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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: jeffers
I think this is worse than 1900: if they had seen their streets flooding early in the A.M absent the seawall, they would have evacuated.

They did see the streets flooding. Kids came home from the beach with stories of big waves smashing apart the beachhouses. Water came up to the doorsteps in several neighborhoods and still people stayed. Nobody expected the storm to be as bad as it was because the warnings were inadequate. After the wind picked up, and the roof of Ritter's saloon collapsed and killed several men, the storm was finally taken seriously. By then it was too late for most people to leave.

2,201 posted on 09/12/2008 8:25:54 PM PDT by Mozie (Normal day, let me be aware of the treasure you are...)
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To: Dr. Scarpetta; All

I think the Galveston Bay Entrance Buoy went down, no report since 2026 CT..

The Galveston Pier 21 NBDC Station is reporting a Sharp increase in water height to 9.97 ft. at 2206PM local.

Galveston Pleasure Pier (marina) is up to past 10 ft, now. Reading was at 2212 local.

All Houston bay Monitors now showing rising water, and higher levels in the front bay will be moving back.


2,202 posted on 09/12/2008 8:25:56 PM PDT by tcrlaf (SARAH PALIN-The American Everywoman (Yes, You Really CAN!))
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To: Dog Gone

placemarker


2,203 posted on 09/12/2008 8:26:14 PM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: Molly Pitcher

Haven’t been to Galvesto in about ten years but at that time there was a lot of touristy development around Moody Gardens, presumably that’s at considerable risk too even tho’ it’s on the “inside”.


2,204 posted on 09/12/2008 8:26:17 PM PDT by 1066AD
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To: AFPhys

Interesting, thanks for the link.


2,205 posted on 09/12/2008 8:26:30 PM PDT by palmer (Some third party malcontents don't like Palin because she is a true conservative)
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To: eyedigress

I agree...really was just warning anyone watching this coverage., which btw, might have been absorbed by at least some folks who think they can duplicate it, and stay, not evacuate....again their choice, but don’t expect the rescue folks to arrive in the knick of time under such horrific conditions.


2,206 posted on 09/12/2008 8:26:38 PM PDT by Molly Pitcher (We are Americans...the sons and daughters of liberty...*.from FReeper the Real fifi*))
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To: RDTF
I must be the only one on FR that likes Shep

Shep lost me when he was such a whiner during Katrina.

2,207 posted on 09/12/2008 8:26:53 PM PDT by Shortstop7
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To: Onerom99

That already happened today in S. Carolina and N. Carolina.


2,208 posted on 09/12/2008 8:27:04 PM PDT by conservativeinferno (My SUV is the urban squirrel's worst predator.)
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To: tioga

Shep and/or Geraldo lovers need to apply mascara NOW.


2,209 posted on 09/12/2008 8:27:08 PM PDT by txhurl (Denali/Bolton)
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To: Molly Pitcher
Hi Molly, yes, heartbreaking indeed.:(

Have you read "Isaac's Storm?"

2,210 posted on 09/12/2008 8:27:49 PM PDT by Mozie (Normal day, let me be aware of the treasure you are...)
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To: tcrlaf

The buoys farther out earlier today had 18ft seas on the NE side.


2,211 posted on 09/12/2008 8:27:56 PM PDT by eyedigress
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To: RDTF

No, I like him too. Ever since 9/11, and later when I ran into him in NYC (nice guy).


2,212 posted on 09/12/2008 8:28:02 PM PDT by coop71 (Being a redhead means never having to say you're sorry...)
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To: Dog Gone; TheMom; Eaker; RikaStrom; potlatch; humblegunner; All

I bet it’ll be approaching $6.50
in the Midwest next week.
This storm is bringing big trouble
to the whole country and maybe for
quite awhile.

Prayers on my pillow for all suffering
through the anxiety and uncertainty of
this dark, frightening night.

God’s merciful protection and safety
be with all of you. May He rest the
souls and comfort the families of
those who won’t be on this earth
tomorrow.

Until the am ........

The Lord is my Shepherd, I shall not want


2,213 posted on 09/12/2008 8:28:05 PM PDT by STARWISE (They (Dims) think of this WOT as Bush's war, not America's war-RichardMiniter, respected OBL author)
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To: txflake

-—which ones wears the stilletos?


2,214 posted on 09/12/2008 8:28:18 PM PDT by tioga (God have mercy on Galveston and all those in Ike's path.)
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To: 1066AD

I have reservations for the Gulf Coast Conference in mid-October at Moody Gardens.... wondering if it will happen or not. Galveston is a neat place. Great seaside restaurants. I hope it isn’t as bad as it sounds.


2,215 posted on 09/12/2008 8:28:29 PM PDT by Tuxedo (Just call her Sarah)
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To: tcrlaf

Right on time...


2,216 posted on 09/12/2008 8:28:31 PM PDT by jeffers
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Is that Shelia Jackson Lee standing in the back at the presser?


2,217 posted on 09/12/2008 8:28:34 PM PDT by WSGilcrest (Sarahlicious!)
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To: 1066AD

I have reservations for the Gulf Coast Conference in mid-October at Moody Gardens.... wondering if it will happen or not. Galveston is a neat place. Great seaside restaurants. I hope it isn’t as bad as it sounds.


2,218 posted on 09/12/2008 8:28:41 PM PDT by Tuxedo (Just call her Sarah)
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To: Shortstop7

yep - I know. And he’s a Demorat. But I think he’s amusing regardless.
Can’t take Geraldo tho.


2,219 posted on 09/12/2008 8:28:48 PM PDT by RDTF (my worst nightmare is being on jury duty sequestered with 11 liberals)
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To: txflake

Fox Channel weather guy just said NWS data shows winds at 200-300 feet above ground are around 150 mph. Expect a lot of flying glass in downtown Houston tonight.


2,220 posted on 09/12/2008 8:28:54 PM PDT by Rebelbase
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