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Threat Matrix: Daily Terror Threat - August 2006

Posted on 08/01/2006 9:51:52 PM PDT by nwctwx

:::FreeRepublic's Threat Matrix:::
Syria Tells Troops to Be Ready for Battle
(Full Story)

Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has placed his military on full alert, citing "regional challenges", and vowed to continue supporting the "Palestinian and Lebanese resistance more than ever".

In a speech to mark the Syrian Army national day, Mr Assad said the volatile situation across the Middle East required "vigilance, preparation and readiness" and ordered all units of the armed forces to be on alert.

The comments were interpreted by Israel as a morale booster to the Syrian armed forces and not a call to battle. Israeli intelligence chiefs have assessed that Syria is not in the mood for an open war and is instead content to resupply Hezbollah guerillas in Lebanon.

Iranian Cleric Asks Muslims to Send Weapons to Hezbollah
Blair Says Syria, Iran Risk Confrontation

Iran and Syria Beat the Drums of War

Thread Thirty-Nine
Click for Color Code Information
Threat Matrix HTML designed by: Ian Livingston


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: 2006israelwar; alqaeda; alqaida; globaljihad; hezbollah; iran; iraq; islam; israel; jihad; lebanon; londonairlineplot; middleeast; syria; terrorism; threat; threatmatrix; unres1701; wot
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To: Cindy

Ok, it certainly didn't ring any bells with me.


541 posted on 08/09/2006 11:15:20 AM PDT by Irish_Thatcherite (A vote for Bertie Ahern is a vote for Gerry Adams!|The IRA are actually terrorists, any questions?)
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To: nwctwx

That's comforting.


542 posted on 08/09/2006 11:15:46 AM PDT by freeperfromnj
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To: freeperfromnj

Found a thread on the missing Egyptian they located:

One of 11 Missing Egyptians Found

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1680593/posts


543 posted on 08/09/2006 11:18:35 AM PDT by freeperfromnj
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To: Cindy

OK, Cindy - thanks! :)


544 posted on 08/09/2006 11:20:05 AM PDT by Irish_Thatcherite (A vote for Bertie Ahern is a vote for Gerry Adams!|The IRA are actually terrorists, any questions?)
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To: Godzilla
Great analysis, 'Zilla. Thanks.

Do you think that Israel has lost the critical momentum needed to carry this to a swift and satisfactory conclusion? What will it take? They obviously don't want to get involved in another long bloody occupation.

IF Iran is indeed ready to unleash HELL on Israel via the nuclear scenario (maybe August 22nd) is there any sort of speculation as to the nominal yields they may have been able to achieve? How big a bang? Given an answer to the question of yield, do they have delivery capability?

Finally if (GOD forbid) they were successful in launching a nuke on Israel...it's certain that Israel would respond in kind...but what might OUR response be in accordance with any treaties of defense? That's kind of a lot to respond to, sorry.

545 posted on 08/09/2006 11:21:17 AM PDT by ExSoldier (Democracy is 2 wolves and a lamb voting on dinner. Liberty is a well armed lamb contesting the vote.)
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To: freeperfromnj

ABC NEWS has learned that one of the 11 missing Egyptian students has been found in Minnesota and is in custody. Federal law enforcement officials are expected to issue a written statement shortly. The student is being interviewed by federal officials.

Other details were not immediately available. No word on the other ten missing students at this point.

The Egyptian students who arrived in the United States last month are being sought by authorities after failing to turn up for an exchange program at Montana State University.

The Egyptian men were among a group of 17 students who arrived at John F. Kennedy International Airport in New York from Cairo on July 29 with valid visas, according to U.S. authorities and university officials.

http://www.kstp.com/article/stories/S18130.html?cat=1


546 posted on 08/09/2006 11:24:38 AM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: nwctwx
That article made reference to something about the 22nd of the month actually falls on the 27th of August this year. I took that to mean that the holiday "floats" much like the Christian observance of Easter and Good Friday. Did anybody else see it that way? I'm concerned that folks not noticing this little tidbit might hold their breath and when the actual date of 22 Aug passes let out a huge collective sigh of relief only to get blind sided five days later.
547 posted on 08/09/2006 11:25:23 AM PDT by ExSoldier (Democracy is 2 wolves and a lamb voting on dinner. Liberty is a well armed lamb contesting the vote.)
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To: freeperfromnj

Thanks, FFNJ. What a wasted thread. Everyone's a comedian.

MSNBC report + video report here:
http://msnbc.msn.com/id/14269789/

ICE has one guy in custody in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Report doesn't say how he got to MN or where/how they found him. Actually, not much information, but good news overall that they found one of them at least.


548 posted on 08/09/2006 11:27:52 AM PDT by Velveeta
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To: Velveeta

Is FR really slow today or is my computer messed up again?

Takes about 15 seconds for each page to load.


549 posted on 08/09/2006 11:31:13 AM PDT by Velveeta
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To: ExSoldier
Do you think that Israel has lost the critical momentum needed to carry this to a swift and satisfactory conclusion? What will it take? They obviously don't want to get involved in another long bloody occupation.

It will not be a pretty fight. Hezbollah will go to their well developed system of bunkers to pop-out in the IDF 'rear'. They have shown creativity with ATGMs which will hurt armor support to the infantry. Some have likened it to Iwo Jima. However, Hezbollah has shown to be less than adequate at close quarters with the IDF. As far as time frames, I expect that it will take close to two weeks, unless Hezbollah breaks (and who knows how effective the air campaign has been). To avoid the occupation is why Israel is pushing for a force with TEETH, not the UN.

IF Iran is indeed ready to unleash HELL on Israel via the nuclear scenario (maybe August 22nd) is there any sort of speculation as to the nominal yields they may have been able to achieve?

Assuming they have a working nuke, it would take some time to get it small enough to mount on one of their rockets. If we believe their propaganda regarding where they are on their own, they haven't gotten to the weapons grade enrichment point. This leaves us with a nasty scenario that IF Iran has nukes, the warheads may have come from another country.
If they have a bomb of their own design, it is probably as big as the initial US bombs. If of foreign origin, they could be a lot bigger. Delivery - Iranian origin, vehicular/aircraft, foreign sources, rocket warheads.

Finally if (GOD forbid) they were successful in launching a nuke on Israel...it's certain that Israel would respond in kind...but what might OUR response be in accordance with any treaties of defense? That's kind of a lot to respond to, sorry.

If Iran strikes with a nuke, then all barriers are off and Israel will turn Tehran into glass. That will also permit us to strike at their nuclear program facilities. Our rights will be as expressed under the Bush doctrine of striking terror states that threaten our existence as well as or stated support for Israel that we'll defend it if attacked.

550 posted on 08/09/2006 11:41:18 AM PDT by Godzilla (OK, who stopped payment on my reality check?)
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To: All; freeperfromnj

CNN reporting that 2 more missing Egyptians have been found in NJ.


551 posted on 08/09/2006 12:02:10 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: nwctwx

Well now, isn't that interesting.


552 posted on 08/09/2006 12:09:51 PM PDT by freeperfromnj
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To: nwctwx; Cindy; All

I've heard reports from FOX tv that an additional 50K reserves have been called up, to bring forces to 100K for northern campaign. Any confirmation? Israeli news sources are silent.


553 posted on 08/09/2006 12:14:49 PM PDT by Godzilla (OK, who stopped payment on my reality check?)
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To: nwctwx; Calpernia; StillProud2BeFree
CNN reporting that 2 more missing Egyptians have been found in NJ.

pinging to 551

554 posted on 08/09/2006 12:26:25 PM PDT by Velveeta
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To: freeperfromnj

It is a bit interesting... wonder why they are "spread out"

Maybe it's a diversion.


555 posted on 08/09/2006 12:27:30 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: Velveeta


http://news.google.com/nwshp?hl=en&tab=wn&q=White%20Powder%20NYPD%20Headquarters

White Powder Found at NYPD Headquarters


556 posted on 08/09/2006 12:27:50 PM PDT by Calpernia (Breederville.com)
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To: Godzilla

I haven't heard anything like that yet, will look around. 100k would be quite a force...


557 posted on 08/09/2006 12:28:38 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: Godzilla; Cindy; Velveeta; StillProud2BeFree
Nasrallah Urges Arabs to Leave Haifa

Hezbollah leader Sheik Hassan Nasrallah on Wednesday warned all Israeli Arabs to leave the port city of Haifa so the militant group could step up attacks without fear of shedding the blood of fellow Muslims.

Haifa, Israel's third-largest city, has been the frequent target of Hezbollah's rocket attacks.

"I have a special message to the Arabs of Haifa, to your martyrs and to your wounded. I call on you to leave this city. I hope you do this. ... Please leave so we don't shed your blood, which is our blood," Nasrallah said.

The Shiite cleric also gave a deeply negative assessment of the proposal to halt fighting between Israel and Hezbollah guerrillas in Lebanon in his first comments on a draft U.N. cease-fire resolution.

More...
558 posted on 08/09/2006 12:36:49 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: Calpernia

Sheesh. So much going on, it's hard to keep up.


559 posted on 08/09/2006 12:38:28 PM PDT by Velveeta
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To: Velveeta; freeperfromnj; StillProud2BeFree; Calpernia
Three Egyptian students in custody; 8 remain missing

Three of the 11 Egyptian students who failed to show up at a Montana university last month were taken into custody Wednesday.

The FBI on Saturday issued a nationwide alert to law enforcement agencies. Included were the students' names, ages, passport numbers and photographs. "At the present time there are no known associations to any terrorist groups. Approach with caution," the lookout bulletin said.

Two were found in New Jersey, according to two law enforcement officials, one of whom said they turned themselves in to authorities. No further information was available.

More...
560 posted on 08/09/2006 1:00:32 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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