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Thread VIII: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1490587/posts



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Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part VII
NHC - NOAA ^ | 23 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/23/2005 8:01:35 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Rita landfall is anticipated within the next few hours. Strong winds and heavy rains are battering southern Louisiana and southeastern Texas.

MSM news crews are shouting over the howling winds as they foolishly describe blowing rain, swaying trees, and crashing waves through rain splattered camera lenses. It's a hurricane. We know these things already.

An 18 wheeler rig reportedly overturned on an I-10 bridge. The fate of the truck driver is unknown at this time. Reports of widespread power outages in Lake Charles. KPLC-TV Lake Charles local news has remarkably improvised their reporting from a remote location. They are taking calls from residents, NWS, and public utility representatives, and alerting residents to local conditions.

On the flip side, CNN announced to the world that law enforcement officers had evacuated from Port Arthur TX with the rest of the population. Engraved looter invitations would have been more elegant.

Godspeed to all those in the path of this storm.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico
Houston/Galveston/Beaumont/Lake Charles Wx Watches/Warnings
Jefferson Co TX NWS Weather
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Louisiana
Hi Res Houston Flood Zone Map Slow load, great detail

Images:


Lake Charles Long Range Radar Still image, with loop link
Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar Still image, with loop link
Lake Charles Experimental Radar Outages and Delays May Occur

Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

KHOU-TV/DT Houston
KPRC-TV/DT Houston
KTRK-TV/DT Houston
KTRH-AM Houston
KPLC-TV/DT Lake Charles/Lafayette
KSLA-TV/DT Shreveport

Additional Resources:

FReeper Sign In Thread Check in to let us know whether you are staying, going, and when you get there
FReepers Offering Lodging To Rita Evacuees People and/or Pet Friendly FReepers Offering Shelter

KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
KPLC Lake Charles Evac Routes, news
KFDM Beaumont/Port Arthur News, evac info
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston
Galveston Webcams
Golden Triangle Weather Page Provides Galveston Weather, Warnings, Radar, etc.

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part VI
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part III
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18



TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: foxnews; hurricane; hurricanerita; rita; shephardsmith; shepsmith; tropical
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To: NautiNurse

Tanks, Nauti, for keeping the threads going.

I'm joining you in prayers for everyone in the storm's path--even the TV folks we have been making fun of.


141 posted on 09/23/2005 8:16:42 PM PDT by Palladin (America! America! God shed His grace on Thee.)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks for all your hard work creating these threads NautiNurse! We all appreciate it!


142 posted on 09/23/2005 8:16:47 PM PDT by LibertyRocks
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To: Lizarde

What I don't understand is that Shep has a hood on his jacket that he could put on. The one guy on TWC has his hood on and tied up like a bonnet.


143 posted on 09/23/2005 8:16:52 PM PDT by Babsig (www.genesysitsolutions.com)
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Hurricane Rita Forecast/Advisory Number 26

Statement as of 03:00Z on September 24, 2005

 
a Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Sargent Texas to Morgan
City Louisiana.  A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane
conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24
hours.  Preparations to protect life and property should have
already been completed.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the southeastern
coast of Louisiana east of Morgan City to the mouth of the Pearl
River... including metropolitan New Orleans and Lake
Pontchartrain... and from south of Sargent Texas to Port Aransas
Texas.  A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm
conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24
hours.
 
Hurricane center located near 29.1n  93.2w at 24/0300z
position accurate within  15 nm
 
present movement toward the northwest or 325 degrees at  10 kt
 
estimated minimum central pressure  931 mb
eye diameter  30 nm
Max sustained winds 105 kt with gusts to 130 kt.
64 kt....... 75ne  60se  40sw  60nw.
50 kt.......120ne 100se  80sw  90nw.
34 kt.......180ne 150se 120sw 120nw.
12 ft seas..375ne 300se 275sw 100nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant.  Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
 
Repeat...center located near 29.1n  93.2w at 24/0300z
at 24/0000z center was located near 28.6n  92.9w
 
forecast valid 24/1200z 30.1n  94.0w...inland
Max wind  85 kt...gusts 105 kt.
64 kt... 25ne  25se   0sw  25nw.
50 kt... 60ne  60se  30sw  60nw.
34 kt...100ne 120se  90sw 100nw.
 
Forecast valid 25/0000z 31.4n  94.5w...inland
Max wind  50 kt...gusts  60 kt.
50 kt... 25ne  25se   0sw   0nw.
34 kt... 75ne  75se  30sw  60nw.
 
Forecast valid 25/1200z 32.8n  94.5w...inland
Max wind  30 kt...gusts  40 kt.
 
Forecast valid 26/0000z 33.5n  94.5w...inland
Max wind  25 kt...gusts  35 kt.
 
Forecast valid 27/0000z 33.5n  94.5w...inland
Max wind  25 kt...gusts  35 kt.
 
Extended outlook. Note...errors for track have averaged near 250 nm
on day 4 and 325 nm on day 5...and for intensity near 20 kt each day
 
outlook valid 28/0000z 33.5n  94.5w...inland
Max wind  25 kt...gusts  35 kt.
 
Outlook valid 29/0000z 33.5n  94.5w...dissipating
Max wind  25 kt...gusts  35 kt.
 
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 29.1n  93.2w
 
next advisory at 24/0900z
 
forecaster Knabb
 
 
$$

144 posted on 09/23/2005 8:16:57 PM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
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To: mtbopfuyn

AP had reported earlier it was the post office building in Galveston..UNCONFIRMED...


145 posted on 09/23/2005 8:17:01 PM PDT by WoodstockCat (General Honore: "The storm gets a vote... We're not stuck on stupid.")
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Email from Storm2K:

We sincerely apologize for the outage at this critical time. Unfortunately our datacenter had an internet outage. The server was up the whole time we just couldn't get to it. As soon as I know any more information we will post it in the Outage thread in the talking tropics forum

146 posted on 09/23/2005 8:17:14 PM PDT by steve86 (@)
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To: antivenom

LOL, you may have to change your handle.


147 posted on 09/23/2005 8:17:21 PM PDT by AliVeritas (Ignorance is a condition. Stupidity is a strategy.)
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Hurricane Rita Discussion Number 26

Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on September 23, 2005

 
data from a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft through about 00z
indicated the central pressure was hovering near 930 mb throughout
the afternoon and evening. Maximum 700 mb flight level winds had
still been 120-125 kt. WSR-88D radar imagery from Slidell
Louisiana...Lake Charles Louisiana...and Houston Texas still depict
a well-defined eye that is just a few hours from reaching the
coastline near the Texas/Louisiana border.  The eyewall remains
intact and intense... especially in the northern semicircle... with
a radius of maximum winds of about 20 N mi... surrounded by dense
and well-developed spiral banding.  Velocities from the radars
suggest that the surface winds have not fallen off much and support
the advisory intensity of 105 kt.  Rita remains a formidable major
hurricane... and little change in strength is expected during the
last few hours it has over water... so Rita is expected to make
landfall at category three intensity.  An Air Force hurricane
hunter aircraft will be back in the system shortly.

 
Rita is approaching the coast along a slightly wobbly heading of 325
degrees at about 10 knots... just slightly to the east of the
previous advisory track.  Aside from the commonly observed
wobbles... this motion should continue until landfall... followed
by a gradual turn more toward the north-northwest and eventually
north during the next couple of days... with a decrease in forward
speed.  Beyond then... there is no change to the forecast of a
stall over northeastern Texas and southwestern Arkansas... as Rita
will likely become trapped between high pressure cells to its east
and west.  This scenario could produce very heavy rainfall totals
well inland and for several days after landfall.

 
Forecaster Knabb

 

 
forecast positions and Max winds

 
initial      24/0300z 29.1n  93.2w   105 kt
 12hr VT     24/1200z 30.1n  94.0w    85 kt...inland
 24hr VT     25/0000z 31.4n  94.5w    50 kt...inland
 36hr VT     25/1200z 32.8n  94.5w    30 kt...inland
 48hr VT     26/0000z 33.5n  94.5w    25 kt...inland
 72hr VT     27/0000z 33.5n  94.5w    25 kt...inland
 96hr VT     28/0000z 33.5n  94.5w    25 kt...inland
120hr VT     29/0000z 33.5n  94.5w    25 kt...dissipating

 

 
$$

148 posted on 09/23/2005 8:17:42 PM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
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Comment #149 Removed by Moderator

To: All

Okay...I have officially "Had it"---

I have checked all 4 of my "local" news weathercasts..and every single one gave a different time that Rita is supposed to "hit land"...from 2 hours from now...to 6:00 in the morning...

NOW..Fox weather guy says about a little over an hour...sheesh!!!


150 posted on 09/23/2005 8:17:48 PM PDT by Txsleuth (Arlington, Texas--future home of the Dallas Cowboys!)
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To: NautiNurse

You are awesome for all of your work on these. Actually, you have always been awesome!
Thanks!


151 posted on 09/23/2005 8:17:54 PM PDT by abner (Looking for a new tagline- Next outrage please!- Got it! PRIVATE PROPERTY RIGHTS LOST IN THE USA!)
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To: steveegg

wow Steve they really are doing this by the hour. Thanks for posting this info for us - your analogy is even better,tho :)


152 posted on 09/23/2005 8:17:54 PM PDT by RDTF
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To: Exit148
He needs a hat like this for effect.

153 posted on 09/23/2005 8:17:55 PM PDT by Blogger
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To: CindyDawg

an hour and twenty minutes from landfall according to fox. didn't catch what part of the hurricane


154 posted on 09/23/2005 8:17:59 PM PDT by RummyChick
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To: NautiNurse

I feel so lonely. :-)


155 posted on 09/23/2005 8:17:59 PM PDT by Howlin (Yeah, I'm a BushBot.....so what?)
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To: Colorado Doug

LOL. It probably makes as much sense as most of those other acronyms:)


156 posted on 09/23/2005 8:18:08 PM PDT by mrsmel
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To: kcmom

Well I tried.. (o: Relied on phonics and a little French! LOL Again my apologies!


157 posted on 09/23/2005 8:18:20 PM PDT by LibertyRocks
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Comment #158 Removed by Moderator

To: kcmom

We had flooding all the way up here in PA from allison. Not as bad as down there but she really packed a punch.


159 posted on 09/23/2005 8:18:32 PM PDT by sfimom (A Life? Cool! Where can I download one of those from?)
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To: abner

::::blush:::: thanks


160 posted on 09/23/2005 8:18:37 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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