Felix found the ark...
Posted on 09/01/2007 6:57:00 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Tropical Storm Felix has formed near the South American
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| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
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We all get some wrong. The difference between Dean and Felix is Felix doesn't seem to be stopping for ERCs every 8 hours.
Makes me wonder why NOAA2 isn’t sending out VDMs.
given the fact that is this strong already, and it will soon be moving over a very warm deep eddy at the same time as the nighttime maxima....the recon ifo from the next flight will be very interesing me thinks
Looks like it. Very defined.
Ouch. Felix definitely doesn’t need another full food dish.
Last few frames show Felix wanting to obey the GFDL. What do you think is the main object/feature that would bring about this left turn?
Got me; I couldn't tell you why hurricanes turn or don't turn.
I wish Felix would make the hard left into the garage, but I don't think that's happening.
I’ve been noting with great interest, the northern migration of the computer models over the past 2 days... lots of warm, moist air in from of this storm..
Just how firm do you think the forecast tracks are?? After passing the Yucatan??
LOLOL
Felix found the ark...
janet, you see a good reason for Felix to take the left it looks like he’s taking?
Beyond 3 days (hence, beyond the Yucatan), wet, cooked noodle.
Well, they haven't gone wall-to-wall yet because "Storm Stories" is on now. Money says they'll skip "It Could Happen Tomorrow" once the 8 pm advisory comes out.
URNT12 KNHC 022338
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042007
A. 02/2307Z
B. 13 DEG 40 MIN N
72 DEG 43 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2601 M
D. 163 KT
E. 45 DEG 12 NM
F. 142 DEG 152 KTS
G. 056 DEG 12 NM
H. 936 MB
I. 25 C/ 2745 M
J. 26 C/ 2806 M
K. 4 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C15
N. 12345/7
O. 1/1 NM
P. N0AA2 0906A FELIX OB 10
MAX FL WIND 152 KT NE QUAD 2252Z
MAX SFC WND 163 FROM SFMR NE QUAD
EXTREME TURB NE EYEWALL
I’m amazed the windspeed is so great compared to the pressure. Has been like this all day.
Now taking odds on this being a full special update from the NHC.
And Dean was just the opposite.
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