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Locked on 09/24/2005 10:02:57 AM PDT by Admin Moderator, reason:
Thread VIII: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1490587/posts |
Posted on 09/23/2005 8:01:35 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Rita landfall is anticipated within the next few hours. Strong winds and heavy rains are battering southern Louisiana and southeastern Texas.
MSM news crews are shouting over the howling winds as they foolishly describe blowing rain, swaying trees, and crashing waves through rain splattered camera lenses. It's a hurricane. We know these things already.
An 18 wheeler rig reportedly overturned on an I-10 bridge. The fate of the truck driver is unknown at this time. Reports of widespread power outages in Lake Charles. KPLC-TV Lake Charles local news has remarkably improvised their reporting from a remote location. They are taking calls from residents, NWS, and public utility representatives, and alerting residents to local conditions.
On the flip side, CNN announced to the world that law enforcement officers had evacuated from Port Arthur TX with the rest of the population. Engraved looter invitations would have been more elegant.
Godspeed to all those in the path of this storm.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico
Houston/Galveston/Beaumont/Lake Charles Wx Watches/Warnings
Jefferson Co TX NWS Weather
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Louisiana
Hi Res Houston Flood Zone Map Slow load, great detail
Images:
Lake Charles Long Range Radar Still image, with loop link
Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar Still image, with loop link
Lake Charles Experimental Radar Outages and Delays May Occur
Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)
KHOU-TV/DT Houston
KPRC-TV/DT Houston
KTRK-TV/DT Houston
KTRH-AM Houston
KPLC-TV/DT Lake Charles/Lafayette
KSLA-TV/DT Shreveport
Additional Resources:
FReeper Sign In Thread Check in to let us know whether you are staying, going, and when you get there
FReepers Offering Lodging To Rita Evacuees People and/or Pet Friendly FReepers Offering Shelter
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
KPLC Lake Charles Evac Routes, news
KFDM Beaumont/Port Arthur News, evac info
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston
Galveston Webcams
Golden Triangle Weather Page Provides Galveston Weather, Warnings, Radar, etc.
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part VI
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part III
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18
Tanks, Nauti, for keeping the threads going.
I'm joining you in prayers for everyone in the storm's path--even the TV folks we have been making fun of.
Thanks for all your hard work creating these threads NautiNurse! We all appreciate it!
What I don't understand is that Shep has a hood on his jacket that he could put on. The one guy on TWC has his hood on and tied up like a bonnet.
a Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Sargent Texas to Morgan City Louisiana. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should have already been completed. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the southeastern coast of Louisiana east of Morgan City to the mouth of the Pearl River... including metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain... and from south of Sargent Texas to Port Aransas Texas. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Hurricane center located near 29.1n 93.2w at 24/0300z position accurate within 15 nm present movement toward the northwest or 325 degrees at 10 kt estimated minimum central pressure 931 mb eye diameter 30 nm Max sustained winds 105 kt with gusts to 130 kt. 64 kt....... 75ne 60se 40sw 60nw. 50 kt.......120ne 100se 80sw 90nw. 34 kt.......180ne 150se 120sw 120nw. 12 ft seas..375ne 300se 275sw 100nw. Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant. Repeat...center located near 29.1n 93.2w at 24/0300z at 24/0000z center was located near 28.6n 92.9w forecast valid 24/1200z 30.1n 94.0w...inland Max wind 85 kt...gusts 105 kt. 64 kt... 25ne 25se 0sw 25nw. 50 kt... 60ne 60se 30sw 60nw. 34 kt...100ne 120se 90sw 100nw. Forecast valid 25/0000z 31.4n 94.5w...inland Max wind 50 kt...gusts 60 kt. 50 kt... 25ne 25se 0sw 0nw. 34 kt... 75ne 75se 30sw 60nw. Forecast valid 25/1200z 32.8n 94.5w...inland Max wind 30 kt...gusts 40 kt. Forecast valid 26/0000z 33.5n 94.5w...inland Max wind 25 kt...gusts 35 kt. Forecast valid 27/0000z 33.5n 94.5w...inland Max wind 25 kt...gusts 35 kt. Extended outlook. Note...errors for track have averaged near 250 nm on day 4 and 325 nm on day 5...and for intensity near 20 kt each day outlook valid 28/0000z 33.5n 94.5w...inland Max wind 25 kt...gusts 35 kt. Outlook valid 29/0000z 33.5n 94.5w...dissipating Max wind 25 kt...gusts 35 kt. Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 29.1n 93.2w next advisory at 24/0900z forecaster Knabb $$
AP had reported earlier it was the post office building in Galveston..UNCONFIRMED...
We sincerely apologize for the outage at this critical time. Unfortunately our datacenter had an internet outage. The server was up the whole time we just couldn't get to it. As soon as I know any more information we will post it in the Outage thread in the talking tropics forum
LOL, you may have to change your handle.
data from a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft through about 00z indicated the central pressure was hovering near 930 mb throughout the afternoon and evening. Maximum 700 mb flight level winds had still been 120-125 kt. WSR-88D radar imagery from Slidell Louisiana...Lake Charles Louisiana...and Houston Texas still depict a well-defined eye that is just a few hours from reaching the coastline near the Texas/Louisiana border. The eyewall remains intact and intense... especially in the northern semicircle... with a radius of maximum winds of about 20 N mi... surrounded by dense and well-developed spiral banding. Velocities from the radars suggest that the surface winds have not fallen off much and support the advisory intensity of 105 kt. Rita remains a formidable major hurricane... and little change in strength is expected during the last few hours it has over water... so Rita is expected to make landfall at category three intensity. An Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft will be back in the system shortly.
Rita is approaching the coast along a slightly wobbly heading of 325 degrees at about 10 knots... just slightly to the east of the previous advisory track. Aside from the commonly observed wobbles... this motion should continue until landfall... followed by a gradual turn more toward the north-northwest and eventually north during the next couple of days... with a decrease in forward speed. Beyond then... there is no change to the forecast of a stall over northeastern Texas and southwestern Arkansas... as Rita will likely become trapped between high pressure cells to its east and west. This scenario could produce very heavy rainfall totals well inland and for several days after landfall.
Forecaster Knabb
forecast positions and Max winds
initial 24/0300z 29.1n 93.2w 105 kt 12hr VT 24/1200z 30.1n 94.0w 85 kt...inland 24hr VT 25/0000z 31.4n 94.5w 50 kt...inland 36hr VT 25/1200z 32.8n 94.5w 30 kt...inland 48hr VT 26/0000z 33.5n 94.5w 25 kt...inland 72hr VT 27/0000z 33.5n 94.5w 25 kt...inland 96hr VT 28/0000z 33.5n 94.5w 25 kt...inland 120hr VT 29/0000z 33.5n 94.5w 25 kt...dissipating
$$
Okay...I have officially "Had it"---
I have checked all 4 of my "local" news weathercasts..and every single one gave a different time that Rita is supposed to "hit land"...from 2 hours from now...to 6:00 in the morning...
NOW..Fox weather guy says about a little over an hour...sheesh!!!
You are awesome for all of your work on these. Actually, you have always been awesome!
Thanks!
wow Steve they really are doing this by the hour. Thanks for posting this info for us - your analogy is even better,tho :)
an hour and twenty minutes from landfall according to fox. didn't catch what part of the hurricane
I feel so lonely. :-)
LOL. It probably makes as much sense as most of those other acronyms:)
Well I tried.. (o: Relied on phonics and a little French! LOL Again my apologies!
We had flooding all the way up here in PA from allison. Not as bad as down there but she really packed a punch.
::::blush:::: thanks
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