Right-winger set to smash the mould in Canada

UK Telegraph ^ | Jan. 23, 3006 | Francis Harris

[conservative in nyc]

Martin will pull through. Just you all wait and see.

Let me give you 5 reasons this will not happen this time:

1) The 2004 election polling data was days old by election day. Most polls didn't reflect the last-minute swing to the Liberals. This time, the SES, Ipsos and Strategic Counsel polls were updated through the day before election day.

2) In 2004, ALL of the polls in the week before the election showed the Tories behind or tied. In 2006, ALL of the polls for the past two weeks have shown the Tories AHEAD.

3) In 2004, many major Canadian newspapers endorsed the Liberals. In 2006, most of those papers endorsed the Conservatives.

4) In 2004, Election Prediction Project correctly forecasted a slight Liberal win in ridings. Today, Election Prediction Project is forecasting a slight Conservative win in ridings.

5) The University of BC Election Market wasn't up and running at the time of the 2004 election, since it was summer term. Today, the UBC Election Market forecasts a Tory victory. This market has been more accurate than most opinion polls in forecasting election results.

The Tories will receive the most votes in the 2004 election, due to increased Quebec support. The only remaining question is how much Ontario follows. I'm predicting a Conservative minority government, with the Tories taking 120-125 seats.

[Victoria Delsoul]

It's worth noting that there is nothing "right-wing" about Canada's Tories. Anyone who expects major changes in Canada after this election is going to be sorely disappointed.

Gotta disagree with you there. There's a big difference between the Tories and the Grits, not only on spending, tax cuts, crackdown on crime, increased defense spending and devolution of power to the provinces, but also on social issues.

But most who have watched him [Harper] during 20 years in politics say he is far from the typical Canadian consensus-seeking mould that has typified leaders of both Left and Right for decades.

According to his biographer, William Johnson, the country has never had a leader like him in the 139 years since Britain handed over power.

The biography, Stephen Harper and the future of Canada, describes him as a brilliant conviction politician who admired the no-nonsense styles of Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan.

[Victoria Delsoul]

Thanks, I was looking for this.

Harper needs about 15%– 20% points difference to form a majority government. According to these polls it looks like a minority government.

[conservative in nyc]

Canada is our friend and our ally. We are by far their largest trading partner. The current government stinks, but that will likely change tomorrow - the opposite of Spain, where a friendly government lost power and was replaced by anti-American leftists.

[Uncle Jaque]

Canadian Libs have been relying on the flood of immigrant / Moslem / Professional welfare recipients to keep voting them their power, have they not?

"Embracing Diversity" - Sort of like what France did and Austrailia has been doing.... up until recently, anyhow.

Our Governor here in Maine made an "Executive Order" decreeing that no Gov't agency (Election workers included, we assume) are allowed to even ask about a person's immigration status, assuring him the illeagal immigrant vote in perpetuity.

We don't think that that is particularly legal on a Federal level, since it makes ME a "Sanctuary State" - but since when has the "Law" ever applied to a Democrat in power (other than when they cross their Party Bosses, as James Trafficant did once too often)?

As France and lately Austrailia have demonstrated, this trick generally works for the Statists for a while - but has a nasty habit of backfiring sooner or later.

If the Canadians don't wake up and take their Country back pretty soon, their Daughters are going to find out what Moslem "Rape Gangs" are all about, and they might even see their streets on fire, too.

And since, like Europe and Oz, the honest people in Canadastan have been disarmed / passified by their socialist overlords, just what are they going to do about it, eh?

[Alberta's Child]

With a minority government, Harper isn't going to have anything close to the mandate he would need to make any real changes in the political landscape of Canada. The best we can hope for -- assuming the Tories and Bloc Quebecois form the governing coalition -- is a government in Ottawa that provides more power to provincial governments than they have now.

[Victoria Delsoul]

You gotta a point there, for sure.

[faithincowboys]

God I hope. I want a neanderthal running the Truly Effed Up North...maybe he'll clean house.

[Alberta's Child]

We don't think that that is particularly legal on a Federal level, since it makes ME a "Sanctuary State" - but since when has the "Law" ever applied to a Democrat in power (other than when they cross their Party Bosses, as James Trafficant did once too often)?

It has nothing to do with party politics. It's worth noting that the government of New York City has maintained this kind of posture for at least the last 12 years . . . which is Reason #1 why Rudy Giuliani will play quarterback in the Super Bowl before he ever gets elected to the White House.

[GOPJ]

Mark Steyn has written a foreword to a brilliant new book by two of Canada's coolest young conservatives, Tasha Kheirridin and Adam Daifallah. As can be expected, its titled Rescuing Canada's Right: Blueprint For A Conservative Revolution.

Sounds good!

[farlander]

To complete the list :

Poland (100% hardcore pro-US), Ukraine, new Merkel's Germany (as much as she can make it).

The Vilnius 10,

Albania, Bulgaria, Croatia, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Macedonia, Romania, Slovakia, and Slovenia.

Not that I care that much about Albania per-se, but they did support us on the Iraq, whatever that meant.

And there are many, many others.

[goldstategop]

The Liberals have won majorities with 38% to 40% of the vote. Why should it be different for the Conservatives? Let's not forget that while the Conservatives are a true nationwide party, the Liberals doing well as they have in the face of a disastrous campaign is due to their grip on the core urban areas. That's all they represent and they no longer speak for all of Canada.

(Denny Crane: "I Don't Want To Socialize With A Pinko Liberal Democrat Commie. Say What You Like About Republicans. We Stick To Our Convictions. Even When We Know We're Dead Wrong.")

[dk/coro]

I agree completely...and I will give 2:1 odds as well.

For once, the Conservatives have a lock on an election in Canada. About time, I say.

[Victoria Delsoul]

The Liberals won a minority government last year with 36% while the Conservatives had 30%. It's my hope the Tories win the majority tomorrow, so let's wait and see.

[Victoria Delsoul]

Actually it was Liberals 37% and Conservatives 30%. Today the Conservatives are at 37% and Liberals 30%. Here is the link.

[Uncle Miltie]

"vanquished by the adherents of political correctness"

Save that quote for the MSM, the University, and Hollyweird.

[Beagle8U]

I'll go out on a limb and guess that the Tories will win 140 seats.

Not a majority, but a strong minority.

[RobbyS]

Whereever liberals stand is for them the middle, that is the CENTER of the universe.

[Stellar Dendrite]

how committed are these conservatives in canada to getting rid of the socialist death..err i mean health care?