Threat Matrix: September 2007

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[nwctwx]

The Birth of al Qaedastan

In the year 2016, the world may find itself gloomily marking September 6 as the tenth anniversary of the creation of the Islamic Emirate of Waziristan. The Emirate received de facto recognition when the Taliban used the name on the ceasefire agreement they signed with Pakistan on that day in 2006. If things go terribly wrong in the coming decade, they could come to rule a mountainous fragment of Pakistan and Afghanistan.

The Emirate would be a nightmare state: Osama bin Laden as sultan, Ayman al Zawahiri as vizier, and Mullah Omar the spiritual leader. An economy built on smuggling and heroin. Primary export: terrorism. Welcome to ‘Al Qaedastan’.

Analysts say the rise of a terrorist state straddling the rugged area between Pakistan and Afghanistan is now viable. The reason is a number of troubling trends. One, the revival of a Taliban firmly in the control of Al Qaeda. Two, the seeming inability of either Kabul or Islamabad to defeat the new threat militarily. Three, and the most striking, the Taliban’s systematic supplanting of the traditional tribal leadership in the area. Full story...

	Lebanon: Tiny Country, Big Threats
	Islamist Web Site Explains 'How to Join Al Qaeda'
	The Ongoing Hunt for Osama bin Laden

Threat Matrix:
September 2007

August 2007

Threat Matrix Index

Theat Matrix Handbook

Theat Matrix 'BOLO'

Invaluable Tips

Preparedness

[nwctwx]

9/11/06, by: Samuel Stroube

Threat Matrix: Since November 3, 2003
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Featured Link

Global Incident Map -- Terrorism Events and Other Suspicious Activity

Featured links will move to the general link section following initial highlight

"No matter where you live in the world, this is a message that bears repeating: Your assistance is needed to prevent terrorist acts." From TM'er and Freeper ~appalachian_dweller~
Submit Information Online: FBI Tips & Public Leads
CDC ::::: CIA ::::: DHS ::::: DOJ ::::: DOD ::::: FBI ::::: NSA
Government Web Sites			Homeland Security Weekly		Nuclear Threat Initiative
	Most Wanted Terrorists		Terror-Alert.com		NCI: Nuclear Terrorism
	FBI: Seeking Information		Global Crisis Watch		IR and Security Network
	Are you Ready?: Ready.Gov		SOFIR		World Policy Institute
	CDC: Preparedness/Response		Little Green Footballs	Threat Matrix Related
	Defense Dept. War on Terror		Terror Base UK		Terrorism Knowledge Base
	U.S. Immigration & Customs		The Blotter		Terror Information Bank
	DOJ: Planning Information		Middle East Live Daily Thread		South Asia Terrorism Portal
	US-Cert: Current Activity	Think Tanks			Terrorist Scorecard
News & Information			The Terrorism Research Center		Iraq Pipeline Watch
	IPN - Fire & Police Paging		The Jamestown Foundation		National Security Archive
	MEMRI | MEMRI TV		The Brookings Institution		Islamic Dictionary
	The Counterterrorism Blog		Council on Foreign Relations		IACSP Terrorism/Antiterrorism
	Jihad Watch		SITE Institute	Maps
	GlobalTerrorAlert.com		CSIS		Terrorist Network in U.S. Map
	LauraMansfield.com		RAND Corporation		Recent Disasters: Worldwide
	Internet Haganah		International Crisis Group		Nuclear Weapon Effects Calc.
	Topix.net: Terrorism News		The Heritage Foundation		Nuclear Terrorism: Blast Maps
	Faith Freedom International		Foreign Policy Institute		FEMA Nuclear Fallout Map
	TrackingTerrorism.com		Center for Defense Information		U.S. Nuclear Targets Map
	DEBKAfile		The Cato Institute	Pay Sites
	TerroristWarning.com		Hudson Institute		Strategic Forecasting
	HomelandSecurityUS.net		Homeland Security Institute		IntelCenter
New Links in Italics

"America Supports You" spotlights what Americans are doing in support of the military all across the land, encourages others to thank the troops and allows all to tell their stories by giving voice and visibility to their efforts.

Threat Matrix: Recommended Reading

September 2007

What Makes a Terrorist
Alan Krueger

Being prepared is a good thing, no matter where one lives; no matter what alert level we are on.
From TM'er and Freeper ~Cindy~

Intelligence is the best weapon against terrorism.
National Commission on Terrorism: 1999

Ian Livingston

[nwctwx]

Ping to September 2007 TM.

[WestCoastGal]

Thank you as always for keeping the TM going!! :D

[KylaStarr]

Thank you Ian! : )

[angcat]

Thank you

[Palladin]

Thanks for the ping. New month—new thread!

[SlowBoat407]

Thanks and thanks

[Oorang]

Thanks Ian, your efforts are appreciated.

Al Qaedastan is a interesting work of fiction. I'm not too sure we will have to wait until 2016 for it to become nonfiction, unfortunately.

[stevie_d_64]

Well, if thats the case, then I am sure it won’t be a pleasant place to hang your shingle in...

We could turn it into a 24 hour training area for aircrews...

Wouldn’t offend me one bit...Where do I sign back up...I need a lot of training...

[SevenMinusOne]

As for the on going hunt for UBL (and Zawahiri) killing both of them is of vital importance......Risk adverse HQs, JAGs and lifer bureaucrats in both the DoD and Pentagon have increased our OODA loop terribly in this on going hunt (which in part without question has helped this two scum remain alive) - That and the reality of the region in which UBL and Zawahiri have eked out their survival is in a sh*t part of the world and an even sh*tter area to operate in or to bring progress to....(and they know it)

Tactically without question UBL's value has been tremendously reduced in the last 6 years as he remains on the run 24/7 and isolated - Strategically he is still of very large importance to the radical Muslim street and their causes -

Killing him is still of vital importance for a number of very real reasons -

For starters....Simply for the justice of it being done / accomplished. For those lives lost due to the attack on this great nation on Sept 11th, 2001 - But also for the lives lost of brave warriors who have been hunting him since late 2001 - The risks that have been taken in tracking him down (along with killing over 3/4 of al-Qeada's top leadership) most are hardly aware of - These men deserve to see the job finished.

However more importantly (to a degree) is that most underestimate the value that UBL still manages to hold (within the radical Muslim street throughout the ME...but also importantly within the Afghan/Pak border regions)...and holds his value simply because he has managed to stay alive (along with Zawahiri) - Another "aura" of sorts has managed to build up around him precisely because of this fact. He remains alive.

Killing him would radiate a resounding defeat throughout not only the Afghan/Pak border region....but throughout the radical Muslim street as well. Some like to talk in circles about how "cause" is larger then just one person (and this is certainly true...without question).

But make no mistake killing UBL will be an endgame outcome that will stick in the world's collective mind (including those radical Muslim wannabes)...UBL is dead. The United States tracked him down and killed him. Full-stop, end of discussion (no amount of psycho babble will be able to deny this fact).

Killing UBL will also recapture the 10 second mindset of a majority of Americans. It will not only remind them of the WOT....but it will reshape their mindset that the American military (headed by CINC GWB) is methodically and deliberately tracking these SOB's down (just like he has quietly and steadfastly said over these past 6 years).

The American public will see it as a complete victory (one in which the factless spinning MSM can't spin negative no matter how hard they will try). The American people deserve this victory.

Lastly our warriors deserve it (which goes along with point one). So -

1. Justice is owed.

2. Killing UBL is a resounding defeat that the radical Muslim street will not only feel...but won't be able to deny or spin. A sense of the inevitability of defeat will only further drape itself over them

3. His death will bring clarity back to the American publics mindset in this WOT - While at the same time bringing back a level of loyalty and respect to our CIC for quietly and steadfastly showing the resolve he has for the last 5 years.

4. His death = complete victory (in one aspect of the WOT) - A victory that can't be denied.

5. Our warriors deserve it and a good morale boost while not needed is always welcome...and this one will have certainly been earned / owed.

[Cindy]

Excellent.
Thank YOU nw.

[Cindy]

ON THE NET...

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/keyword?k=gwot
http://www.rewardsforjustice.net/english/index.cfm?page=Captured

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http://www.rewardsforjustice.net/english/index.cfm?page=Wanted_Terrorist
http://www.rewardsforjustice.net

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http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/keyword?k=globaljihad
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/keyword?k=jihad

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http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/keyword?k=internet
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/keyword?k=internetcafes
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/keyword?k=internetcafe
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/keyword?k=cybercafes
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/keyword?k=cybercafe

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SEPTEMBER 11, 2001: Before, During and After
http://www.truthusa.com/911news.html
http://www.truthusa.com/911news2.html
http://www.truthusa.com/911news3.html
http://www.truthusa.com/911.html

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http://www.internet-haganah.com
http://www.sofir.org
http://sfir-arabicsource.blogspot.com/

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http://www.jihadwatch.org

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http://www.memri.org/jihad.html
http://www.memritv.org
http://www.thememriblog.org/

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http://truthusa.com/a/index.php

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http://www.persecution.org
http://www.memri.org/antisemitism.html

[Oorang]

Letter bomb mystery deepens (Canada)

SNIP:
Within hours, police were scouring the Ashdale Ave. bungalow, in the Coxwell Ave. and Gerrard St. E. area, which neighbours said was sometimes home to up to 30 people at a time.

"That's definitely a strange house," said Ashley Hinds, who lives nearby. "Most of the residents have a nickname for it, `Bombay Bunker.' It wasn't because of the families, it was because of the brick extensions and the double steel doors in the front, the tiny peep windows with mesh lining.

"Everyone thought something unusual was always happening there, because people came and went all the time. The illegal extensions were reported to authorities, but nothing was done."

http://www.thestar.com/News/GTA/article/252285

Police radio theft sparks APEC fears (Australia)
Saturday September 1, 2007

The theft of digitally encrypted police radios has prompted security fears on the eve of the APEC summit in Sydney.

Police have been advised against using special frequencies that can be picked up by the missing radios during the APEC long weekend, News Limited reports. Sources told the paper three radios were stolen from Newtown on July 8, Leichhardt on August 10 and Burwood on August 27.

The radios are worth $5,000 each and cannot be picked up by regular scanners. It is also understood several digital radios have been stolen from NSW Fire Brigade stations in the city's inner west in recent weeks.

A bulletproof vest was also stolen from a locked police car in Newtown on Thursday, police said. "Between 6pm (AEST) and 8pm on Thursday, a ballistics vest was stolen from locked car parked in Australia St, Newtown," a police spokesman said. "Police inquiries are continuing." The vest can block .38 round, effectively rendering police firearms useless.

http://au.news.yahoo.com/070901/2/14bqw.html

Police reopen roads after investigating suspicious package (Canada)
Aug. 31, 2007

Winnipeg police blocked off several streets in the city's core area Friday to investigate a suspicious package near the federal virology lab, but reopened roads two hours later, after they concluded it was not explosive.

It is still not known what the package was, but the bomb squad packed up after X-raying it. They turned it over to the fire department's hazardous materials unit for inspection, police Insp. Steve Pilote said.

SNIP:
The centre, which includes the National Microbiology Laboratory for human diseases and the National Centre for Foreign Animal Disease, is considered one of the world's most secure laboratories for the testing of deadly diseases.

http://www.cbc.ca/canada/manitoba/story/2007/08/31/lab-package.html

[Cindy]

FROM MY FREEPER PROFILE - A Snippet:

WORLDNETDAILY.com: "Americans must not succumb to the temptation to be 'politically correct' by overlooking suspicious behavior. That would be a grave – if not fatal – tactical error in this war." -Joseph Farah (December 2, 2006)

COUNTERTERRORISM BLOG.org: "THE VIRAL SPREAD OF EXPLOSIVE TECHNOLOGIES IN THE LAND OF JIHAD" by Douglas Farah (ARTICLE SNIPPET: "One of the most alarming things about the new transnationalism among terrorist groups is the rapid ability to transfer knowledge and technology, both through the the Internet and through individual training.") (August 23, 2007)

INTERNET-HAGANAH.com (REUTERS): New York - "INTERNET IS 'THE NEW AFGHANISTAN': NY POLICE COMMISSIONER" (August 25, 2007)

NYPD SHIELD.org: "RADICALIZATION IN THE WEST: THE HOMEGROWN THREAT" Prepared by Mitchell D. Silber and Arvin Bhatt, Senior Intelligence Analysts, NYPD Intelligence Division" (pdf) (August 15, 2007)

THE JAWA REPORT - blog: "HOME GROWN TERRORISTS A REAL THREAT, INTERNET BLAMED" (August 15, 2007)

INTERNET-HAGANAH.com: "WELL, SOMEONE CERTAINLY HAS BEEN STRUCK BLIND, DEAF AND DUMB...the question is, who is more adversely affected, us or them?" (August 12, 2007)

CANADA FREE PRESS.com - Worldwide Internet, Al Qaida: "EXPOSING ON-LINE JIHADISTS" by Judi McLeod (ARTICLE SNIPPET: ""In six years I have bookmarked some 6,000-+ Jihadist websites and the list is still growing," says Archangel, code name for an online Jihadist-tracking expert.") (August 10, 2007)

"This summer and any other summer, and all other seasons by the way, are Jihadi times. We need to adapt to this reality for as long as this conflict is on." -Walid Phares, Counterterrorism Blog, July 11, 2007

"You must understand that the internet is the primary communication tool/propaganda tool/recruiting tool/fund raising tool for the global jihad. Once you understand that; then you should not be surprised at all that the jihad is in the same country you reside in." -Cindy (July 10, 2007)

INTERNET-HAGANAH.com: "About Those Little Blue AKs" (July 31, 2007)

THE JAWA REPORT - blog: "THE CYBER JIHAD IS REAL" (July 12, 2007)

Google.com - Search News: "CYBER JIHAD"

JIHAD WATCH.org (UPI.com, by Shaun Waterman, June 4, 2007): "FBI WARNS ON AL-QAEDA'S ENGLISH MESSAGES" (ARTICLE SNIPPET: "The FBI says al-Qaida is issuing video messages in English to get Muslim extremists in the United States to carry out terror attacks. Speaking on C-SPAN Television, FBI Director of Public Affairs John Miller said al-Qaida leaders have stepped up the tempo of their public messages in an effort to inspire others to compensate for their network's reduced ability directly to execute attacks.") (June 4, 2007)

INTERNET-HAGANAH.com (AFA.org) - Magazine - "WAR IN THE THIRD DOMAIN" by Hampton Stephens, April 2007): "'CYBERSPACE IS A WARFIGHTING DOMAIN'" (April 5, 2007)

INTERNET-HAGANAH.com: "SOME HAVE CALLED IT THE 'HAGANAH-IZATION' OF US POLICY REGARDING JIHADI USE OF THE INTERNET" (April 1, 2007)

INTERNET-HAGANAH.com: "MYTH, REALITY AND JIHADIST USE OF THE INTERNET" (March 1, 2007)

MEMRI.org - Inquiry and Analysis Series - No. 329: "CYBERSPACE AS A COMBAT ZONE: THE PHENOMENON OF ELECTRONIC JIHAD" by E. Alshech (February 27, 2007)

MEMRI.org - Special Dispatch Series - No. 1455: "COLUMNIST HASSAN HAYDAR: IRAN SPREADS A 'CULTURE OF DEATH'" (February 8, 2007)

FRONTPAGE MAGAZINE.com (FactsOfIsrael.com): "NEVER TOO YOUNG TO BLEED...." by David Melle (January 29, 2007)

TOWNHALL.com: "We Love Pepsi. They Love Death." -Doug Giles (November 4, 2006)

INTERNET-HAGANAH.com: "PROOF OF CONCEPT" (Article Snippet: "Yes brothers, you love death more than we love life.") (September 3, 2006)

INTERNET-HAGANAH.com: "TALKING POINTS" (Article Snippet: "The Internet is the home front of the global jihad.") (June 19, 2006)

INTERNET-HAGANAH.COM: "THE DECLINE AND FALL OF IRHABI007: Episode Two, The Bust" (ARTICLE SNIPPET: "There is no wall, no dividing line, nothing separating online jihadist activity from off-line/real-world jihadist activity (i.e terrorism). The two are inseparable.") (March 1, 2006)

[Cindy]

RECAP:

http://www.investigativeproject.org/article/425

Prosecution Rests in Holy Land Case

by IPT
IPT News
August 31, 2007

DALLAS

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Previously...

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1875105/posts?page=2056#2056

More Links (August 31, 2007)

[Cindy]

From you article in post no. 13 - Snippet:

"It wasn't because of the families, it was because of the brick extensions and the double steel doors in the front, the tiny peep windows with mesh lining."

That's interesting Oorang. Thank you.

[Cindy]

Noting...

Of course smuggling drugs in a Quran (Koran) is different than the Cartoon Jihad and is a separate issue altogether.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/keyword?k=cartoonjihad
http://www.truthusa.com/MoreThanCartoons.html

#

Thanks to Calpernia for the ping to this thread and article:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1890057/posts

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http://www.thenews.com.pk/top_story_detail.asp?Id=9890

“Holy books used for smuggling narcotics”
By Shakeel Anjum

RAWALPINDI:

ARTICLE SNIPPET: “The team during checking of parcels booked for England, found four parcels suspicious, the sources said and added the Holy Quran and religious books (Tafheem-ul-Quran) as well as garments were packed in the parcels.

During the search, the raiding party recovered 5.5 kilograms of hashish and 710 grams of heroin concealed in the cavities of the Holy Quran and Tafheem-ul-Quran, the sources said.”

[tbw2]

How does that kind of door relate to Bombay?

[Cindy]

http://www.terrorism-info.org.il/malam_multimedia/English/eng_n/html/palestinian_media.htm

Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center
at the Israel Intelligence Heritage & Commemoration Center (IICC)
August 30 , 2007

SNIPPET: “A fierce confrontation is being waged by Hamas and Fatah for control of the Palestinian media and for news coverage from the Gaza Strip and Judea and Samaria. It is part of the overall struggle between Hamas and Fatah for legitimacy.”

[Cindy]

http://www.truthusa.com/IRAN.html

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http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3444550,00.html

“IAEA chief cautions Tehran against wasting ‘great chance’”
Published: 09.02.07, 00:34