRAL KANSAS.
STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL SOUTHERLY WINDS EAST OF THE LOW WILL TRANSPORT INCREASINGLY WARM AND HUMID AIR NORTHWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS AND OZARKS...BENEATH UNUSUALLY STRONG WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS IN THE JET STREAM.
SCATTERED INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN AN ARC FROM CENTRAL KANSAS SOUTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO NORTH TEXAS AS DAYTIME HEATING FURTHER DESTABILIZES THE REGION AHEAD OF THE DEEPENING LOW.
CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR THE STORMS TO ASSUME STRONG...SUSTAINED ROTATION...AND TO PRODUCE POSSIBLY VIOLENT TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL AS THEY MOVE / DEVELOP GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD INTO EASTERN PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA.
THE STORMS LIKELY WILL ORGANIZE INTO AN EXTENSIVE BAND THIS EVENING...EXTENDING THE RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...AND A FEW TORNADOES EAST AND NORTHEAST INTO PARTS OF ARKANSAS AND MISSOURI BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.
STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS POTENTIALLY VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.
..CORFIDI.. 05/24/2011
$$
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whip_inflation_now
Scared to death?
We don’t get tornadoes but serious wind gusts from time to time. Last fall a mini tornado took my 4 x 8 ft. gallery sign out and blew it up the hillside.
We are right in the middle of the high risk area. We are placing supplies in our shelter, including the means to deal with looters. And for all those doubters, if you look at everything that has been going on in the world, including frequent and unusual extreme weather outbreaks then you can only conclude that we are close to the End of Days. For those without discernment, remember not to take the Mark.
That, too.
National Weather Service Storm Event Summary, Joplin, MO.
They are classifying the tornado as EF-4. Includes storm track. Not sure how much more damage an EF-5 could do.
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/sgf/?n=event_2011may22_summary
SPC is about to issue first PDS Watch of the day...
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0925
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1218 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...NW TX...WRN AND CNTRL OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY
VALID 241718Z - 241845Z
STORM INITIATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS WRN OK AND NW TX OVER THE NEXT
HOUR. SUPERCELLS SHOULD RAPIDLY DEVELOP WITH A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL
AND TORNADOES. A TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE ISSUED BY 18Z.
SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A 997 MB LOW IN THE NRN TX PANHANDLE WITH A
DRYLINE EXTENDING SWD FROM THE LOW ACROSS FAR WRN OK INTO WEST TX.
THE DRYLINE IS STARTING TO ADVANCE EWD WITH VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWING AN EXPANDING FIELD OF CUMULUS FROM I-40 IN WRN OK
SWD TO NEAR SAN ANGELO IN WCNTRL TX. AS FURTHER DESTABILIZATION
OCCURS THIS AFTERNOON AND THE CAP WEAKENS...RAPID CELL INITIATION IS
EXPECTED TO OCCUR ALONG THIS CORRIDOR. AS THIS OCCURS...A 50 TO 65
KT MID-LEVEL JET EJECTING NEWD TOWARD THE SRN PLAINS WILL CREATE
STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES VERY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS. AS
STORMS INTENSIFY...VERY LARGE HAIL GREATER THAN 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER
WILL BECOME LIKELY. IN ADDITION...A 30 TO 40 KT LOW-LEVEL JET IS IN
PLACE ACROSS NW TX AND WRN OK. AS THIS FEATURE
STRENGTHENS...LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL BECOME VERY FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES. WITH 0-3 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITIES INCREASING INTO THE
450 TO 600 M2/S2 RANGE...LONG-TRACK STRONG TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED TO
OCCUR LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.
..BROYLES.. 05/24/2011
I know what you mean. The lettuce is growing faster than I can eat it but the ‘maters and peppers are just hanging show no growth in the last three weeks.
I sure hope they don't come back!
Ask him what he makes of CAPE under 2000 (and in many locations in the single digits), and that above 800 mb the rest of the upper atmosphere has wetbulb approaching dry ice temps. The air up there is as dry as a toad’s bones that’s been roasting in the Mojave for the last 500 years.
I’ll concede the 120Kts in the trough at 300mb - 80Kts @ 500mb - moving out of the desert SW, but so what?
I miss living in Kansas. West Texas is dry as a bone. I loved severe weather days (unless of course I got damage from it or people were hurt).
Thanks for that info.
It’s weird to look at the map, it was such a short, straight tornado. The other ones that show on the map were longer and wiggly. I guess they were more the “traditional” type tornadoes you see with the long tail whipping around.
I may get into trouble in writing this, but could this all be in “response” to our administration’s policies towards Israel? Not just with what Hussien said last week about the 1967 borders but all the other anti-Israeli policies the last 2 years and the funding of Israel’s neighboring countries?
I beginning to wonder about it......
PDS TORNADO WATCH just issued:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0356.html
The NWS in OK is advising people not to travel I35 or I40 this afternoon/evening.
I’m right in the bulls eye, so in case I am not here tomorrow, I just wanted my fellow Freepers to know how much I enjoyed getting to know them.
Sorry, but none of you are in my will. I don’t know why you would want 2 large, unruly dogs anyway. ;-)
Just some links of live chaser streams as the day unfolds:
http://www.severestudios.com/livechase
http://chase.tornadovideos.net/pages/full_screen
http://twitter.com/#!/reedtimmerTVN
I think we are in the end times but I don’t adhere to any dates Camping or anyone gives. Nor do I lose faith because he got the dates wrong. We are indeed in the end times.
The amount of chickens lost in these tornadoes sure don’t help food prices.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/April_25%E2%80%9328,_2011_tornado_outbreak
This is all in "response" to basic physics/thermodynamics.
When the Tri-State Tornado killed 695 people in 1925, there wasn't an Israel to have a policy towards.
The harsh reality is horrific things routinely happen without any deeper meaning or purpose. There undoubtedly have been thousands of springs like this in the plains and Southeast in the millions of years that North America and the Gulf of Mexico have been in its current position. Most of the time the tornado outbreaks were tearing up prairie and forests and throwing buffaloes around. We've just built towns and cities in the way.
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