Posted on 11/02/2008 6:46:21 AM PST by Illinois Rep
Denver Post/Mason-Dixon 10/28 - 10/29 625 LV 4.0 49 44
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Obama always seems to overpoll and underperform at the ballot box.
His campaign is all about manipulating the media and the pollsters. Tales of unprecedented enthusiasm among African-Americans and ‘the youth’ lead pollsters to weight their samples to reflect this, which, of course leads to media reports of an oncoming electoral juggernaut.
Yet, in state after state in the primary, Obama was a flop at the ballot box. It was only through the use of various hardball tactics in party caucuses, as well as the exclusion of the Michigan and Florida primaries, and the presence of the superdelegates that Obama was able to garner the nomination of the Democrat party.
Whenever Obama is exposed to middle America, middle America doesn’t like him. He needs some kind of edge, be it running in an extreme left wing area of Chicago or running in a party with caucuses dominated by the extreme left wing of his party.
Obama ran too narrow a campaign and not just ignored rural and exurban white Democrats, but he mocked them.
Anyways, The Reality Poll is holding steady at:
McCain 52%
Obama 47%
HOLY CRAP!!!!
Major MacMentum!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
their = they’re
Fantastic news!
Exactly. Use our time to GOTV and work for victory, and not to listen to gloom and doom.
For that matter, I would recommend permanently turning off one's television. It consumes a great deal of time to little benefit.
Take it easy, some of us are new on Free Republic, perhaps Todd is confused...all of us want this win, so pray and vote!
ROSE: I dont know what Barack Obamas worldview is.
BROKAW: No, I dont, either.
ROSE: I dont know how he really sees where China is.
BROKAW: We dont know a lot about Barack Obama and the universe of his thinking about foreign policy.
ROSE: I dont really know. And do we know anything about the people who are advising him?
BROKAW: Yeah, its an interesting question.
ROSE: He is principally known through his autobiography and through very aspirational (sic) speeches.
BROKAW: Two of them! I dont know what books hes read.
ROSE: What do we know about the heroes of Barack Obama?
BROKAW: Theres a lot about him we dont know.
from Brokaw And Rose: Who Is Obama?
I am not convinced that poor=vote for zerO. I have been very surprised in the past to meet people who are officially *poor* and to find out they voted Republican. They do not expect to remain poor and they have values and love America.
I think there is far less class warfare in actuality than in the donk agenda. Middle class who think they have it rough would not vote the economy killers on the basis of their present situation. They realize they will get nothing and most people will get nothing. Republicans can expect to be targets for ideological reasons if zerO and the donks gain total power.
The Movement failed in the 60s/70s because most people who called themselves hippies were turned off by the extreme violence and extreme control freak attitude of the political cadres. It has been safe to espouse *revolution* in the past 40 years, when it looked difficult to bring it off. Now, it may be just around the corner and I doubt that folks now in their 50s/60s are ready for it. The ones I still have contact with are preparing for hard times. I am told they will vote Nader or McCain or stay home.
Wednesday I spoke to someone who will write in Ron Paul because he was right about the economy. Having lost a considerable portion of her 401(k), watched her husband’s restaurant business suffer from the economy and her own business unable to support its infrastructure, she has cashed her 401(k), invested in 2 long-lived sturdy vehicles, a greenouse, modular solar electricity generators and they are selling one business for the assumption of debt and another for the value of the buildings and hunkering down for the duration. They literally have no further means of support except cash on hand and barter. These folks are in their mid-40s.
This survival attitude is quite prevalent among people I have spoken with.
It ain’t over til it’s over, of course.
Must be those Reverend Wright Ads...
Ya, he’s confused.
All you newbies are in full throat posting bad news stories today. Is this part of the Obamabot strategy to demoralize us? It wont work. Obama has helped energize the Rep base. Reps will be voting in greater numbers than 2004.
That’s ok, you can challenge my sincerity. Maybe you shouldn’t post things to me like ``you`re not very good at this` (like your posts are pure genius). You sound like 0bama ``Teacher Billy threatened me``. Waaaaaaah.
``Obama has helped energize the Rep base. Reps will be voting in greater numbers than 2004.``
Excellent because I want Mac to win this very badly. Of course crybaby Cedric doubts my ``sincerity``.
In 2004 Lee County voted as follows: Kerry 39.0% 93,860;
Bush 59.9% 144,176.
Okay, Mr. Private Threat.
Not sure your link is good. No mention of Mason-Dixon in it, just RCP average, which has Obama above 50 in lots of battleground stattes.
Is that like saying to your handlers, "I want to do this job in the worst way?"
If so, you're succeeding.
“Must be those Reverend Wright Ads...”
Anybody see them in Ohio? If so, what station and city?
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