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Lord Nelson and Captain Cook's shiplogs question climate change theories
Daily Telegraph (UK) ^ | August 4, 2008 | Tom Peterkin

Posted on 08/04/2008 3:18:54 AM PDT by Cincinatus

The ships' logs of great maritime figures such as Lord Nelson and Captain Cook have cast new light on climate change by suggesting that global warming may not be an entirely man-made phenomenon.

Scientists have uncovered a treasure trove of meteorological information contained in the detailed logs kept by those on board the vessels that established Britain's great seafaring traditition including those on Nelsons' Victory and Cook's Endeavour.

(Excerpt) Read more at telegraph.co.uk ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: captaincook; catastrophism; climate; climatechange; globalwarming; globalwarmingscare; godsgravesglyphs; greenieweenies; junkscience; lordnelson; naval; pseudoscience; records; starkravingsocialism; thegreenmenace
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What evil oil company supported this work?
1 posted on 08/04/2008 3:18:55 AM PDT by Cincinatus
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To: Cincinatus; FrPR; enough_idiocy; rdl6989; IrishCatholic; Normandy; Delacon; ...
 




Beam me to Planet Gore !

2 posted on 08/04/2008 3:23:20 AM PDT by steelyourfaith
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To: Cincinatus

Big whale oil


3 posted on 08/04/2008 3:25:20 AM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of the Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Cincinatus

Nothing much new to those paying attention. And it will be ignored of course by those seeking more statism. It has long ago not be about any science.


4 posted on 08/04/2008 3:26:40 AM PDT by JLS
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To: mylife

ROFL!


5 posted on 08/04/2008 3:30:13 AM PDT by Cincinatus (Omnia relinquit servare Rempublicam)
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To: Cincinatus

WHAT??? Its gotten hot before???

My flabbers are completely ghasted.


6 posted on 08/04/2008 3:32:40 AM PDT by Adder (typical bitter white person)
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To: mylife
Big whale oil

You realize that's redundant? :=]

7 posted on 08/04/2008 3:40:40 AM PDT by tbpiper (NObama '08 - Unfit in any color)
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To: mylife
Big whale oil

LOL! Post of the day!

8 posted on 08/04/2008 3:44:32 AM PDT by SolidWood (Obamarxislamism, the threat to our Republic!)
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To: Cincinatus
Nelson's HMS Victory:

Capt. Cook's Endeavor:


9 posted on 08/04/2008 3:52:14 AM PDT by BroJoeK (A little historical perspective....)
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To: Cincinatus

Now we can ARRRG...ue against global warming in prirate talk.


10 posted on 08/04/2008 3:55:21 AM PDT by Thrownatbirth (.....Iraq Invasion fan since '91.)
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To: Adder
"My flabbers are completely ghasted."

Me timbers are completely shivvvvered.

11 posted on 08/04/2008 3:56:54 AM PDT by BroJoeK (A little historical perspective....)
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To: Cincinatus; All
From the posted article:

"Their studies have raised questions about modern climate change theories. A paper by Dennis Wheeler, a geographer based at Sunderland University, recounts an increasing number of summer storms over Britain in the late 17th century. Many scientists believe that storms are caused by global warming, but these [in the new study] came during the so-called Little Ice Age that affected Europe from about 1600 to 1850. The records also suggest that Europe saw a spell of rapid warming, similar to that experienced today, during the 1730s that must have been caused naturally."

For most of the Little Ice Age, there were little to no sunspots observed.

If you look at the chart below, you will see that sunspot activity (during solar maxes--the individual peaks) has been relatively high since about 1900 and almost non-existent for the period between about 1625 and 1725. This period is known as the Maunder (sunspot) Minimum or "Little Ice Age".

From BBC News [yr: 2004]:
"A new [2004] analysis shows that the Sun is more active now than it has been at anytime in the previous 1,000 years. Scientists based at the Institute for Astronomy in Zurich used ice cores from Greenland to construct a picture of our star's activity in the past. They say that over the last century the number of sunspots rose at the same time that the Earth's climate became steadily warmer."..."In particular, it has been noted that between about 1645 and 1715, few sunspots were seen on the Sun's surface. This period is called the Maunder Minimum after the English astronomer who studied it. It coincided with a spell of prolonged cold weather often referred to as the "Little Ice Age". Solar scientists strongly suspect there is a link between the two events - but the exact mechanism remains elusive."
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/3869753.stm

It's really hard to imagine how this little ball of fire could have any impact on our climate at all.

But the main arguments being made for a solar-climate connection is not so much to do with the heat of the Sun but rather with its magnetic cycles. When the Sun is more magnetically active (typically around the peak of the 11 year sunspot cycle --we are a few yrs away at the moment), the Sun's magnetic field is better able to deflect away incoming galactic cosmic rays (highly energetic charged particles coming from outside the solar system). The GCRs are thought to help in the formation of low-level cumulus clouds -the type of clouds that BLOCK sunlight and help cool the Earth. So when the Sun's MF is acting up (not like now), less GCRs reach the Earth's atmosphere, less low level sunlight-blocking clouds form, and more sunlight gets through to warm the Earth's surface...naturally. Clouds are basically made up of tiny water droplets. When minute particles in the atmosphere become ionized by incoming GCRs they become very 'attractive' to water molecules, in a purely chemical sense of the word. The process by which the Sun's increased magnetic field would deflect incoming cosmic rays is very similar to the way magnetic fields steer electrons in a cathode ray tube or electrons and other charged particles around the ring of a subatomic particle accelerator.-ETL

____________________________________________________

There's a relatively new book out on the subject titled The Chilling Stars. It's written by one of the top scientists advancing the theory (Henrik Svensmark).

http://www.sciencedaily.com/books/t/1840468157-the_chilling_stars_the_new_theory_of_climate_change.htm

And here is the website for the place where he does his research:
2008: "The Center for Sun-Climate Research at the DNSC investigates the connection between variations in the intensity of cosmic rays and climatic changes on Earth. This field of research has been given the name 'cosmoclimatology'"..."Cosmic ray intensities – and therefore cloudiness – keep changing because the Sun's magnetic field varies in its ability to repel cosmic rays coming from the Galaxy, before they can reach the Earth." :
http://www.spacecenter.dk/research/sun-climate

100,000-Year Climate Pattern Linked To Sun's Magnetic Cycles:
ScienceDaily (Jun. 7, 2002) HANOVER, N.H.
Thanks to new calculations by a Dartmouth geochemist, scientists are now looking at the earth's climate history in a new light. Mukul Sharma, Assistant Professor of Earth Sciences at Dartmouth, examined existing sets of geophysical data and noticed something remarkable: the sun's magnetic activity is varying in 100,000-year cycles, a much longer time span than previously thought, and this solar activity, in turn, may likely cause the 100,000-year climate cycles on earth. This research helps scientists understand past climate trends and prepare for future ones.
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2002/06/020607073439.htm

From a well-referenced wikipedia.com column (see wiki link for ref 14):
"Sunspot numbers over the past 11,400 years have been reconstructed using dendrochronologically dated radiocarbon concentrations. The level of solar activity during the past 70 years is exceptional — the last period of similar magnitude occurred over 8,000 years ago. The Sun was at a similarly high level of magnetic activity for only ~10% of the past 11,400 years, and almost all of the earlier high-activity periods were shorter than the present episode.[14]"

[14] ^Solanki, Sami K.; Usoskin, Ilya G.; Kromer, Bernd; Schüssler, Manfred & Beer, Jürg (2004), “Unusual activity of the Sun during recent decades compared to the previous 11,000 years”, Nature 431: 1084–1087, doi:10.1038/nature02995, . Retrieved on 17 April 2007 , "11,000 Year Sunspot Number Reconstruction". Global Change Master Directory. Retrieved on 2005-03-11.


"Reconstruction of solar activity over 11,400 years. Period of equally high activity over 8,000 years ago marked.
Present period is on [the right]. Values since 1900 not shown."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_variation

12 posted on 08/04/2008 3:57:07 AM PDT by ETL (Plenty of REAL smoking-gun evidence on the demonRats at: http://www.freerepublic.com/~etl/)
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To: Cincinatus
Look, Cook and Nelson ... just because you were there with first hand, eye witness knowledge, doesn't mean you actually know anything!

We needed algore and his internet to set us, and historical fact straight.

Nice try guys, but I'm stickin' with the Minister of the Planet on this one.

13 posted on 08/04/2008 4:06:07 AM PDT by knarf (I say things that are true ... I have no proof ... but they're true.)
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To: Cincinatus
"...global warming may not be an entirely man-made phenomenon..."

Not the bold and definitive statement I am waiting for, but it's a start in the right direction.

14 posted on 08/04/2008 4:07:11 AM PDT by GBA
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To: Cincinatus
Photobucket
15 posted on 08/04/2008 4:08:17 AM PDT by Tawiskaro
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To: Cincinatus; Killing Time; Beowulf; Mr. Peabody; RW_Whacko; honolulugal; SideoutFred; Ole Okie; ...


FReepmail me to get on or off
Click on POGW graphic for full GW rundown
Dr. John Ray's
GREENIE WATCH

The Great Global Warming Swindle Video

Not Evil Just Wrong (mash here)
Historical..


16 posted on 08/04/2008 4:08:26 AM PDT by xcamel (Conservatives start smart, and get rich, liberals start rich, and get stupid.)
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To: Cincinatus

Wow, Naval logs recording the temperatures around the world going back 400 years. Something else for the greenies to ignore.


17 posted on 08/04/2008 4:14:17 AM PDT by BuffaloJack
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To: BroJoeK
Me timbers are completely shivvvvered.

My keel is completely hauled... no, wait, that doesn't sound right...

18 posted on 08/04/2008 4:29:52 AM PDT by Jonah Hex ("Never underestimate the hungover side of the Force.")
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To: Cincinatus

Heresy! Burn those ship logs! No, wait. That will cause CO2 emissions. Sequester their carbon!


19 posted on 08/04/2008 4:36:14 AM PDT by Right Wing Assault ("..this administration is planning a 'Right Wing Assault' on values and ideals.." - John Kerry)
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To: Cincinatus
One of the dirty little secrets about climate data is that much of the data on the oceans’ currents, ocean temperatures, etc. come from the age of sail. This information was critical to a sailing ship and so was widely and diligently collected by all of the world's navies. The Royal Navy's data is the most extensive, but the American Navy did some of the most important scientific work on ocean currents.

When steam supplanted sail, most of this scientific work ceased. Steam ships didn't care much about currents and so no one bothered to expand man's knowledge about the sea. Most of the data used to population the Global Circulation Models (GCMs) come from data that is over 100 years old. Data outside the normal sea lanes is sparse. Our understanding of the sea and its physical properties lags way behind our understanding of the atmosphere.

Which one do you think is more important when it comes to world climate?

20 posted on 08/04/2008 4:57:20 AM PDT by centurion316
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