Now we know Gallup's "likely voter" model: 39%D, 31%I, 29%R. Kinda explains a lot.

[WestFlorida]

Unbelievable that they call themselves a reputable polling firm, some even refer to them as "the gold standard." There is NO WAY there will be more I's than R's and NO WAY we are outvoted by 10%. Rediculous.

Link: http://www.gallup.com

[DemonDeac]

What are nationalwide registration stats?

[word_warrior_bob]

This model is IMPOSSIBLE, IMPOSSIBLE, check your history.

Garbage In, Garbage Out.

Turnout will be most likely even like 2004, Democrats will defect from Obama in droves.

[celtic gal]

These polls drive me nuts. They give these figures and don’t tell what questions were asked, who was polled..so for all we know, they only question democRATS or maybe undecideds..
And to listen to FOX tonight they are all but bringing out the funeral wreath for McC/Palin..

[CSI007]

Pray to God and pray hard that they are dead wrong and the turnout is about even.

[gimme1ibertee]

Plugging ears and singing loudly, “LALALALALALA!””

[pgkdan]

And to listen to FOX tonight they are all but bringing out the funeral wreath for McC/Palin

Probably the same one they brought out for W on election day 2004. Jerks.

[kevao]

More Indies than Pubbies...Right, Gallup, that’s believable.

[Freedom4US]

Most people don’t “get it” - they wonder why they aren’t “polled” - and when they are - Gallup called me a few years ago and sent out a very nice, polished survey first class mail, etc.

“polling” is a worm and ought to be excised from the body politic.

[LeonardFMason]

You mean D39, R31, I29 Right?

[igoramus08]

My gut is that the polls are wrong. The Democrats played the race card this cycle so often that voters are intimidated and will not say they are not voting for Obama or hanging up.

[paudio]

From their website:

In the final poll, 38% of U.S. adults identified as Democrats, 34% as independents and 26% as Republicans. Among likely voters, the figures are 39%, 31% and 29%, respectively.

[JEH_Boston]

Rush’s Operation Chaos in action!

[pollywog]

Pray to God and pray hard that they are dead wrong and the turnout is about even.

I'm praying that there is a huge turnout and the majority will be overwhelmingly McCain....

[big_pale]

Could someone who is smart with numbers re-weight their final pre-election poll to more historical weights?

Use the 2006 percentage breakdown as a template.

[Friendofgeorge]

Laura Ingraham on Fox has just lost it! She basically says its all over but take heart because Obama shares some conservative principals???

[GerardKempf]

No way is this over - I did not see her say this. She would never admit defeat

[LeonardFMason]

Has the Gallup organization considered drug testing?

[Smedley]

Rasmussen website has it as: "39.0% Democratic, 33.4% Republican, and 27.6% unaffiliated.

This is all voters, not likely voters