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Hurricane Dean Live Thread Part II
NOAA/NHC ^ | August 19, 2007 | NOAA/NWS

Posted on 08/19/2007 3:52:51 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Dean is moving west-northwest through the Caribbean Sea. The current NHC forecast track indicates Dean's powerful center core will pass just south of the southwestern peninsula of Haiti, and should skirt Jamaica's southern shoreline. The storm maintained strong Category 4 wind status through the night during an eyewall replacement cycle. However, the minimum pressure supports Category 5, and additional strengthening of winds is likely.

Tourists in Jamaica crowded airports Saturday to leave the island nation. Jamaican Prime Minister Portia Simpson Miller addressed the Jamaican people, asking that everyone put aside their political differences and work together in advance of the imminent storm preceding Jamaica's general election scheduled for August 27. PM Miller announced that the Jamaican power grid and water would likely be shut down early Sunday morning in advance of the storm, and strongly urged citizens to seek shelter.

The United States and Barbados have pledged hurricane relief supplies and support to Jamaica as needed. No word yet from the United Nations...

Public Advisories Updated every three hours.

Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours

Three Day Tracking Map

Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks

Buoy Data East Caribbean

Buoy Data West Caribbean

Storm Model Tracks

Storm Surge graphic

Satellite Images/Radar

Visible Satellite Still Image

IR Image

WV Image

Jamaica Radar

Additional Resources:

StormCarib Island locals post their observations

Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City


TOPICS: Mexico; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: caribbean; dean; hurricane; hurricanedean; jamaica; tropical
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To: NautiNurse

Oops. I’m sorry. I forgot.


621 posted on 08/19/2007 7:13:08 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: CindyDawg

WUnderground uses a wider circle than NHC.


622 posted on 08/19/2007 7:14:47 PM PDT by steveegg (I am John Doe, and a monthly donor)
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To: CindyDawg

There showing Hillary Ambivolence Syndrome, (HAS) cured by “OxyClinton” what a hoot! Sorry about the hi-jack, I’ll move.


623 posted on 08/19/2007 7:15:16 PM PDT by eyedigress
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To: SomeCallMeTim
They are all beginning to converge now.. which is a good sign. But, really,... beyond 24-48 hours, they’re pretty much worthless, I think...
Currently the suite of newer computer models are amazingly accurate through about 72 hours, and good enough to be useful to 5 days, which is why NHC forecasts are now for five days.
624 posted on 08/19/2007 7:17:17 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: mutley

Why should they? There is a resolution to this, but some people don’t want to take action that will solve their own problem. Instead they want others to do it for them.

When I had dial-up, I had to make the setting I just mentioned. It’s not that big a deal.


625 posted on 08/19/2007 7:18:01 PM PDT by DoughtyOne
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To: CindyDawg

The High Pressure Dome isn’t moving and current jets are not changing. All Hurricanes would do this without outside steering forces.


626 posted on 08/19/2007 7:19:25 PM PDT by eyedigress
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To: dr_lew
Confirmed the FOX live video was from the Pegasus Hotel based on FOX video web site. She's looking right over the pool and tennis court visible in the Google maps page at the link.
627 posted on 08/19/2007 7:19:32 PM PDT by dr_lew
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE
Come on. Hurricane season is June through Nov - Getting to mid-August with only one storm is rare, and this one storm is far south of the average track..

Actually it is VERY common to make it to mid-Aug or later with one named storm, even in active years.

Hurrcane season is REALly August to October - there's barely enough June/July activity to count it as part of the season.

628 posted on 08/19/2007 7:20:02 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: CindyDawg

This doesn’t make sense..........Sure it does, it is called mother nature. No computer anywhere can second guess her.


629 posted on 08/19/2007 7:20:34 PM PDT by eastforker (.308 SOCOM 16, hottest brand going.2350 FPS muzzle..M.. velocity)
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To: eyedigress

Interesting stuff. If I was younger and didn’t hate math, I think I would like go to “ bad weather school”


630 posted on 08/19/2007 7:22:35 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: Uncle Ike
I’m having a senior moment, here — trying to remember the name of that storm a few years back that ping-ponged back and forth along the gulf for what seemed like the longest time....

Was it Elena? I think that was the name of the storm that caused us to leave Pensacola -- twice. It had to be like 1985 -1986.

631 posted on 08/19/2007 7:23:16 PM PDT by Tuscaloosa Goldfinch (If MY people who are called by MY name -- the ball's in our court, folks.)
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To: eastforker

I know but why does one graph have us clear and another in the cone. “father nature? :’)


632 posted on 08/19/2007 7:24:27 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks for your attempt at an explanation, but it doesn’t really address the issue. People can set their browsers not to load graphics. It’s very simple to do and allows more information to flow for those who can handle it. It’s the best of both worlds on one thread.

I really do appreciate the work you do on these threads. I think it’s excellent. I just don’t understand why all of us have to use 1990 technology when there’s a simple resolution to the problem that only takes minutes to accomplish.

Photos, storm tracking and other informaiton simply isn’t conveyed without graphics. Aerial shots of the storm, or even storm tracking is a valuable addition to these threads, don’t you think?

Well, thanks again. I appreciate your response.


633 posted on 08/19/2007 7:24:43 PM PDT by DoughtyOne
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To: CindyDawg
Look at the size of the circles, they're bigger than the whole state!

It may just be areas of rainfall, which after our summer, could be serious, but probably won't be.

634 posted on 08/19/2007 7:25:11 PM PDT by SouthTexas
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To: CindyDawg; Strategerist

LOL, Pay attention to this guy, he’s planetary. I’m Electrical (no help).


635 posted on 08/19/2007 7:26:21 PM PDT by eyedigress
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To: DoughtyOne

I have DSL but last year I lost it and had to go to dial up during a tropical storm. A real pain.


636 posted on 08/19/2007 7:27:09 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: CindyDawg

Because they are machines, we should not count on them so much.Look at current data and decide for yourself, machines are only as good as the people that opperate them.


637 posted on 08/19/2007 7:28:17 PM PDT by eastforker (.308 SOCOM 16, hottest brand going.2350 FPS muzzle..M.. velocity)
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To: CindyDawg

That would be a most informative school. I learned how to write check at a bank, THANKS SCHOOL!


638 posted on 08/19/2007 7:29:24 PM PDT by eyedigress
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To: Clara Lou; txflake

There may be a bird of prey in the vicinity too. The squoils will hunker down and hide until the threat passes.


639 posted on 08/19/2007 7:29:29 PM PDT by NorthWoody (A vote is like a rifle: its usefulness depends upon the character of the user. - Theodore Roosevelt)
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To: CindyDawg
This should suit you better.
640 posted on 08/19/2007 7:30:46 PM PDT by SouthTexas
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