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Rasmussen: Obama 51 - McCain 45 (from 49-46 yesterday)
Rasmussen ^ | 09/02/2008 | Rasmussen

Posted on 09/02/2008 6:40:33 AM PDT by ubaldus

Obama is up by 6 in today's Rasmussen tracker, by 5 without leaners (48 - 43). It is obviuos that McCain had a very bad polling day yesterday, something like 42-53 daily sample or even worse.

Some of it may be statistical noise, but it appears that all the noise around Palin selection is starting to hurt.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; 2008rncconvention; 2008veep; biden; electionpresident; mccain; mccainpalin; obama; palin; palinattacks
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To: calex59
Since Rasmussen has his Party ID weights preset (based on the 30-day huge sample), the demographics of each daily sample does not matter much - he reweighs the sample anyway. Also, this minimizes the “weekend bias” and other real or imaginary sampling artifacts. What this bump shows is that Obama is consolidating all self-identified Democrats, and also pulls his share of Independents.
221 posted on 09/02/2008 7:57:06 AM PDT by ubaldus
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To: Centurion2000
Evangelicals rally behind Palin after pregnancy news

CNN ^ | September 1, 2008 | Rebecca Sinderbrand

Posted on Tuesday, September 02, 2008 12:39:14 AM by SolidWood

ST. PAUL, Minnesota (CNN) -- Key evangelical leaders rallied to Sarah Palin's support Monday amid news that her 17-year-old daughter, Bristol, was having a child.

"Before, they were excited about her, with the Down syndrome baby," conservative, anti-tax activist Grover Norquist said. "But now with this, they are over the moon. It reinforces the fact that this family lives its pro-life values."

Evangelicals rally behind Palin after pregnancy news CNN ^ | September 1, 2008 | Rebecca Sinderbrand Posted on Tuesday, September 02, 2008 12:39:14 AM by SolidWood ST. PAUL, Minnesota (CNN) -- Key evangelical leaders rallied to Sarah Palin's support Monday amid news that her 17-year-old daughter, Bristol, was having a child. "Before, they were excited about her, with the Down syndrome baby," conservative, anti-tax activist Grover Norquist said. "But now with this, they are over the moon. It reinforces the fact that this family lives its pro-life values."

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2072825/posts

 

222 posted on 09/02/2008 7:58:21 AM PDT by 1035rep
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To: nmh

Well, obviously I can’t speak for every republican out there, but I can say this, she’s excited a base that was less than excited as far as I can tell.

$10 Million in 3 days over a holiday weekend for the McCain camp is something that cannot be ignored. The dynamic of the conservative base has certainly shifted among those I have spoken to since friday. From one of largely moderate to unenthusiastic support to one of true excitement.


223 posted on 09/02/2008 7:58:24 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: puroresu

“Todd Palin’s DUI was from over 20 years ago, before he even had any kids. He wasn’t drinking because he was Mr. Mom and had a pregnant teen daughter.”

If this was over 20 years ago, I COULD CARE LESS!

It was presented as “recently” which appears to be incorrect.


224 posted on 09/02/2008 8:01:03 AM PDT by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God).)
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To: rface
I hope Palin and Family have the will to stick this out.

That's my earnest wish too. I sent an Email to the McCain campaign, saying I think she is a great candidate. I had tried to leave a voice mail before that, but the "box" was full.

225 posted on 09/02/2008 8:01:27 AM PDT by syriacus (FIRST check out the Alaska state webpages. THEN tell me that governing Alaska is easy.)
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To: Hattie

States have actually be trending toward McCain, and that’s the point. I see nothing in this new poll that changes that.

Last update of states showed every state that moved, moved toward McCain. Strong D’s moved to Lean D’s, Lean D’s moved to Toss ups, toss ups moved to lean R and lean R’s moved to strong R. Last update of the states by Rasmussen showed ZERO states moving D at all.


226 posted on 09/02/2008 8:01:46 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: pepperdog

“Please repost, your comment makes no sense as written.”

Which post?


227 posted on 09/02/2008 8:03:08 AM PDT by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God).)
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To: Edit35

Don’t sweat it!

As long as it is cleared up - who cares!

Why do you think we have erasers on the end of most pencils?

Heck we all make mistakes.


228 posted on 09/02/2008 8:04:15 AM PDT by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God).)
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To: Edit35

Lighten up on yourself!

It’s OKAY!

Forget the emotinally disturbed “conservatives” that want to crucify you. They’re as bad as LIBERALS with their constant beating up on you. Yes, there are emotional nutkobs on each side of the aisle.


229 posted on 09/02/2008 8:06:15 AM PDT by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God).)
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To: Edit35
many people will only focus on the daughter's pregnancy .... and will subconsciously worry that THEIR daughters will want to get pregnant

My daughter (who was 30-ish and had used birth control) got pregnant before her marriage, too.

Palin will get the very enthusiastic support of lots of grandmothers like me .. and grandfathers like my husband...And mothers like my daughter... and fathers like my son-in-law.

230 posted on 09/02/2008 8:06:56 AM PDT by syriacus (FIRST check out the Alaska state webpages. THEN tell me that governing Alaska is easy.)
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To: LadyNavyVet

“Sott Rasmussen is an evangelical Christian Republican.”

Are you sure about that?

I read some where ... don’t ask where ... that he was a Demoncrat. I’d LIKE to be wrong. You do worry me with the “Evangelical” part considering how they treated Mitt ... . In the long run though, it shouldn’t matter. He’s a poller.


231 posted on 09/02/2008 8:08:24 AM PDT by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God).)
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To: Edit35
Bristol Palin's pregnancy is like getting a punch in the gut. It takes the wind out of the GOP sails

How so?

Plus, the Gustav storm took the minds off of the Republican convention

Not after today. ;)

McCain and Palin KNEW they would eventually have to make this pregnancy thing public ... they should have somehow figured a way to inform the public right up front, instead of having it look like it was a big deep dark secret that was outed by the left wing kooks.

I disagree. It's a personal issue. . .unfortunate, but something that most parents can sympathize with. The libs will hurt themselves the more they make an issue of it.

232 posted on 09/02/2008 8:08:41 AM PDT by MEGoody (Ye shall know the truth, and the truth shall cause you to vote against the Democrats.)
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To: listenhillary
Would you survive your own scrutiny of a “model citizen”?

Heck NO!!

I was among the worst, having been lured to the wrong side in the late 60s and 70s....by the promise of free sex, drugs, and rock n' roll. (have since made a complete recovery)

In fact, I have been on a crusade as of late to 'expose' the deep dark secrets of various reporters and editors who seem obsessed with attacking conservatives, while leaving Democrats alone.

I don't care if the newspaper IS a private corporation.

If they put themselves in the business of pushing public policy, they deserve to be outed as the lying cretins they are.

233 posted on 09/02/2008 8:09:15 AM PDT by Edit35 (.)
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To: Alter Kaker
So now all of the polls are wrong?

Untwist your panties, dear. I merely said Rasmussen blew it this time. The excitement over Palin is palpable.

Every national poll has McCain down 6-8 right now.

Got links?

234 posted on 09/02/2008 8:10:37 AM PDT by MEGoody (Ye shall know the truth, and the truth shall cause you to vote against the Democrats.)
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To: HamiltonJay

It’s really a mixed bad within the conservative base.

I think most will vote for McCain even if they don’t like his pick ... but many are NOT happy with the pick, the role reversal (Mr. Mom) and pregnant daughter situation. They just don’t want to voice it because they feel bad for Sarah. Role reversal (Mr. Mom) and the unwed pregnancy is NOT a conservative posture nor does it play well with conservative Christians ... .


235 posted on 09/02/2008 8:11:56 AM PDT by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God).)
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To: ExTexasRedhead
. . .everywhere I went over the weekend, they were awed by Palin and can’t wait to support her.

Yep. Only people I ran into who weren't excited or intrigued were far left libs. And this was even after the announcement of her daughter's pregnancy.

236 posted on 09/02/2008 8:12:21 AM PDT by MEGoody (Ye shall know the truth, and the truth shall cause you to vote against the Democrats.)
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To: staytrue

There’s something in what you say. However, I will take it one step further. I saw the polling results yesterday that said that while men loved Palin, women didn’t. So I was thinking about this while swimming my daily laps this morning. That’s when I do my best thinking. Anyhoo, personally, I love the Palin pick. She’s a real conservative, unlike the guy at the top of the ticket. I also don’t have a problem with self-made, attractive women.

But, frankly, a LOT of women do. I believe that the calculus was made by the McCain campaign that they weren’t going to win this on Republican and independent male votes alone, so maybe Palin could pull enough independent white women and PUMAs to change the race. However, I’m sure you’ve looked at footage of Hillary’s rallies as I have. Those women are not exactly the beauty queen type, and few of them look self-made. Also, nobody thinks that Hillary got where she was on her looks.

I don’t think in the long run the daughter’s pregnancy nor the husband’s DUI hurt the ticket. However, if the perception becomes that McCain picked Palin SOLELY because she’s a woman, or, even worse, if they believe she zoomed to the pinnacle of politics in record time because she’s pretty and has big boobs, that will be deadly. Few independent women, and even fewer PUMAs, will vote for a beauty queen who’s riding on her looks. And I imagine that many, if not most, are quite willing to believe that’s the case even if it’s not. Jealousy is an ugly thing, but it’s very real, and a powerful motivator.


237 posted on 09/02/2008 8:12:37 AM PDT by LadyNavyVet
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To: Edit35

I saw your post later where you were upset with the newspaper. Give them hell.


238 posted on 09/02/2008 8:13:07 AM PDT by listenhillary (Why are many feminists not feminine? I think they should give the word back.)
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To: nmh

The GOP bounce will determine allot!

Are conservatives really excited about Sarah or is it just the more vocal ones dominating the microphone? The polls are showing a mixed reaction to Sarah. One of them came out with 39% approve, 39% don’t approve and the rest are undecided and that is within the GOP BASE.

:
:
:

What poll was that?


239 posted on 09/02/2008 8:14:58 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: nmh

I’m sre about the evangelical Christian part. I’ve never actually been in the voting booth with him, though.


240 posted on 09/02/2008 8:15:09 AM PDT by LadyNavyVet
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