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Rasmussen: Obama 51 - McCain 45 (from 49-46 yesterday)
Rasmussen ^ | 09/02/2008 | Rasmussen

Posted on 09/02/2008 6:40:33 AM PDT by ubaldus

Obama is up by 6 in today's Rasmussen tracker, by 5 without leaners (48 - 43). It is obviuos that McCain had a very bad polling day yesterday, something like 42-53 daily sample or even worse.

Some of it may be statistical noise, but it appears that all the noise around Palin selection is starting to hurt.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; 2008rncconvention; 2008veep; biden; electionpresident; mccain; mccainpalin; obama; palin; palinattacks
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To: LadyNavyVet
Cold cause for comfort. He made the election close. It could go either way but we'll see how well the rest of the convention goes this week.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

81 posted on 09/02/2008 7:01:26 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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Hey, put it this way

Wasn’t McCain up 2 in Zogby and down one in CNN’s poll?

but CBS has it at +8 for Obama

Polls are all over the place ughhh....


82 posted on 09/02/2008 7:01:38 AM PDT by KavMan
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To: AmericaUnited; ubaldus; Russ; Alter Kaker

It’s a state-by-state fight. Pay attention to OH, CO, NH and NV.


83 posted on 09/02/2008 7:01:45 AM PDT by tomymind
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To: padre35
Right now, it seems like McCain made a mistake in picking Palin by not “knowing” about the pregnancy, Palin must dispell that perception, the sooner, the better.

You might have missed it, but Palin told the McCain camp that Bristol was pregnant. He knew this and picked her anyway. For me this is a non-issue. Do I like it? No, because it is a distraction, but I also remember that the American public has a short memory.
84 posted on 09/02/2008 7:01:53 AM PDT by Federalist Society
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To: Edit35
"But now I read in the local newspaper today (Tuesday) that Sarah's husband Todd recently had a DUI."

You call 1986, when he was 22 years old, "recently"?

85 posted on 09/02/2008 7:01:55 AM PDT by Redleg Duke ("All gave some, and some gave all!")
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To: Edit35

The DUI was 20 years ago before any of his kids were born.


86 posted on 09/02/2008 7:02:15 AM PDT by moose2004 (Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill And Then Drill Some More)
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To: pa mom
And now the base is upset by the pregnancy news.

No it's not. This is a private matter and it's being handled perfectly as far as I'm concerned. I'm MUCH more interested in how Palin took on Murkowski and won and how she cleaned up the GOP in Alaska.

87 posted on 09/02/2008 7:02:26 AM PDT by pgkdan (Tolerance is the virtue of the man without convictions - G.K. Chesterton)
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To: Edit35
I don't mind saying I'm disgusted.

You're also ill-informed. That DUI happened in 1986.

Stop believing what the media is spoon-feeding you.

88 posted on 09/02/2008 7:03:01 AM PDT by TonyInOhio (Government intervention helped make the Great Depression great.)
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To: ubaldus

Just have to wonder who they poll. I also have to believe that they somehow cook the numbers to influence voters. These pollsters have been wrong before!


89 posted on 09/02/2008 7:03:09 AM PDT by Shery (in APO Land)
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To: cdga5for4

Look, I do think Obama has an advantage in this election. It’s his to lose but I do not at all think it’s a done deal. This is far from over.

That is my point. McCain should be working extra hard to win this thing.


90 posted on 09/02/2008 7:03:49 AM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: goldstategop
"We shall see. If the GOP can't turn it around during convention week, then its highly unlikely they win the election."

Your expertise and four quarters is worth one dollar.

91 posted on 09/02/2008 7:03:49 AM PDT by Artemis Webb (Sarah Palin: Babies, Guns, Jesus. HOT DAMN!)
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To: Edit35
Sarah's husband Todd recently had a DUI.

Learn to read beyond the headline. The DUI was 22 years ago.

92 posted on 09/02/2008 7:03:50 AM PDT by nwrep (Obama - the first Mohammedan to run for the White House)
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To: Edit35

DUI was around 1986 when he was about 21. You’re going to consider something that happened 22 years ago?


93 posted on 09/02/2008 7:04:02 AM PDT by sox_the_cat
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To: Edit35
But now I read in the local newspaper today (Tuesday) that Sarah's husband Todd recently had a DUI.

22 years ago is not recently.

94 posted on 09/02/2008 7:04:24 AM PDT by DouglasKC
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To: Corin Stormhands

Yep, this is a non starter, what is interesting is post convention the DNC bounce, was about 5-6 points, and that’s not a big enough lead for the least experienced candidate ever put forth by a major party.

The Palin selection has absolutely electrified the base, the reaction of leftist bloggers and MSM folks to the pregnancy thing is going to turn off a lot of folks as well.

By next tuesday we’ll know in the polling numbers where things stand. The RNC convention will be over, and will have had enough time to be showing up in the numbers.

There is no doubt to anyone breathing that Palin solidified the conservative base behind the ticket, and electrified it. The debates are yet to come, and we all know Fauxbama will do poorly in them, as he has done everytime he’s had to fly without a net and actually think on his feet.

51 to 46 after the corronation, and while polling over a holiday weekend, is not anything to get excited over, its not even a trend. Relax, by early next week we’ll know the lay of the land.


95 posted on 09/02/2008 7:04:40 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: ubaldus
..this is a chess match, not checkers

Davis and his crew had to anticipate all of this when SP was vetted.

The counterstrike is going to be hard and damaging. We will see a turnaround once the convention gets going IMO...

96 posted on 09/02/2008 7:05:02 AM PDT by WalterSkinner ( In Memory of My Father--WWII Vet and Patriot 1926-2007)
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To: Edit35

Would you survive your own scrutiny of a “model citizen”?


97 posted on 09/02/2008 7:05:41 AM PDT by listenhillary (Why are many feminists not feminine? I think they should give the word back.)
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To: TonyInOhio

>> You’re basing this statement on a single-digit poll taken on the weekend after the DNC Convention? Please.

I’m basing this statement on all available polls. This is not 1988 or even 2000, information saturation is much higher, news cycle is faster, and bumps are smaller.

In addition, Rasmussen methodology is favorable for McCain (since he fixes party ID weights). +6 in his poll is big, tells us that Obama’s Dem support rate is very close to McCain’s GOP support rate. If it stays that way, this is really bad news.


98 posted on 09/02/2008 7:06:11 AM PDT by ubaldus
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To: KavMan
How is her husband’s DUI when he was in his 20’s going to affect anyone?

The libs are true hypocrites. Kennedy drove a woman off a bridge, Byrd was a klan member, Clinton was impeached, Edwards is a low life cheater, Clinton's press secretary Dee Dee Myers had a dui as did Congressman Kennedy, etc.

99 posted on 09/02/2008 7:06:12 AM PDT by jersey117
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To: HamiltonJay; All

Also look in how the candidates campaign.. They go by their internals..


100 posted on 09/02/2008 7:06:26 AM PDT by KevinDavis (If Obama can't handle a town hall debate, then he can't handle the job of being President.)
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