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Poll: McCain takes 1 point lead in Michigan (45-44)
Real Clear Politics ^
| 09/11/2008
| Insider Advantage/Poll Position
Posted on 09/11/2008 12:59:31 PM PDT by jerry557
Link is via Real Clear Politics to a pdf file. Cant post excerpt...
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Michigan
KEYWORDS: 2008election; 2008polls; electionpresident; mccain; mccainpalin; mi2008; michigan; polls; swingstates
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To: jerry557
You know what is odd about this poll? Look at the breakdown by age. The majority of voters polled that went for Mccain are in the 19-29 age group. I thought Obama had the younger vote wrapped up?
41
posted on
09/11/2008 1:14:05 PM PDT
by
rtsimon
To: jerry557
Good news. It’s close in MI. Still..it’s 8 weeks out, and we see how polls can change, but I’m liking this trend.
To: Maine Mariner
If Obama can't win the key Democrat groups, what does that say about his political appeal? A Republican isn't supposed to lead in MI! If this doesn't shake the Obama campaign's complacency and the MSM's arrogance, nothing will. I think McCain-Palin are going to be back to capitalize on the momentum.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
43
posted on
09/11/2008 1:15:13 PM PDT
by
goldstategop
(In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
To: jerry557
This is encouraging. I think McCain has a better chance in Michigan than President Bush did in 2004. If McCain is ahead by at least 5% on Election Day eve, he'll have a chance of carrying the state.
Remember than Wayne County (Detroit) precincts regularly turn out over 100% of registered voters. Yes, that's fraud, and no, you can't do anything about it but win the rest of the state by big margins. :)
44
posted on
09/11/2008 1:16:06 PM PDT
by
TonyInOhio
(Government intervention helped make the Great Depression great.)
To: jerry557
Taxpayer funded ACORN fake votes and criminal fraud in Detroit adds points to the Obamanation.
But the trends are heading in the right direction. McCain has an excellent chance of carrying Michigan!
45
posted on
09/11/2008 1:18:37 PM PDT
by
FormerACLUmember
(When the past no longer illuminates the future, the spirit walks in darkness.)
To: Maine Mariner
I think they’ve transposed the numbers for the age categories and assigned them to the wrong candidate. There’s no way that I believe McCain is winning 18-29 year olds but losing everyone else.
46
posted on
09/11/2008 1:18:46 PM PDT
by
VOR78
To: rtsimon
I thought Obama had the younger vote wrapped up? Not necessarily. My son goes to school in PA and told me he didn't draw a fraction of the crowd he had during primaries (there were thousands lined up in the rain). Not too many Nittally Lions came out for him this time around.
To: rtsimon
You know what is odd about this poll? Look at the breakdown by age. The majority of voters polled that went for Mccain are in the 19-29 age group. I thought Obama had the younger vote wrapped up? Maybe the college-age and young adults are aware of Obama's "Nittaly Lions" comment about Penn State and think he's an idiot.
48
posted on
09/11/2008 1:18:56 PM PDT
by
CatOwner
To: jerry557
I hate to be overly optimistic but this is quite significant. If a Blue state like MI has McCain leading, even if by only 1 point, this looks like the beginning of a trend that might portend a possible disaster in the making...for Obama.
I have said before that this election, instead of being close like 2000 and 2004, may be a replay of 1972 when the far-left George McGovern got clobbered by Nixon, 520 electoral votes to 17 for McGovern. The Dems are running a candidate who is even further to the left than McGovern. And McGovern was actually a patriot...he was a Bomber pilot during WWII and flew missions over Europe. I cannot believe that America will put a far-left candidate like Obama in the Presidency.
To: Conservative Actuary
Detroit’s mayor going down has to do with that. Apparently the black leadership there thinks Obama threw Kilpatrick under the bus.
50
posted on
09/11/2008 1:19:55 PM PDT
by
Styria
To: TonyInOhio
Even if Obama ends up carrying the state in the end. The point is that if these polls are close in these big blue states, Obama is going to be forced to spend time and money playing defense in Kerry states that he should have easily have wrapped up.
This type of thing will keep him out of Florida, Virginia, and Colorado.
51
posted on
09/11/2008 1:19:57 PM PDT
by
jerry557
To: Prole
Oh look, it's the new Jackie O.
To: TonyInOhio
OMG!!!! This is looking good!! Keep it up McPalin!!
To: jerry557
This will help in Michigan, too:
Go Wings!
54
posted on
09/11/2008 1:21:14 PM PDT
by
TonyInOhio
(Government intervention helped make the Great Depression great.)
To: Prole
M'Obama ain't gonna take this news too lightly.
She is unproud... Not enough dead voters in Wayne County to give Barry Sotero those 17 electoral votes
55
posted on
09/11/2008 1:22:50 PM PDT
by
BigEdLB
(Let's get serious - there is only one choice - McCain/Palin 2008)
To: Always Right
If Obama has to fight to keep MI and PA, he is is in real trouble. McCain is solidifying OH and FL.
BINGO. It is not so much that we may win Michigan (the fraud in Detroit is probably impossible to overcome unless we are 10 points up), but the fact that Obama had to spend a lot of this week in Pennsylvania. Any day he is in a blue state from 2004 is a day he is not in Virginia, Ohio or Colorado.
Picking up Pennsylvania is probably possible and would go a long way towards making up for problems we are having en New Mexico and Nevada. Obama's great lakes difficulty in Minnesota, Wisconsin and Michigan is unlikely to be a game changer. They do offer a fantastic distraction, forcing team Obama to spend a lot of time in states he didn't think he had to worry about, and allowing us to shore up our week points. Who knows the "Gales of November" could come early and blow Obama all the way back to Chicago.
56
posted on
09/11/2008 1:22:58 PM PDT
by
GonzoGOP
(There are millions of paranoid people in the world and they are all out to get me.)
To: jerry557
This just means the Dems (and their propaganda department, the MSM) are going to get even more nasty. Break out the lifeboats, it’s going to start getting very deep.
To: Maine Mariner
I am not surprised that Obama is losing the youth vote but I dont believe he would be getting only 77% of the black vote.
On the surface, something does not feel right. On the surfacem that sounds racists to me. I can totally believe that 23% of the blacks actually can think for themselves.
To: jerry557
I wouldn’t give this poll much credence. It has McCain leading decisively amongsts 18-29 year olds and Obama leading amongst older voters.
It has Obama slaughtering McCain among women (Obama +23).
Something is very screwy with these numbers.
Frank
To: jerry557
I think that Bambi’s internals have shown this and that is why he is getting unhinged and nasty.
60
posted on
09/11/2008 1:25:08 PM PDT
by
golfisnr1
(Democrats are like roaches - hard to get rid of.)
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