[itsthejourney]

We can cross our fingers, but I’m afraid it’s a little to late to change PA.

[Rumierules]

Close hard McCain/Palin!

[petercooper]

He’s getting 80% of his base nationally. Gore got 92%, and Kerry got 89%, and both lost. Obama cannot win w/o massive ACORN voter fraud. Hopefully that has been cleaned up to some extent.

[AmericaUnited]

McCain/Palin is gong to WIN PA and the ELECTION!

[Friendofgeorge]

It`s my opinion that Rasmussen uses polling methods that favor Obama, so If Ras has it Obama +4, it may actually be even???

[Wpin]

How can “The One” be leading in their poll that claims he has a four point lead yet is only garnering 75% of democrats...?

[Darkwolf377]

Yahoo has a hilarious amount of propaganda when you log into your email account--"Obama supporters happy, McCain supporters glum!"

It's truly amazing how much of this stuff is shoveled at us by the MSM. They have a powerful tool--when you see something like that on the "news" it instantly takes the wind out of you.

No idea how Tuesday's going to go--I tend to think Obama will win--but it's amazing how thick they're laying it on.

[AmericaUnited]

No mention of the undecided vote will will break big for McCain.

[attiladhun2]

If McCain is within 4 pts. in PA, the Obamessiah is in trouble.

[Thane_Banquo]

PUMA POWER!

[Puddleglum]

I think the poll is wrong and that, in any case, the folks of Pennsylvania are way smarter than this. They are rallying to the casue, to the good fight, to our nation's freedom.

Look, having Dems in charge of the House and the Senate and the presidency would be about as dumb as givng your crazy uncle all your savings and buying him plane tickets to Vegas. No thanks. I think citizens in Pennsylvania and elsewhere see this.

[jmaroneps37]

I don’t care WHAT the top number says: If either man is getting only 75% of his base he can’t win.

This poll is insane on its face.

The Democrat registration in Pennsylvania is at least 42%. This means lots of Republicans are voting Obama which is very unlikely. It also means our friend Scott has been lied to by many people.

[bailmeout]

Obama can’t win with support from only 3/4 of Dems right now. That number probably gets a little lower on election day.

IMO, Obama is toast if GOP voters get out to the polls. This also bodes well for McCain’s chances in OH, which, while similar demographically, always performs better for the GOP than PA.

[Maelstorm]

Now this is wonderful news. There is something going on under the covers of this election. Don’t fret or get upset we can win this!

[justiceseeker93]

Remember that Ras is doing all registered voters, not likely voters. We don't even know when the polling was done. Apparently, there's either a massive shift to McCain among Dems in the last few days (11 points) or his poll is simply not reproduceable and hence unreliable.

Ironically, his Pennsylvania numbers are exactly the same as his national numbers, which in turn are farther apart than other polls. That might be because he tends to oversample 'Rats. (Traditionally, registered Republicans are more likely to vote than regigstered 'Rats.)

The Bradley effect may also be very much at play here.

[justiceseeker93]

Remember that Ras is doing all registered voters, not likely voters. We don't even know when the polling was done. Apparently, there's either a massive shift to McCain among Dems in the last few days (11 points) or his poll is simply not reproduceable and hence unreliable.

Ironically, his Pennsylvania numbers are exactly the same as his national numbers, which in turn are farther apart than other polls. That might be because he tends to oversample 'Rats. (Traditionally, registered Republicans are more likely to vote than registered 'Rats.)

The Bradley effect may also be very much at play here.

[fortheDeclaration]

Just 75% of Pennsylvania Democrats now support their party’s nominee, down from 86% in the previous survey.

If this is true, then Obama ISN'T getting the majority of the voters.

The Democrats are leading in numbers voting, but Obama is losing 25% of them!

[LS]

If anyone in their right mind thinks Obama can win PA with only 75% of Dems, they are nuts. Morris says the indies are going 7:1 (!!) in favor of McCain. The numbers just don't work.

FOR OBAMA TO WIN THE ELECTION, LET ALONE PA, HE ABSOLUTELY MUST GET 90% OF THE DEM VOTE.

[marron]

I’m more confident than I’ve been.

With only 80% of his base, he loses in a landslide. Only fraud can prevent that, and fraud is usually only good for a couple percent.

And if he’s down to 75% of his base, this is one for the history books. He has spent more money than anyone in history, he has more uniformly positive news coverage, he has managed to dominate the airwaves and control the message, and all he gets is 75 or 80% of his own party.

This is going to be epic.

[Godzilla]

how in H E double toothpicks can he be ahead while losing 25% of his party’s support?