[ubaldus]

>> You’re basing this statement on a single-digit poll taken on the weekend after the DNC Convention? Please.

I’m basing this statement on all available polls. This is not 1988 or even 2000, information saturation is much higher, news cycle is faster, and bumps are smaller.

In addition, Rasmussen methodology is favorable for McCain (since he fixes party ID weights). +6 in his poll is big, tells us that Obama’s Dem support rate is very close to McCain’s GOP support rate. If it stays that way, this is really bad news.

[goldstategop]

Yep. Because the electorate is more heavily Dem than in 2004. My feeling it will depend on which side does the better job of getting its voters out. Obama has that registration advantage going for him and of course registration isn't everything but with the GOP brand nane as battered as it has been, its a huge plus. And he has the cheerleading MSM in his corner to help him win.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

[LadyNavyVet]

“...tells us that Obama’s Dem support rate is very close to McCain’s GOP support rate.”

Gallup’s discussion today says exactly that. For the first time, BHO is getting the same support from Dems as McCain’s getting from Reps.

The GOP needs a heckuva convention, which is going to be hard to do with Hurricane Hanna for the MSM to talk about, when they’re not talking about Palin’s support for abstinence-only sex education.

Palin’s personable and she handles herself well. Were I McCain, I’d get her out on the chick show circuit and let her state her case to Oprah and the View nags, Regis and whatshername, etc... If she’s gonna pull PUMAs, she needs to go where they are and state her case.