Why McCain Will Win

The Cocktoasten Times | 11/1/08 | John L Cocktoasten

[johncocktoasten]

My FRiends all you need to know about this election is as follows:

You can't win an election by losing 20% of your own base and losing independents.

Forget about Gallup or Rasmussen tracking polls and their special sauce weighting for party ID. Rasmussen says today that Obama receives support from only 75% of Democrats and is losing independents by a slight margin, but incredibly, defying laws of math and physics still leads McCain by 4% overall. Friends, that simply is not possible.

If you are looking for a poll showing a McCain lead before election day, you can forget it. It isn't going to happen, nor does it need to. In fact, it serves us better if McCain doesn't lead prior to victory on Tuesday night. The fall and subsequent meltdown of the left and its propagandist media is the result we need. This is a war we are in with the left. Why would you expect them to give us any quarter? Credibility? Honesty? Those traits have been discarded in the name of advocacy and survival.

Meanwhile, the Full Court Press will continue through election day and into the evening after the polls close. Many of you will go to sleep, resigned to a President Barack H. Obama. You will wake surprised to learn of John McCain's election instead. The media and pollsters have willingly bought the myth of huge youth and new voter turnout. However, the truth is that the Democrat voter registration goals in many states only moved Democrats to parity with Republicans in voter registration. John McCain has consistently outpolled his Voter ID percentages this entire campaign. If you see a poll with Obama up by 10, you can be certain that the Dem Party ID advantage was at least 13%. If you see Obama up 5, you can be certain the Dem Party ID advantage was 7%.

The Obama campaign is going to continue the push of inevitability stories thru election day. They aren't concerned with looking bad after the fact, because they have no shame. So understand that this garbage is coming, understand that our base is still going to show up huge, and understand that mathematically we are in the driver's seat. All we have to do is show up.

The other side is sitting there hoping to make something happen that has never happened before.

The IBD/TIPP Poll is at 47.2-43.8-8.0 undecided today. These are likely voters mind you. Those 8% undecideds are votes for John McCain FRiends. Not to mention that Obama's total number is overstated in these polls as his likely's are less likely than Mc's.

Look at the red states where Obama thinks he has a shot. IN, NC, VA, and GA all have huge minority populations, which is the only factor making these states close.

New Voters is a Myth, Gallup found the percentages of new votes identical to 2004

Youth Votes are a Myth, once again, the percentage increase in youth vote is below trend from 2004

Don't fall for the myths. Just vote and talk to FRiends and family about voting McCain.

America is not stupid, only the media portrayal of America is stupid. We won't elect Obama.

[Admin Moderator]

you are correct, I will admit the brilliance of your logic.

Don't bother coming back.

[Mamzelle]

It doesn't affect results. It does affect how seriously you should be taken when you issue a silly challenge, a challenge that's worded specifically to discourage.

But, given your perspective on trollery, I'm impressed with the patience of your cell manager.

[Mamzelle]

You know, characters like that who have maintained a membership for just this election cycle...goes to show that FR is very importants. AND that our opponents have spent three-quarters of a billion dollars on getting socialists elected.