Posted on 10/16/2008 5:48:56 PM PDT by UCAL
Obama leads McCain in Virginia
(NEWPORT NEWS, VA) – With just under three weeks to go before Election Day, Senator Barack Obama leads Senator John McCain in Virginia by 6.0% among likely voters, 49.2% to 43.2%. Obama’s lead appears to be driven by voter concerns about the economy. Asked to name the top issue that they would like candidates to address between now and Election Day, just over six in ten likely voters say the economy. No other issue breaks double digits. These findings are from the Christopher Newport University Virginia Poll conducted October 11-14 of 500 likely voters.
When asked which would be the second issue that they would like the candidates to address between now and Election Day, the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan top the list at 20.4%, followed closely by health care at 18.5% and then the economy, gas prices and energy policy, and terrorism. Fewer than 7% want the candidates to address the personal character and integrity of the candidates, suggesting that voters have not responded well to Senator McCain’s efforts to make Senator Obama’s character and integrity an issue in the final weeks of the election.
Nearly 50% of voters think that Joe Biden is the stronger Vice Presidential candidate, compared to just one in three who say Sarah Palin is the stronger Vice Presidential candidate.
(Excerpt) Read more at universityrelations.cnu.edu ...
I know people in VA that have never voted Republican in their lives and they are voting for John McCain. I listened with amazement at a female relative talking about how well McCain did in the debate. She’s never voted anything but democrat. Gave me renewed hope for VA.
Per CNN 2004
DEM 35
GOP 39
IND 26
MALE 46
FEMALE 54
According to this poll the GOP is underweighted by 10%
In 1972 the State Legislator fearing George McGovern, required that you had to vote for the Governor separately from the straight party ticket.
RE: “You won’t believe this, but some a$$holes did a “ding-dong-ditch on my house. (within the last 15 min, I walked outside but it is really dark and couldn’t see anyone). They rang my doorbell and left a note which read “ vote for obama- the clown posse” I guess they are mad that this family has a McCain/Palin placard in our yard. Or maybe they think because the mom of the household is black we have to vote for Obama. Well, if I catch anyone on my porch again, I’m calling the police. My 13 year old son is pissed.”
*****
Good for you for displaying the yard sign!!! — but be careful when going outside in the dark like that — sounds like a harmless kids’ prank but you never know. I’m glad your son is p*ssed!
I live in VA and I dont believe the polls.. I say VA will go McCain by at least 4-5%
None.
For what it’s worth, in 2004 the vote in Virginia was male 46% (Bush 59-40), Female 54% (50-50). Party breakdown was D 35, R 39, I 26, with the Independents going for Bush 54-44. Bush won Virginia by 8 points.
Again, Virginia is one of those red states that McCain can take for granted, although I think McCain will end up winning by 5-8 points. There has been lots of poll fraud going on in Virginia during this election cycle.
And the party breakdown in 2004 was 39%R 35%D 26%I
2006 was 39%R 36%D 25%I. So how do they justify A TEN POINT LOWER TURNOUT FOR REPUBLICANS?!?!?!?!
300,000 new voter registrations in VA. VA does not register by party, so even if you assume 80% of these voters are Dems, and 75% vote on 11/4(which would be an alltime record v\for new voters, and a record by a wide margin), That still could not account for anywhere near 10 points fewer Republicans.
I was replying to a poster who did just that.
It is important to look only at polls that have two non-incumbents running. Those years were 1968, 1988 and 2000, I believe. People, deep down, are afraid of change, so unless the President is utterly incompetent, as Jimmy Carter was, or broke a promise to his base, as Bush senior did, they will, last minute, fall back on avoiding change.
In 1968, in a year of chaos, voters threw out the Democratic candidate, Hubert Humphrey, and opted for change.
In 2000, voters opted for change, despite peace and prosperity.
Final.
This is three weeks out.
Stop falling for, and spreading, liberal agitprop.
Cheers!
Which state was that?
Obama up 6% And Palin just had two events in VA that pulled 30,000 people each? Yeah right.
I don't know if it is really a strategy on their part. I think it is because they have screwed up their own blue state so badly that they need to move into red states to stay prosperous. Unfortunately, they are too stupid to realize that if they keep voting Dem, the nice red state that they now call their home will go down the same tube that the blue state they had left behind did.
ARe there any other polls? We need to be worried about Virginia. The media acts like O is way ahead there, but are there other polls showing it closer than this?
If Virginia goes Dem, it will be almost impossible to win.
The point is, the RCP average had Bush winning in Sept. and October.
Not for McCain this time, and it is dang scary. I still think we win.
If I recall correctly, VA does not ask voters to indicate any party preference on the registration form. I wish they had the same rule here in Schwarzifornia.
Cheers!
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