Posted on 10/15/2008 1:00:35 PM PDT by americanophile
US pollsters today put John McCain's chances of overtaking Barack Obama in the final weeks to win the White House as extremely remote given the leads he has built up, the most recent putting him a staggering 14% ahead.
Polling experts expect the gap between the two to narrow as election day, November 4, draws closer, and some caution against a landslide win for Obama. But they regard the contest as effectively over barring some dramatic national security crisis.
"You are more likely to be killed by a meteor dropping on your head than McCain becoming president," said Professor Michael McDonald, who specialises in polls and election number-crunching at Virginia's George Mason University.
Pollsters said no US candidate has ever been as far behind as McCain at this stage in an election in recent political history and won. Once the electorate shifts in favour of a candidate, as it seems to have done over the last few weeks, it seldom moves again, they said.
Doug Usher, who was a pollster for John Kerry in his failed bid against President George Bush in 2004, is more cautious than many of his colleagues. He predicted a tightening of the race - especially since the instinct of the average US voter tends to be conservative - and that the US media would inevitably at some point write about an incredible McCain comeback.
Even so, Usher, who works for Washington, DC-based Widmeyer Communications, described McCain's chances of winning as possible but "incredibly remote". "There is only a one in 10 chance that McCain could overtake Obama. I think Obama is going to win but not by a landslide." Like other pollsters, he warned that some unexpected event could change the race: "What is endlessly fascinating about US politics, you...
(Excerpt) Read more at guardian.co.uk ...
Of course, republicans vote for the republican as expected.
The only racists to blame would be democrats or independents.
An 0bama loss will mean riots, I’m sure...
But, they’ll just tear up their own neighborhoods, causing HUNDREDS of dollars in damages.
agreed.
The variables this time are astounding.
Pollster are attempting to quantify the unquantifiable.
Any nervous Nelllie freepers need to read your post.
One thing for sure, you give up, you lose.
I WILL NEVER GIVE UP!
The Guardian was 110% turning England into Englandistan which is exactly what the hard left wants and what Obama will do in America.
Ignore this propapganda.
Donate and volunteer.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
On most days, they make the NYT look sane and sober.
We WILL turnout and make sure you get everyone you know voting.
Ignore this propaganda shite.
Volunteer and donate.
I’m telling you right now, if EVERYTHING broke perfectly for fauxbama he never had a chance of more than a squeaker chance of winning. Now I’ll admit things have broken a lot for the dems, but it hasn’t been PERFECT.
The idea he’s going to win by 14 points, or is up by 14 in polling is just laughable on its face.
You want to know the last time a democrat got over 50% of the vote in a 2 way race? Carter in 1976 when he got 50.1% after blowing a 30 point lead. And had Ford not gaffed in the debate, Carter would have lost.
Now, Lets look at margins.
Reagan beat Carter in 1980 by just under 10% of the vote, Clinton’s reelection victory was by about 8.5% of the vote. Do you or anyone else honestly think that Fauxbama is going to capture the vote with that sort of margin? Be serious. Its just not believable.
Stop worrying about the polls and fight hard, that’s all you need to do. Election day is going to be a painful day for pollsters if they don’t start applying some reality soon.
Waging War by CeCe Winans
Anoint my head
Anoint my feet
Send your Angels raining down
Here on the battle ground
For your glory
We’re taking territory
Fighting unseen enemies
Like never before
We’re Waging War
I’m tired of principalities
Messing with me
(Waging War)
I’m tired of the devil
Stealing from me
(Waging War)
I promise he won’t get
One more thing
(Waging War)
I’m taking it back
Taking territory
(Waging War)
I’m ready for the battle
I’m ready to win
(Waging War)
My weapon of power
He lives within
(Waging War)
I can’t be defeated
The enemy has got to flee
(Waging War)
I’m taking it back
Taking territory
Going into battle
Going into battle
Be my sword
Be my shield
As we claim the victory
Over the enemy
In your name
Your rule and reign
Never being defeated anymore
We’re Waging War
Send your fire
Send your fire
Fire by night
Cloud by day
A strong tower
Send the latter rain
Lion of Judah
Lord, God,
Mighty in battle
Since you did it back then
We know you’ll do it again
We’re going into battle
We’re going into battle
Waging War
|
Vote For McCain But Trust In The Lord |
“You are more likely to be killed by a meteor dropping on your head than McCain becoming president,” said Professor Michael McDonald, who specialises in polls and election number-crunching at Virginia’s George Mason University.”
*******
Later on they cite pollsters who claim the Bradley effect has been declared null and void and that young people really will get out and vote this time. All this after citing today’s CBS polling numbers which have 0 up 45 points (+35 points from yesterday).
I need some more Kool Aid.
If you ask me, this is nothing more than flat-out, blatant interference in our electoral process.
If the idea of John winning are so remote ? Why do they seem so damn worried about it ?
>>The Media was calling the election for Kerry ELECTION MORNING in 2004<<
Even though the polls indicated that Bush was winning. 2008 is different, at least for now. McCain has a very difficult struggle ahead, mainly because so many voters are blaming him for their 401Ks going down by 30%-40%.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
I wonder if they’re counting me in their confidence. When an Obamabot came to my door and asked who I was voting for I said Obama. I shut the door and laughed. Fools
I wonder how many people who have been polled are flat out lying?
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