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To: Illinois Rep

M-D and Battleground both use minimal oversampling in their polls (usually less than 5 percent), as opposed to Pew, Zogby, and others which skew the Rat numbers by as much as ***15 percent*** and thus usually show preposterous and corresponding leads by Zer0.

There is no possible justification at all for 10 to 15 percent oversampling of Rats, yet plenty of pollsters do it.

Of course and predictably, the MSM NEVER offers an explanation or even a mention of the oversampling factor.


10 posted on 11/02/2008 6:56:43 AM PST by angkor (Conservatism is not a religious movement.)
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To: angkor

Looking at these same polls for Obama in the primaries and the results you would think the MSM would control their orgasmic rejoicing. Oh well wnough woofing on both sides, let’s get it on!


16 posted on 11/02/2008 7:01:22 AM PST by pburgh01
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To: angkor
There is no possible justification at all for 10 to 15 percent oversampling of Rats, yet plenty of pollsters do it.

Exactly correct.

They overpoll Democrats knowing that Obama is losing 20% of his base and needs a +7 lead just to hope to win.

The Democrats are not going to get anywhere near that number ahead of Republicans.

78 posted on 11/02/2008 8:13:23 AM PST by fortheDeclaration (O earth, earth, earth, hear the word of the Lord-(Jer.22:29))
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