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Mason-Dixon Poll has Obama at less than 50 percent in every single battleground state
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/#data ^

Posted on 11/02/2008 6:46:21 AM PST by Illinois Rep

Denver Post/Mason-Dixon 10/28 - 10/29 625 LV 4.0 49 44

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; 2008polls; electionpresident; polls; swingstates; tossups
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Mason-Dixon has Obama at no greater than 47 in every single battleground state except one...in that one it is 49 percent Obama...

IF MD is accurate AND we see the same thing as we saw in the primaries where Obama got just what he polled...then it could be the one polling outfit that could claim somewhat of a "I told you so" in that they called Obama's numbers correctly....

Bottom line is this thing is not over....got to get out the vote and pray.

1 posted on 11/02/2008 6:46:22 AM PST by Illinois Rep
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To: Illinois Rep

Would it be possible, with election fraud, for obamination to win illegally and because of the power of his negative thinking, not only in rallying the poor against the rich, the middle class into thinking they have it rough, but getting the republicans thinking they are going to lose, and they roll over dead on election day?


2 posted on 11/02/2008 6:50:34 AM PST by huldah1776 ( Worthy is the Lamb)
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Comment #3 Removed by Moderator

To: Illinois Rep

Good point. Let’s hope the pattern from the primaries holds true on Tuesday. Mason Dixon is one of the most reputable and accurate polling companies from what I’ve read over the years.


4 posted on 11/02/2008 6:50:48 AM PST by zaker99
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To: karpar

I refuse to watch any of those shows, not at the moment, they are completely negative and handing Obamao the victory before the majority of votes are even cast.


5 posted on 11/02/2008 6:52:28 AM PST by padre35 (Sarah Palin is the one we've been waiting for..Rom 10.10..)
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To: zaker99
Wife and I voted Saturday morning at the Camden County Courthouse. There was a 15 minute wait to get a ballot.
Turnout may call the tune in '08...
6 posted on 11/02/2008 6:52:59 AM PST by Eric in the Ozarks
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To: huldah1776
Dicky Morris said plainly...Zero at or under 48 he loses. Expect a last minute psy-op by the MSM. “Obama making closing arguments..confident of victory according to all polls”
7 posted on 11/02/2008 6:53:53 AM PST by pburgh01
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To: Illinois Rep
No Kidding

If you believe the PUMA's this week has has been right of of the Media playbook, the Obama playbook and Pollsters playbook

Hillary was told get out its over and yet she closed the last month even though it was over.

I see people didn't care if they were told it was over they still voted for Hillary.

WE MUST DO IT TOO VOTE FOR MAC AND PALIN.

8 posted on 11/02/2008 6:54:39 AM PST by scooby321 (Cai)
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To: karpar

Like that wasn’t predictable? Folks have to turn off the TV.

Just make sure everyone you can think of actually goes to vote...that is what this comes down to. Watching the beltway idiots whine or gloat before election day is meaningless.


9 posted on 11/02/2008 6:55:44 AM PST by perfect_rovian_storm (You MUST see this website: http://www.neverfindout.org/)
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To: Illinois Rep

M-D and Battleground both use minimal oversampling in their polls (usually less than 5 percent), as opposed to Pew, Zogby, and others which skew the Rat numbers by as much as ***15 percent*** and thus usually show preposterous and corresponding leads by Zer0.

There is no possible justification at all for 10 to 15 percent oversampling of Rats, yet plenty of pollsters do it.

Of course and predictably, the MSM NEVER offers an explanation or even a mention of the oversampling factor.


10 posted on 11/02/2008 6:56:43 AM PST by angkor (Conservatism is not a religious movement.)
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To: Illinois Rep

Ok, I wanna be happy about this. I have gone to RCP on the link provided and it says 0bama is a 50% or slightly above in FLA, PA, VA, NM, PA, NH. So tell me I’m reading it wrong. I hope I am but that’s what ot says.


11 posted on 11/02/2008 6:59:22 AM PST by toddausauras
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To: Illinois Rep

I heard on Fox that Rove looks at Mason-Dixon for the states and Battleground poll for national. IBD is said to be another good poll. WE CAN DO IT PEOPLE! GET OUT AND VOTE AND WE WILL WIN!


12 posted on 11/02/2008 7:00:04 AM PST by sheikdetailfeather (DRILL HERE! DRILL NOW!)
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To: Illinois Rep

Check out my thread above on Lee County, FL. This poll analysis is ok, but gee, we have actual votes that we can analyze now. If my math is right (always suspect), Lee County alone will turn in 32,000 MORE R votes for McCain in FL???


13 posted on 11/02/2008 7:00:42 AM PST by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: Illinois Rep

Never mind I get it , Mason Dixon not RCP average. Ok, that’s good.


14 posted on 11/02/2008 7:00:45 AM PST by toddausauras
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To: toddausauras

Welcome to FR.

He is talking about polls from Mason Dixon, not the RCP average.


15 posted on 11/02/2008 7:01:15 AM PST by perfect_rovian_storm (You MUST see this website: http://www.neverfindout.org/)
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To: angkor

Looking at these same polls for Obama in the primaries and the results you would think the MSM would control their orgasmic rejoicing. Oh well wnough woofing on both sides, let’s get it on!


16 posted on 11/02/2008 7:01:22 AM PST by pburgh01
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To: Illinois Rep
If ACORNS fraudulent voter registration is prevented from becoming illegal votes, I'd put McCain / Palin up 10 points in every battleground state. Unfortunately, I know in Ohio, they have a willing co - conspirator in the sec. of state Brunner.
Who controls the sec. of state position in FL now?
17 posted on 11/02/2008 7:04:52 AM PST by bitterohiogunclinger (Never argue with an idiot, they always wear you down and beat you with experience)
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To: perfect_rovian_storm

Thank you, I jumped the gun. It’s been a crappy morning.


18 posted on 11/02/2008 7:05:16 AM PST by toddausauras
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To: Illinois Rep

Yes, get out and VOTE! If it’s close enough, they’ll still steal it.


19 posted on 11/02/2008 7:05:23 AM PST by Let's Roll (Stop paying ACORN to destroy America! Cut off their government funding!)
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Comment #20 Removed by Moderator


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