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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: DollyCali

It is incomprehensibly disorienting
(and for a very very long time) when
you go back to shreds, and your
life ‘anchors’ are gone.

It’s been 16 yrs since my home was
demolished; and to this day, there
are moments when I’ll need something,
a kitchen or cooking item, purse, etc.
And then, bingo .. reality: oh yeah,
that was before Andrew.

That exercise continues, and probably
will remain. It’s a tangible, lasting
shock to your brain.


661 posted on 09/12/2008 11:27:33 AM PDT by STARWISE (They (Dims) think of this WOT as Bush's war, not America's war-RichardMiniter, respected OBL author)
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To: bayouranger

And done!


662 posted on 09/12/2008 11:28:09 AM PDT by Xenalyte (West Houston . . . Beltway and I-10, more or less)
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To: bayouranger

And done!


663 posted on 09/12/2008 11:28:17 AM PDT by Xenalyte (West Houston . . . Beltway and I-10, more or less)
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To: Xenalyte

Thank you and stay safe!


664 posted on 09/12/2008 11:28:37 AM PDT by pax_et_bonum (That midget hates it when I do that.)
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To: OB1kNOb

God keep you safe


665 posted on 09/12/2008 11:28:58 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: NautiNurse

Yep. That’s on an oil rig out in the Gulf...the wind gauge is about 400 feet above the water, so the winds are going to be a bit higher than they would be at the surface, and obviously there’s nothing out there to stop them. Still, though, wow, look at that pressure, down below 28.60. They had to get hit head-on by Ike and be very, very close to the center to get that.

}:-)4


666 posted on 09/12/2008 11:29:34 AM PDT by Moose4 (http://moosedroppings.wordpress.com -- Because 20 million self-important blogs just aren't enough.)
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To: NautiNurse

Geraldo Rivera plans to stay in Galveston Texas tonight in a 30’ building.. Is he DOOMED??


667 posted on 09/12/2008 11:29:38 AM PDT by Broker (Grandpa Petti Bones wants to know.)
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To: brytlea

boy what a dummy being interviewed in Galveston now on Houston station

Standing with two toddlers on the beach at Galveston


668 posted on 09/12/2008 11:29:46 AM PDT by DollyCali (Don't tell GOD how big your storm is -- Tell the storm how B-I-G your God is!)
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To: OB1kNOb
When I hear "primitive conditions" I am reminded that snake boots are a good idea. Massive flooding will bring out the snakes and fire ants in droves. Godspeed to you and your co-workers.

Your work and the time you sacrifice away from your family is deeply appreciated by many of us.

669 posted on 09/12/2008 11:30:44 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: pax_et_bonum

Sorry I can’t read the whole thread, but does anyone know whether Katy is on track to be on the clean side or the dirty side of storm. Thanks.


670 posted on 09/12/2008 11:31:17 AM PDT by half-cajun
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To: RikaStrom

Finally finished all our storm preps. I’m vacuuming and cleaning bathrooms now. LOL =)

RS, I think a lot of people were so burnt by Rita that they either think 1) traffic is going to be horrible or 2) the storm is going to break east at the last minute. I can tell you that everyone (but me) on my street kept insisting that we’d wake up today and the storm was going to Beaumont.

I also think that Bill White and the Galveston mayor totally underestimated this storm.


671 posted on 09/12/2008 11:31:17 AM PDT by Aggie Mama (Cypress (NW Houston))
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To: Romulus
I'd sure like to know what makes you a Katrina expert.

A tremendous amount of reading on the subject - especially on post-mortems on how they got the surge forecast wrong - as in way too low.

I've forgotten more about Katrina than you'll ever know.

From your posts on this thread, I sure as heck agree with the first part of that statement.

Is that what passes for civil discourse in Pennsylvania, land of hurricane experts? Stay classy, dirtboy.

No, it passes for what I think of your posts on this thread. How anyone could say these hurricanes are always overforecast, when the storm surge for Katrina was UNDERFORECAST, with fatal results, shows ignorance of the deliberate kind. I can't cure you as a result, but I sure as heck can demonstrate to others that your advice is not to be heeded. Oh, and I've lived along the Gulf coast. And my parents lived along the Gulf coast for 25 years. I watched Rita like a hawk for them. Made the right calls, too.

672 posted on 09/12/2008 11:31:27 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: Broker
Geraldo Rivera plans to stay in Galveston Texas tonight in a 30’ building.. Is he DOOMED??

The last broadcast ???

673 posted on 09/12/2008 11:31:30 AM PDT by DollyCali (Don't tell GOD how big your storm is -- Tell the storm how B-I-G your God is!)
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To: Xenalyte

You betcha, put me on the tard ping list.


674 posted on 09/12/2008 11:31:50 AM PDT by eastforker (Dems Holler for your Dollars/Palin Hollers to Save you Dollars, OOOOH SARAHCUDA)
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To: OB1kNOb

May God bless you and keep you safe, OB1!


675 posted on 09/12/2008 11:31:51 AM PDT by American Quilter (The urge to save humanity is nearly always a cover for the urge to rule. - H. L. Mencken)
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To: OB1kNOb

The very best to you! I’m sure there will be many who will be grateful for your service.


676 posted on 09/12/2008 11:31:55 AM PDT by Normandy
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To: OB1kNOb

The very best to you! I’m sure there will be many who will be grateful for your service.


677 posted on 09/12/2008 11:31:58 AM PDT by Normandy
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To: DollyCali

I saw that....I feel so sorry for those little children. their mother sounded like a Darwin award candidate.

VirginiaMom


678 posted on 09/12/2008 11:32:28 AM PDT by VirginiaMom (lost in the wilderness)
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To: NautiNurse

Report from easternuswx.com, unconfirmed, that one of the approach streets to I-45 on Galveston Island (61st Street) is flooding. The island is probably getting close to being cut off from the mainland.

}:-)4


679 posted on 09/12/2008 11:33:41 AM PDT by Moose4 (http://moosedroppings.wordpress.com -- Because 20 million self-important blogs just aren't enough.)
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To: DollyCali
boy what a dummy being interviewed in Galveston now on Houston station Standing with two toddlers on the beach at Galveston

Yes, what a fool! It's apparently dawning on her that the storm will be worse than she had expected, but she said she "couldn't evacuate" because "I have animals, I have kids." I hope her two daughters don't die because of her foolishness.

680 posted on 09/12/2008 11:34:23 AM PDT by American Quilter (The urge to save humanity is nearly always a cover for the urge to rule. - H. L. Mencken)
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