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Posted on 08/19/2007 3:52:51 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Dean is moving west-northwest through the Caribbean Sea. The current NHC forecast track indicates Dean's powerful center core will pass just south of the southwestern peninsula of Haiti, and should skirt Jamaica's southern shoreline. The storm maintained strong Category 4 wind status through the night during an eyewall replacement cycle. However, the minimum pressure supports Category 5, and additional strengthening of winds is likely.
Tourists in Jamaica crowded airports Saturday to leave the island nation. Jamaican Prime Minister Portia Simpson Miller addressed the Jamaican people, asking that everyone put aside their political differences and work together in advance of the imminent storm preceding Jamaica's general election scheduled for August 27. PM Miller announced that the Jamaican power grid and water would likely be shut down early Sunday morning in advance of the storm, and strongly urged citizens to seek shelter.
The United States and Barbados have pledged hurricane relief supplies and support to Jamaica as needed. No word yet from the United Nations...
Public Advisories Updated every three hours.
Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours
Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks
Buoy Data East Caribbean
Buoy Data West Caribbean
Storm Surge graphic
Satellite Images/Radar
Additional Resources:
StormCarib Island locals post their observations
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Mark for later in the day and overnight.
Buoy 42056, Yucatan basin
Wind speed 11.7 k
Gusts 13.6 k
Wave Hgt 3.0 ft
Air temp 85.1f
water temp 85.8f
Dew Point 75.6
BBL
Things are lush in SE Wisconsin; so lush that we’re now under a flood warning through the evening. It’s northeast Minnesota that desperately needs the rain.
Cool, thank you
Very slim chance for this storm to cross Mexico and re-emerge as a viable storm system in the Pacific. The portion of Mexico’s land mass is very wide where Dean is headed, and there are two Sierra Madre mountain ranges (Oriental and Occidental). Tropical systems don’t fare well with land and mountains.
Did you see Erin has reformed as an inland TS? Wow...
OK...I was a bit confused why you were talking about Minnesota...I thought Wisconsin was your state.
Galveston Bay *whew*; but I’m stocked and ready for the next time.
Wow. I set the animation to that loop on slow speed and the eye of the hurricane really does look like an eye in the last loop. Creepy.
What you got uncle bill doin???Hmmm?
LOL!
I wasn’t there when it happened but it turned out that the owner set the place on fire because he didn’t have flood insurance.
We saw that happen in NOLA as well.
Testing!!!
I would say there is no chance whatsoever that it makes it to the Pacific side.
Freaky; this morning it even had an eye in Oklahoma.
“I keep a hurricane kit ready every for every season, I have water, 25 lbs for rice, 10lbs of jerky, other foods that will keep, 50lb oc charcoal to cook, and beer.”
What, no dried beans, powdered milk, spaghetti, grits, oatmeal, dried fruits and raisins? And don’t forget the bourbon for your medical kit (for some reason my medical kit takes up half the space of my hurricane/emergency supplies ;-)
Thank you for this practical, common-sense approach, NN.
Your hard work and thoughtfulness are VERY much appreciated!
Very cool graphic. Thanks. The last few frames show a wobble to the NW. Bad news for Jamaica. Prayers up.
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