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Update: Category 5 Hurricane Rita - Live Thread, Part II
NHC - NOAA ^ | 21 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/21/2005 1:36:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Category 3 Hurricane Rita became the fifth major hurricane of the 2005 season during the night. Hurricane Rita threaded the needle through the Florida Straits and moved into the Gulf of Mexico. Storm damage in the Florida Keys and South Florida Peninsula was light, with scattered power outages, scattered tornados, and mild to moderate flooding.

Mandatory evacuations are in effect for Galveston County TX and New Orleans. Additional evacuation orders in the Greater Houston Metropolitan Area are anticipated throughout the day.

Crude oil prices reacted as oil producers shut down and evacuated workers from platforms in the Gulf of Mexico.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Eastern Gulf of Mexico
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico

Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Still Image

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

KHOU-TV/DT Houston: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_khou
WWLTV NOLA

Additional Resources:

Coastal TX Evacuation Maps
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; katrina; katrinassister; rita; tropical; twinhurricanes
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To: lexington minuteman 1775

Right here in River City? :)


381 posted on 09/21/2005 6:08:58 AM PDT by RDTF
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To: CajunConservative
Folks who are evacuating with their pets should do this, too! In a vehicle accident crates often break open and scared animals flee.

It is such an easy precaution to take and yet it could make all the difference in the world in successfully recovering a pet.
382 posted on 09/21/2005 6:09:22 AM PDT by Zacs Mom (Proud wife of a Marine! ... and purveyor of "rampant, unedited dialogue")
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mark


383 posted on 09/21/2005 6:09:37 AM PDT by Sally'sConcerns (Rita, if you have to visit Texas, the King Ranch area is nice this time of year!)
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To: janetjanet998
BREAKING...CAT 5(unoffically)

If true, then she went from TS to Cat 5 in less than 24 hours. I'm speechless.

384 posted on 09/21/2005 6:10:34 AM PDT by laz (They can bus 'em to the polls, but they can't bus 'em out of the path of a Cat 5 hurricane.)
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To: GOP_Thug_Mom
how close to water was she? we live 2 miles from San Jacinto River, that flows into Galveston Bay, about 8-10 miles south of us...

I think she lived about a mile from the bayou that flooded her home. She *never* thought that house would flood. We didn't either. We are just outside of New Orleans and we were planning to at least be able to go to her house in Diamondhead in the aftermath since she was above sea level. Now she is staying here with us and her house is destroyed.

385 posted on 09/21/2005 6:10:36 AM PDT by lsucat
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To: anymouse
what a great link..........this will come in handy ~ thx!!
386 posted on 09/21/2005 6:10:51 AM PDT by Zacs Mom (Proud wife of a Marine! ... and purveyor of "rampant, unedited dialogue")
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To: Mo1

I was wondering the same thing yesterday. Like Gen Honore would say they [media] were "stuck on stupid" as in the past instead of the future. People along the coast of TEXAS and for miles inland need to be warned to get out by tomorrow or hunker down if they are not directly in a hazard zone.


387 posted on 09/21/2005 6:10:58 AM PDT by WestCoastGal ( "Through thick & thin, the fans got my back. Bud team will start kicking butts again" THEY DID !!!)
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To: NautiNurse

get the school buses out of the parking lot.


388 posted on 09/21/2005 6:11:26 AM PDT by Tulsa Ramjet (home of the free because of the brave.)
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To: Strategerist

Something else to consider here as well...

The area north and northeast of Dallas is a significant cotton-producing area. At least, that's my understanding.

Right now, the cotton is in bolled out and harvest should be starting soon.

With the wind and rain, I suspect that a fair amount of the cotton crop (in that area) could be damaged.

Combine that with Mississippi's cotton losses due to Katrina and I wonder if we will see an increase in certain kinds of clothing?


389 posted on 09/21/2005 6:12:17 AM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: WestCoastGal
That's true about the hotel rooms. I have a friend who is a travel agent and I was helping her answer phones yesterday. There wasn't anything available until somewhere north of Dallas which is probably Oklahoma now, or west being New Mexico.

Yes, my sister managed to find a few rooms in the Dallas suburds for her daughter and her extended family right near the last of the rooms available probaly around 3-4PM yesterday. Even they were going fast she said. She is a real estate agent and knows how to find these things also.

390 posted on 09/21/2005 6:12:30 AM PDT by Ron H. (Tancredo has been Right all along on securing our borders.)
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To: Guenevere
Austin can be a problem from one street to another so I can't answer that. As to the water and electricity, I have no idea but he should be ready.
391 posted on 09/21/2005 6:12:33 AM PDT by HoustonCurmudgeon (Houston Astrodome - Compassionate Conservatism at work!)
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To: WestCoastGal; SouthTexas

Stay safe.


392 posted on 09/21/2005 6:12:34 AM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
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To: NautiNurse

The Gulf Coast is going to be gone if this season doesn't hurry up and get over with!!!

God Bless Texas!


393 posted on 09/21/2005 6:13:02 AM PDT by 4everontheRight (Born/raised on MS beaches (SC now)...Criminals feed on the indulgence of society's understanding)
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas
Many thanks!!...Many many thanks!

You seem to know exactly where it is as referenced to the Arboretum.

I feel much better!

394 posted on 09/21/2005 6:13:32 AM PDT by Guenevere (God bless our military!...and God bless the President of the United States!)
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To: sweet_diane

My ex-husband was from Trinity--it's in Trinity County and just east and a little north of Huntsville, TX.

League City is NOT a good place to be right now, as you can imagine. I'll keep my ears open, but I believe they must be under voluntary evacuation by now.


395 posted on 09/21/2005 6:14:28 AM PDT by Rte66 (SW Houston - Meyerland)
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To: steveegg
Oh great :(

..just what do you mean by that cryptic statement!

396 posted on 09/21/2005 6:15:50 AM PDT by Guenevere (God bless our military!...and God bless the President of the United States!)
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To: Strategerist
aren't the human ones averaged out over so many hours? like 4 or 6 or something? in other words 6 hours ago it was weaker and now much stronger but the weaker part of it lowered the total estimated...

i mean look at it on the infrared..my jaw jumped when i saw that..

12:45

UW - CIMSS ADVANCED OBJECTIVE DVORAK TECHNIQUE
AODT - Version 6.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis ----- Date : 21 SEP 2005 Time : 124500 UTC Lat : 24:16:48 N Lon : 85:24:00 W

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax 7.2 / 914.1mb/146.0kt

Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : -0.9mb

Eye Temp : +13.8C Cloud Region Temp : -74.4C Scene Type : CLEAR EYE
Ocean Basin : ATLANTIC

397 posted on 09/21/2005 6:16:03 AM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: HoustonCurmudgeon

Is looter season open yet?


398 posted on 09/21/2005 6:16:30 AM PDT by TXBSAFH (Free Traitors are communist China's modern day "Useful Idiots")
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To: laz
If true, then she went from TS to Cat 5 in less than 24 hours. I'm speechless.

Rather complicated to explain but it's not quite the big deal it's being portrayed as. The Dvorak Technique was designed for a human to guess the windspeed of a storm just by looking at Satellite. The AODT is a somewhat new and experimental technique to do this automatically with a computer.

There are three agencies that officially do this manually; The Satellite Analysis Branch of the NWS, the Air Force, and the Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch of the Tropical Prediction Center (co-located with NHC in Miami.)

The AODT adjusted numbers have been T 6.9-7 for most of the time since the early morning hours, and NHC basically hasn't used them during this absence of recon; they've gone with the human-based Dvoraks, which have been one T number lower.

That said it's certainly quite possible Rita could make Cat 5 today.

From the AODT site:

The Advanced Objective Dvorak Technique (AODT) is a satellite-based algorithm developed at the University of Wisconsin Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (UW-CIMSS) to aid the diagnosis of tropical cyclone (TC) intensity. It was developed as a guidance tool, and the intensity estimates/trends that are output on this web site should be interpreted in this regard, and not considered as part of any official estimate or advisory. Please consult your national TC forecast center for official estimates.

399 posted on 09/21/2005 6:16:35 AM PDT by Strategerist
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To: Zacs Mom
http://www.target.com/gp/detail.html/ref=br_1_7/602-6592226-3867044?%5Fencoding=UTF8&frombrowse=1&asin=B000APQZR2 FYI - Sport Pet Machine Washable Dog Kennel $24.99 Some shelters are now taking pets if they are in a carrier. This is big enough for a large dog, and buckles in the backseat of your car. They also have another one that is smaller for 19.99
400 posted on 09/21/2005 6:16:47 AM PDT by RDTF
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