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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: Xenalyte
Oh, I know what’s happening. I’m in the line of fire.

Good luck Xena and stay safe. Look on the bright side. TRF might just have an "Under the sea surge" theme for the faire this year.

281 posted on 09/12/2008 8:06:36 AM PDT by Centurion2000 (McCain/Palin 2008 : Palin the Paladin 2012)
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To: penelopesire

The mayor may be a prize idiot, but folks ought to exercise some common sense and not wait for some pol to tell ‘em what to do.


282 posted on 09/12/2008 8:07:03 AM PDT by mewzilla (In politics the middle way is none at all. John Adams)
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To: mewzilla
Pics from 1983's Hurricane Alicia
283 posted on 09/12/2008 8:09:36 AM PDT by mewzilla (In politics the middle way is none at all. John Adams)
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To: AFPhys

Fox says a freighter is stranded in the Gulf, as it has lost power! The Coast Guard cannot get out there, due to conditions. Therefore, the freighter must stay out there throughout the hurricane!


284 posted on 09/12/2008 8:10:01 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather (IKE- DON'T MESS WITH TEXAS!!!)
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To: sheikdetailfeather
"I heard Fox news say there is a new warning which says all people in low lying areas in Houston should get out."

Low lying? LOL. Do they know that Houston is The Bayou City?

I used to have young engineering applicants fly in from the east coast and express disappointment when they arrived in Houston...they were expecting to see tumbleweeds blowing around.

285 posted on 09/12/2008 8:10:21 AM PDT by blam
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To: SomeCallMeTim
Hopefully they are seeing the local TV stations and getting out.I prayed a rosary on the way to work for jpsb and all Freppers and families in the path of this storm.
286 posted on 09/12/2008 8:10:26 AM PDT by fatima (Put your lipstick on girls and go vote.)
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To: STARWISE

Those waves hitting Galv. now .... means GET OUT WHILE YOU CAN!


287 posted on 09/12/2008 8:10:37 AM PDT by Red_Devil 232 (VietVet - USMC All Ready On The Right? All Ready On The Left? All Ready On The Firing Line!)
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To: AFPhys

I got your point...but I haven’t figured out which keys stick on his computer yet. LOL!


288 posted on 09/12/2008 8:10:51 AM PDT by lonestar (Jasper)
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To: conservativeinferno

That animation is ugly! Oh my!

Lord God, make those folks get out of the way of this storm!


289 posted on 09/12/2008 8:11:31 AM PDT by LadyPilgrim ((Lifted up was He to die; It is finished was His cry; Hallelujah what a Savior!!!!!! ))
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To: mewzilla

Exactly. Those of us that remain in the path, do so at our own risks. There is still time for them to leave the island, the roads are clear. The causeway to the north leading to Houston is high enough they shouldn’t have a problem getting out. If they are going east, by Crystal Beach and High Island, that would be dangerous.


290 posted on 09/12/2008 8:11:36 AM PDT by texasredtop
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To: CarolAnn

Exactly what is Houston facing as far as storm surge?

How far above sea level is it?


291 posted on 09/12/2008 8:11:37 AM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: Red_Devil 232

This is an animation of a twenty foot surge for Galveston.


292 posted on 09/12/2008 8:11:46 AM PDT by conservativeinferno (My SUV is the urban squirrel's worst predator.)
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To: conservativeinferno

When NHC says “15ft surge” they mean “10% chance of 15ft surge”, I’m pretty sure. I would really like to see a real map of this area... still looking.


293 posted on 09/12/2008 8:12:05 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: mathluv; All

Dem Mayor of Galveston is going to have blood on her hands...not Gov. Perry, who told them to leave two days ago!

http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/hotstories/5996000.html

This storm has not been ‘eratic’ like her officials are claiming..It has always been on Galveston or west of it, which puts Galveston on the dirty side of storm.

Get ready folks....looks like democrat incompetence is going to make another show!!


294 posted on 09/12/2008 8:12:33 AM PDT by penelopesire ("The only CHANGE you will get with the Democrats is the CHANGE left in your pocket")
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To: AFPhys
"If that is the case, it will be gone on Sunday."

Yes, I agree. The island itself will remain albeit with altered terrain. However all structures on it will be destroyed.

Unfortunately, we will be lombasted with pictures of devastation and bloated bodies right up to the election. As well as the spike in gas prices -all blamed on the Republicans.

295 posted on 09/12/2008 8:12:41 AM PDT by Justa (The media lied while Americans died.)
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To: conservativeinferno

Where did Galveston go? Will beer man find another large supply while walking his dog?


296 posted on 09/12/2008 8:12:55 AM PDT by gathersnomoss (General George Patton had it right.)
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To: penelopesire

I don’t know the mayor of Galveston but in her defense the storm had been projected to hit much farther south on the Texas coast than Galveston. As soon as it appeared to move more toward Galveston she ordered a mandatory evacuation.


297 posted on 09/12/2008 8:12:55 AM PDT by Ditter
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To: blam

Houston is said to be one of the “greenest” cities in the country—in the color sense of the word. Trees everywhere.


298 posted on 09/12/2008 8:13:20 AM PDT by lonestar (Jasper)
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To: STARWISE

Thanks, Star. I’m not up to it this morning..the libs and media have completely lost perspective and any semblance of honesty. They sicken me.


299 posted on 09/12/2008 8:14:00 AM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet-McCain/Palin 08)
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To: texasredtop
Those of us that remain in the path, do so at our own risks.

And won't put someone else in danger by calling for help when it hit's the fan?

300 posted on 09/12/2008 8:14:48 AM PDT by mewzilla (In politics the middle way is none at all. John Adams)
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