Posted on 03/18/2010 7:11:08 AM PDT by GOPGuide
Longtime incumbent John McCain now leads conservative challenger J.D. Hayworth by just seven points in Arizona’s hotly contested Republican Senate Primary race.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely Arizona GOP Primary voters shows McCain ahead 48% to 41%. Three percent (3%) favor another candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided.
Following the announcement that Sarah Palin would campaign for his reelection, McCain opened up a 53% to 31% lead over Hayworth in January. The two men were in a near tie in November.
But now Hayworth, a former congressman turned popular local talk radio host, is a formal candidate, and anti-immigration activist Chris Simcox has quit the race and endorsed him. For McCain, the new numbers also show him dropping again below 50%, and incumbents who poll less than 50% at this stage of a campaign are considered potentially vulnerable.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
Hayworth leads by seven points among male primary voters but trails by 23 among women. He edges McCain by five points among party conservatives, but the incumbent holds substantial margins among Republicans who identify themselves as moderates or liberals.
Hayworth has been attacking McCain as not conservative enough, but the senator, who just two years ago was the Republican presidential nominee, has been countering with a number of heavyweight endorsements from the right. Palin will attend a McCain rally in Tucson later this month.
Polling last fall found that 61% of Arizona Republicans felt McCain was out of touch with the party base.
Arizona Republicans will choose their Senate nominee in an August 24 primary, and for now that’s the major battle of this Senate cycle since no major Democrat has announced yet as a candidate.
Twenty-nine percent (29%) of GOP Primary voters have a very favorable opinion of McCain, who has represented Arizona in the Senate since 1987. Fifteen percent (15%) view him very unfavorably.
Hayworth is seen very favorably by 25% and very unfavorably by 15%.
While both candidates are well-known among likely primary voters, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with strong opinions more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers at this point in a campaign.
Just 11% of Republicans in the state approve of the job President Obama is doing, while 88% disapprove.
Forty-seven percent (47%) approve of the performance of the state’s GOP governor, Jan Brewer, who is in a tough reelection battle this year. Fifty percent (50%) disapprove. These findings include six percent (6%) who strongly approve of how she’s doing her job and 17% who strongly disapprove.
In 2008, Rasmussen Reports projected nationally that Obama would defeat John McCain by a 52% to 46% margin. Obama won 53% to 46%. Four years earlier, Rasmussen Reports projected the national vote totals for both George W. Bush and John Kerry within half-a-percentage-point.
In Arizona during the 2008 campaign, Rasmussen Reports polling showed McCain winning the state by a 51% to 45% margin. McCain defeated Obama 54% to 45%. In the 2006 Arizona governor’s race, Rasmussen polling showed Janet Napolitano defeating Len Munsil 58% to 37%. Napolitano won 63% to 35%. In the 2006 race for U.S. Senate, Rasmussen polling showed Jon Kyl leading Jim Pederson by nine, 51% to 42%. Kyl won by nine, 53% to 44%.
See all Rasmussen Reports 2008 state results for president, Senate and governor. See 2006 results for Senate and governor. See 2004 state results for president.
Please find another sandbox, get out of this web site, we freepers have had enough of you people, We hate John McCain here, Are you nuts? McCain can't even be compared to JD! JD is a real Conservative. I wish I was in the same room with you, my blood is boiling!
Clark County Nevada Republican Party County Convention Announces Special Guest Speaker - J. D. Hayworth On March 20, 2010
J.D. Hayworth has been a radio and television personality, business management consultant, and public policy advocate. Still, most of Arizona knows J.D. from his time spent in Congress, to which he was elected as part of the Republican Revolution in 1994. While in the House, he built a stellar record as a Consistent Conservative. He maintained an “A” rating from the NRA and a 100% Pro-Life voting record. J.D. also compiled a lifetime rating of 89 from Citizens Against Government Waste and a lifetime rating of 98 from the American Conservative Union.
During his twelve years in the House, J.D. became the first Arizonan to serve on the Ways and Means Committee where he helped write the Bush Tax Cuts of 2001 and 2003. He also was the lead sponsor of the new Education Land Grant Act, which instituted a uniform way for rural school districts to obtain non-environmentally sensitive federal land for school construction, and he helped expand the boundaries of the Walnut Canyon National Monument.
In 2003, J.D. accepted an invitation from residents of Southern Arizona to visit the border and see first hand how illegal immigration and the flow of drugs and violence north across the U.S. border impacted their lives. This eye-opening experience encouraged J.D. to get more involved in the fight against illegal immigration, and within a short while he was a national leader in the effort. He even authored a book, Whatever It Takes, that is widely considered the definitive source on how to combat illegal immigration and improve border security.
After his six terms in Congress, Citizens United named J.D. as its first “Ronald Reagan Fellow.” Hayworth is also a “Paul Harris Fellow” of Rotary International, and an Eagle Scout.
A devoted family man, J.D. is happily married to Mary, and they are blessed with 3 children, Nicole , Hannah, and John Micah. JD graduated cum laude from North Carolina State University in 1980, with a double major in Political Science and Speech-Communication. He attended N.C. State on a football scholarship, and served as Student Body President his senior year. The Hayworth family attends Scottsdale First Assembly Church.
Clark County Republican Party Convention, March 20, 2010, at the Venetian Hotel-Resort-Casino, Palazzo Ballroom, Fifth Floor, 3355 South Las Vegas Blvd., Las Vegas, NV.
Registration at 7:00 AM, Convention Call to Order at 9:00 AM
Guests are welcome, fee is $35 for guests, non-members.
http://www.officialwire.com/main.php?action=posted_news&rid=115276
Thank you for the mini-bio AuntB.
Bookmarked.
I really think that she will strongly support whoever the primary selects...it’s the only way she can stay engaged. I don’t fault her on her McCain support at this point, if she refused to support the nominee I’d be upset. She’d look like a turncoat and a sore loser if she didn’t support McCain, at least to the uninformed masses. One thing to remember is not everyone is as well informed and aware as people on this site are, and because of that are very susceptible to MSM propaganda. JMHO.
Awful, denigrating, but true.
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