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Author Stokes Climate Change Debate
San Diego Union-Tribune ^ | April 5, 2006 | Staff Writer

Posted on 04/07/2006 11:52:35 AM PDT by cogitator

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The top two Outdoors/Nature books on Amazon.com currently are Flannery's book and "Field Notes from a Catastrophe", also about climate.
1 posted on 04/07/2006 11:52:39 AM PDT by cogitator
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To: cogitator
Yes, it's certainly the things that we don't know that are most worrying. Just consider two facts: The global climate system is full of positive feedback loops that amplify small initial changes, and we don't fully understand the system yet. That implies that our computer projections are underestimates. And indeed, that's what we're seeing in the real world. Shifts, such as increases in hurricane intensity, are progressing decades ahead of the projections.

Positive feedback loops? No negative ones? Also it sounds like he doesn't know the first thing about the models, or care. Pure fearmongering attached to a few bits of biased science.

2 posted on 04/07/2006 11:58:11 AM PDT by palmer (Money problems do not come from a lack of money, but from living an excessive, unrealistic lifestyle)
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To: cogitator

"The time for debate and discussion has long since passed, he writes in his new book,.."

LOL!

In other words: "The time for debate and discussion has long since passed." he said, right before debating and discussing it.


3 posted on 04/07/2006 12:00:36 PM PDT by Pessimist
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To: cogitator
This guy's entire way of talking allows him to say untruths in a way that avoids outright lying. Take this:

The world's coral reefs are already substantially damaged, and, of course, we've already seen extinctions as a result of climate change.

Coral reef damage. Related to Global Warming? Caused by man? He doesn't say. He just points out that coral reefs "are already substantially damaged". Yeah, well, Abraham Lincoln is "already dead". What's it to you?

And, those extinctions which have occurred? An example? Is he thinking of the Wooly Mammoth? That Ice Age which ended about 10,000 years ago did kill off a number of species. What's that matter now?

His entire interview can be picked apart. He's just selling books by making people panic.

4 posted on 04/07/2006 12:11:52 PM PDT by ClearCase_guy (Never question Bruce Dickinson!)
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To: Pessimist
"The time for debate and discussion has long since passed, he writes in his new book,.."

Good. Then you and your fellow "scientists" won't be needing anymore grant money.

5 posted on 04/07/2006 12:12:59 PM PDT by dfwgator (Florida Gators - 2006 NCAA Men's Basketball Champions)
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To: dfwgator

"What do you say to global warming naysayers who say climate-change models are flawed?

The climate models all agree on one thing – the planet will warm as greenhouse gases accumulate. They disagree on how much warming will occur, but even at the lowest end of the projections, if we go about business as usual, the changes will be immense. "

OK Mr. Weatherman. I agree. So, until you tell me the impact of stopping this, which would cause global cooling and we will all die anyway, why should I listen to you?

Until I am shown a model of what impact global cooling will have on the world, I am uninterested in this debate.


6 posted on 04/07/2006 12:16:52 PM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (To Serve Man......It's a cookbook!)
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To: ClearCase_guy
Coral reef damage.

There's no doubt coral reefs are damaged. Most indicators point to increasing water temperature as something that will only make things worse.

And, those extinctions which have occurred? An example?

I imagine he has examples in mind; they may be in the book. I'm traveling next week and I hope to peruse the book in the airport to decide if I want to buy it. I'll see what it says about extinctions.

7 posted on 04/07/2006 12:17:44 PM PDT by cogitator
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To: EQAndyBuzz
So, until you tell me the impact of stopping this, which would cause global cooling and we will all die anyway, why should I listen to you?

The impact of slowing global warming down would be to reduce the level of ecosystem change that would result from global warming.

8 posted on 04/07/2006 12:19:13 PM PDT by cogitator
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To: cogitator
“If . . . we wait to see if an ailment is indeed fatal, we will do nothing until we are dead.”

Typical scare tactic.

You have an infection on your hand. It might be gangrene. Amputate immediately! Don't wait to find out what's really causing the problem.

9 posted on 04/07/2006 12:20:19 PM PDT by Rocky (Air America: Robbing the poor to feed the Left)
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To: cogitator

Cold water is a much bigger threat to reefs than warm water.


10 posted on 04/07/2006 12:20:45 PM PDT by palmer (Money problems do not come from a lack of money, but from living an excessive, unrealistic lifestyle)
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To: palmer
No negative ones?

Most of the feedback loops are positive. Clouds, a major factor, are uncertain. The ultimate effect of clouds is dependent not only on whether cloud cover increases or decreases, but on what kind of cloud cover increases or decreases (i.e., low cumulus or high cirrus, etc.)

11 posted on 04/07/2006 12:20:57 PM PDT by cogitator
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To: Rocky
Don't wait to find out what's really causing the problem.

I think to pursue his analogy, if there is an ailment, we'd diagnose and treat it instead of just waiting to see if it kills us.

12 posted on 04/07/2006 12:22:06 PM PDT by cogitator
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To: cogitator

Many clouds such as the cirrus clouds blown off from thunderstorms to the west of me, are not in the model. They are cooling my locale. Cooling in any locale without corresponding warming in another will result in model bias. Models are not so much "uncertain" as they are biased towards warming. The only way to believe that increased water vapor does not cause more cooling clouds is to leave them out of the climate model.


13 posted on 04/07/2006 12:25:53 PM PDT by palmer (Money problems do not come from a lack of money, but from living an excessive, unrealistic lifestyle)
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To: cogitator

"The impact of slowing global warming down would be to reduce the level of ecosystem change that would result from global warming."

Sorry, I wasn't directing this to you. I was directing it to the author. However, I want to know from the author, how much is good? What happens if we totally reduce emissions? How quickly will golobal warming stop? Will global cooling occur and if so how fast before I need my bunny boots and parka? What impact will it have on agriculture?


14 posted on 04/07/2006 12:31:20 PM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (To Serve Man......It's a cookbook!)
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To: Rocky

You have an infection on your hand. It might be gangrene. Put together a commission of doctors to hold hearings about your hand. Convene the U.N. Security Council. See if Dr. Blix is available to testify. As long as your hand is contained, you will be fine......


15 posted on 04/07/2006 12:38:11 PM PDT by petercooper (Cemeteries & the ignorant - comprising 2 of the largest Democrat voting blocs for the past 75 years.)
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To: palmer
You've got good points, and I'm really not qualified to address them. Try these on for size:

Busy week for water vapor

Cloudy outlook for albedo

16 posted on 04/07/2006 1:05:19 PM PDT by cogitator
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To: Everybody
For a long time, the argument seemed to be that global warming either wasn't real or [has been] that it wasn't being caused by man.
Has the world seen enough evidence now to move beyond that?

The argument you outline has been dictated by a small group of skeptics, many of whom are paid by those who make money from polluting and who don't wish to see changes to the way they do business. They've gone through at least three stages of denial: first that climate change doesn't exist; then that it does exist but it's not human caused; then that we are causing it, but it's too expensive to fix.

'Warming' exists, and it's a normal part of earths cycle, and it is extremely doubtful that we could 'fix it', even if we knew how.

The author is an idiot.

17 posted on 04/07/2006 1:07:00 PM PDT by tpaine
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To: cogitator
I like witch-doctors better than many of these "modern scientists".

At least the witch-doctors presented their fantasies verbally and briefly and did not waste precious lumber products disseminating their nonsense.
18 posted on 04/07/2006 1:11:16 PM PDT by cgbg (When you hear the words "gender" or "stakeholder" run for your life!)
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To: cogitator

No sweat, don't worry. Hillary wll f**k us fore GW does.


19 posted on 04/07/2006 1:48:38 PM PDT by Waco
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To: cogitator

Seems Mars is also undergoing global warming and man hasn't been there yet, so what is Gore's answer to that? Is he going to turn off the sun or what?


20 posted on 04/07/2006 1:49:55 PM PDT by A CA Guy (God Bless America, God bless and keep safe our fighting men and women.)
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