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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: ReformedBeckite

It sure would be the mother of all storms... but GFDL models it to 82kts (94mph) over Detroit...

Can you imagine what a storm like that would do up around Chicago/ Detroit/ Cleveland/ Buffalo?

Yet, GFDL is very similar to the models used for climate modeling.


201 posted on 09/12/2008 7:17:58 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: NautiNurse

Thank you, NN.


202 posted on 09/12/2008 7:18:34 AM PDT by 2Jedismom (Family in Brazoria County, Houston and College Station.)
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To: NautiNurse

Oh my God, this is worse than yesterday.


203 posted on 09/12/2008 7:18:57 AM PDT by wastedyears (Single dudes for hockey moms.)
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To: lonestar

We are in southwest Houston, near Sugar Land and Stafford.

Following the crowd and changing my tagline.


204 posted on 09/12/2008 7:19:33 AM PDT by TheMom (Southwest Houston - near Sugar Land and Stafford)
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To: Moose4

Oh my God....

This is going to be awful... and, this time... It’s a Republican Govenor... no excuses.


205 posted on 09/12/2008 7:21:05 AM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( When you find yourself going through Hell, keep going!)
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To: Xenalyte

I figure it will be mid evening before we get the wind.

We are now headed outside to move everything inside.


206 posted on 09/12/2008 7:21:44 AM PDT by TheMom (Southwest Houston - near Sugar Land and Stafford)
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To: penelopesire

Thanks! Careful is my middle name.


207 posted on 09/12/2008 7:22:33 AM PDT by TheMom (Southwest Houston - near Sugar Land and Stafford)
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To: Moose4

Fools!! People that stay....when they have been told to leave and provided transportation really piss me off!!

If the water is already this bad with the storm hundreds of miles out..there is going to be nothing left of Galveston after this storm passes.

Another high tide expected around the time of landfall.


208 posted on 09/12/2008 7:22:59 AM PDT by penelopesire ("The only CHANGE you will get with the Democrats is the CHANGE left in your pocket")
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To: silentknight

If W were “on the ball”... they’d be announcing an National Gas Rationing plan right now... cause, about 20% of the country’s refining capacity is going to be out of commission for several weeks....

Gas is going to be outrageously high in the months leading up to the election.


209 posted on 09/12/2008 7:23:01 AM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( When you find yourself going through Hell, keep going!)
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To: NautiNurse
Live streamed coverage from FOX's Houston afilliate...

www.myfoxhoustonlive.com

Scary pics and the storm isn't even there yet.

210 posted on 09/12/2008 7:24:31 AM PDT by mewzilla (In politics the middle way is none at all. John Adams)
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To: TornadoAlley3

I am worried about the ones that stayed behind. My friends brother is in Panama City getting married and he said the surf is insane there right now.


211 posted on 09/12/2008 7:24:36 AM PDT by meanie monster
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To: Xenalyte; TheMom

I was thinking that we would start to see some effects around lunch time. I am going to go walk the yard in a bit to see if I have anything laying about that needs to be moved. Psycho’s toys are in the yard, but they are all plush type things, but the sprinkler stuff and any branches need to go.

You should see my garage. LOL, the house I bought, had the Vine thing on one of the outside walls, I took it down last week. Makes the house look so much nicer, anyway, heavy trash is in two weeks, so it’s riding out the storm in the garage. Looks odd. :-)


212 posted on 09/12/2008 7:24:51 AM PDT by RikaStrom (The number one rule of the Kama Sutra is that you both be on the same page.../Exeter 051705)
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To: SomeCallMeTim

“This is going to be awful... and, this time... It’s a Republican Govenor... no excuses.”

If people refuse to leave, it certainly is not the Gov.’s fault!!

They have been warned and provided transportation out of harm’s way....if they die..it is their own damn fault!


213 posted on 09/12/2008 7:25:19 AM PDT by penelopesire ("The only CHANGE you will get with the Democrats is the CHANGE left in your pocket")
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To: SomeCallMeTim

So what would you have the “Republican” Governor do?

During Rita when they tried to evacuate Houston a city of 5 million people a hundred and ten people died in the evacuation itself who would’ve survived by staying put.

It is very different from evacuating New Orleans.

They have told everybody to get off Galveston Island.

If half of them didn’t because they didn’t want to...

No excuses??

Uh huh.


214 posted on 09/12/2008 7:25:43 AM PDT by txrangerette (Just say "no" to the Obama Cult.)
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To: penelopesire

We are sitting here watching the local TV coverage ~ I am amazed how much water is already covering Galveston and the surrounding area. Anyone still there is an idiot with a deathwish.


215 posted on 09/12/2008 7:26:07 AM PDT by TheMom (Southwest Houston - near Sugar Land and Stafford)
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To: penelopesire; SomeCallMeTim

Amen.

See my post immediately following yours.


216 posted on 09/12/2008 7:27:48 AM PDT by txrangerette (Just say "no" to the Obama Cult.)
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To: TheMom

Is the bay side of the island already starting to flood? Is there any sort of seawall or breakwater on the “back” of the island toward the bay, or is it only on the Gulf side?

}:-)4


217 posted on 09/12/2008 7:28:48 AM PDT by Moose4 (http://moosedroppings.wordpress.com -- Because 20 million self-important blogs just aren't enough.)
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To: TheMom

I agree! The media will do everything they can to blame Perry though.

Houses already breaking up in Galveston now.


218 posted on 09/12/2008 7:29:31 AM PDT by penelopesire ("The only CHANGE you will get with the Democrats is the CHANGE left in your pocket")
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To: TheMom

In Friendswood (yeah, zone B) at 24+ feet elevation. We’re hanging in, a 8 KW generator and a couple weeks of food, probably a week of water, maybe more coming.

My anxiety level is a bit higher as Ike approaches, but the safe havens have just as much wind as here. Storm surge bugs me, but we seem to be higher. I’ll be sending lots of kneemails, I expect.


219 posted on 09/12/2008 7:29:52 AM PDT by Frank_Discussion (May the wings of Liberty never lose a feather!)
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To: Xenalyte

We have to move the Rita crap in the garage around to make room for Ike crap.

Need to clean that place up next week!


220 posted on 09/12/2008 7:30:05 AM PDT by Eaker (Dutch expression "You can give a monkey a gold ring, but it stays an ugly thing." - EscapedDutch)
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