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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: Styria

One of the Houston TV stations is reporting 8-100 MPH gusts on the the shoreline.


2,581 posted on 09/12/2008 9:51:42 PM PDT by tcrlaf (SARAH PALIN-The American Everywoman (Yes, You Really CAN!))
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To: TheMom
"We are about one mile from TI."

Stay safe.

I was living out in Richmond when Alicia came through there in 1983.

2,582 posted on 09/12/2008 9:51:57 PM PDT by blam
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To: arkady_renko
I respect him, Dr. Lyons and Dr. Forbes.

Dr. Lyons was one of my meteorology profs at Texas A&M back in the late '80s. He was a very laid-back, fun guy (he used to regale us with stories of his surfer dude days). Certainly not the type to wear a white shirt and tie unless the job description required it. :-)

2,583 posted on 09/12/2008 9:51:58 PM PDT by Constitutionalist Conservative (College Station)
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To: Styria

The weather board said he had his anemometer set on kph instead of mph.


2,584 posted on 09/12/2008 9:52:08 PM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: Tuxedo

(probably my last post for night)

Yes- I agree this is not wobble or change of direction from my last look at the pictures. Also doesn’t look to me to be consolidating much, either, though, just churning a bit. Not much difference by now, anyway... hitting shore about now.

Pier 21 data took big drop in level the last half hour, but other sea levels are still rising, so it may be a data glitch of some type.


2,585 posted on 09/12/2008 9:52:28 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: FloridaGal

/waves hello
Thanks for joining us.


2,586 posted on 09/12/2008 9:52:34 PM PDT by Toki
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To: MeekOneGOP

Lol, nothing happening here yet!! So far nobody is getting the winds they expected! Officially it hasn’t “arrived” yet, lol.

The water surge has already flooded so many areas. I may wake in the night to winds and storm, just eerily quiet like the eye of a hurricane instead of the start.

Heading for bed.


2,587 posted on 09/12/2008 9:52:49 PM PDT by potlatch ("OUR LIVES BEGIN TO END THE DAY WE REMAIN SILENT ABOUT THE THINGS THAT MATTER")
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To: eyedigress

He’s kind of like a Weeble..or whatever those toys were.

“weebles wobble but they don’t fall down. ? “


2,588 posted on 09/12/2008 9:52:52 PM PDT by Shortstop7
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To: Xenalyte; humblegunner; SouthTexas

Here comes the rain and lots more wind!


2,589 posted on 09/12/2008 9:53:04 PM PDT by TheMom (Southwest Houston - near Sugar Land and Stafford)
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To: Eaker

You kept the puppies-hehehee I saw pics of them when they were little.


2,590 posted on 09/12/2008 9:53:26 PM PDT by fatima (Put your lipstick on girls and go vote.)
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To: FloridaGal

Hurricanes have no politcal ties, welcome.


2,591 posted on 09/12/2008 9:54:13 PM PDT by eyedigress
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To: All

Geraldo just said “Wow, I just got wet”.

WTF?!


2,592 posted on 09/12/2008 9:54:35 PM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: FloridaGal

Welcome to FR, on such a dark night.

Tatt


2,593 posted on 09/12/2008 9:54:39 PM PDT by thesearethetimes... ("Courage, is fear that has said its prayers." Dorothy Bernard)
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To: Truthsearcher
They’ll find the roof of tall buildings, etc.

35,000 of them? There aren't that many tall and sturdy buildings on the island. In the great hurricane at the beginning of the 20th century, people who climbed as high as they could, were killed when the buildings fell from being undermined by the water and waves. Some buildings are of course much stronger now, and the east end of the island is bit higher than it was then. They build it up to try to prevent another such disaster. Hope it worked.

2,594 posted on 09/12/2008 9:55:16 PM PDT by El Gato ("The Second Amendment is the RESET button of the United States Constitution." -- Doug McKay)
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To: MeekOneGOP

Wind and rain really starting to hit here.


2,595 posted on 09/12/2008 9:55:28 PM PDT by Eaker (Dutch expression "You can give a monkey a gold ring, but it stays an ugly thing." - EscapedDutch)
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To: tcrlaf

What them bouys/gauges reading? TWC says four feet over the G’town seawall now.


2,596 posted on 09/12/2008 9:55:52 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: dirtboy

This is my third attempt at replying to your post. I’ll type fast because the power keeps going off, and killing my post before I make it.

Conditions are deteriorating rapidly. Debris is flying. Obviously the power is on right now, but I can’t say that it will be 30 seconds from now.

I’ve got a safe room. Property can be replaced. Some treasured pictures and collectibles can’t, but life isn’t fair. I haven’t lost anything yet, so I don’t want sympathy, just the best wishes.

Posting now before this one is lost, too.


2,597 posted on 09/12/2008 9:56:03 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: RDTF
I must be the only one on FR that likes Shep

Naw, I like him, too. Every now and then I want to pop him upside the head, but the feeling passes.

2,598 posted on 09/12/2008 9:56:06 PM PDT by radiohead (Palin - conservative, female, mom, NRA member - good enough for me.)
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To: TheMom; Eaker; humblegunner

Hang on tight!


2,599 posted on 09/12/2008 9:56:21 PM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: fatima

Just seeing in the morning will be good, after a night like this.

Tatt


2,600 posted on 09/12/2008 9:56:27 PM PDT by thesearethetimes... ("Courage, is fear that has said its prayers." Dorothy Bernard)
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