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Update: Category 5 Hurricane Rita - Live Thread, Part II
NHC - NOAA ^ | 21 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/21/2005 1:36:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Category 3 Hurricane Rita became the fifth major hurricane of the 2005 season during the night. Hurricane Rita threaded the needle through the Florida Straits and moved into the Gulf of Mexico. Storm damage in the Florida Keys and South Florida Peninsula was light, with scattered power outages, scattered tornados, and mild to moderate flooding.

Mandatory evacuations are in effect for Galveston County TX and New Orleans. Additional evacuation orders in the Greater Houston Metropolitan Area are anticipated throughout the day.

Crude oil prices reacted as oil producers shut down and evacuated workers from platforms in the Gulf of Mexico.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Eastern Gulf of Mexico
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico

Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Still Image

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

KHOU-TV/DT Houston: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_khou
WWLTV NOLA

Additional Resources:

Coastal TX Evacuation Maps
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; katrina; katrinassister; rita; tropical; twinhurricanes
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To: NautiNurse
From the NHC:

There has been no change in the steering pattern and Rita is moving westward or 275 degrees at 11 knots.

Problem is, for the last few frames (couple of hours) the motion has been NW, maybe WNW. It's turning sooner than expected, which could have major implications for eventual landfall (not to mention effects like higher tides) in areas further east than current "official" track would suggest. Just something to keep a very close eye on.

1,981 posted on 09/21/2005 2:04:23 PM PDT by LikeLight
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To: Types_with_Fist

I was thinking about that today; if her winds go up to 200 or so, even if she "degrades," she still might be a 5.


1,982 posted on 09/21/2005 2:04:32 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: AliVeritas

There is no Cat 6 and isn't going to be.

While not routine, Typhoons as strong or stronger than Rita or Katrina are a fairly regular occurence in the Western Pacific and 5 Categories has always served just fine for them.


1,983 posted on 09/21/2005 2:04:57 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: Howlin

I think i heard they're gonna start contraflow in the am tomorrow.


1,984 posted on 09/21/2005 2:04:57 PM PDT by abb (Because News Reporting is too important to be left to the Journalists.)
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To: ErnBatavia

Didn't Cafferty used to be the only decent personality at CNN? I mean, I remember him from the morning program and he always struck me as maybe a conservative type.

I thought I remembered him sort of countering the leftist line and being the voice of sanity now and again.

It's so rare I watch CNN that my previous recollection of Cafferty may be completely wrong.

Either way, I can't watch the guy at all now. Each time I see him he is gleefully reading email from CNN's far left viewers. This guy reads moonbat rants, one right after the other, as if they were normal, legitimate opinions.

What the heck happened to him? I guess to survive at CNN and be able to collect a paycheck he has to get with the socialist, anti-Bush program.


1,985 posted on 09/21/2005 2:04:57 PM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: sinkspur

Her car (at the cruise line parking lot) is in danger.


1,986 posted on 09/21/2005 2:05:07 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (-I contribute to FR monthly, but ABBCNNBCBS supports Hillary's Secular Sexual Socialism every day.)
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To: burzum

914 was the last "measurement" (it was actually extrapolated based on 700 mb found at 2360 m). 908 mb was in an earlier "raw-data" message that didn't make it to an official Vortex Data Message.


1,987 posted on 09/21/2005 2:05:44 PM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
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To: Vintage1
I've got family in San Antonio - any educated guesses on the impact in that area? Any information/opinions on this are appreciated. Thanks.

Hurricane force winds and flooding. There might be some localized wind damage for some dwellings (trees down, power lines down).

1,988 posted on 09/21/2005 2:05:44 PM PDT by sinkspur (Just west of DFW Airport. We can take in four or five and two dogs.)
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To: LikeLight

NHC uses a 6 hr mean motion. It is on or damn near the NHC forecasted track


1,989 posted on 09/21/2005 2:05:51 PM PDT by ContemptofCourt
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To: Vintage1
I've got family in San Antonio - any educated guesses on the impact in that area? Any information/opinions on this are appreciated. Thanks.

Hurricane force winds and flooding. There might be some localized wind damage for some dwellings (trees down, power lines down).

1,990 posted on 09/21/2005 2:05:56 PM PDT by sinkspur (Just west of DFW Airport. We can take in four or five and two dogs.)
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To: HoustonCurmudgeon
Leave the first one on the front sidewalk and you should have 1699 rounds left!

I have a 6'6" Masai spear I thought I would stick in the flower bed by the front door and see how that works.

Put a nice spill of barbecue mop around the end sticking in the ground and I think you can spare all your ammo!

1,991 posted on 09/21/2005 2:06:07 PM PDT by IamConservative (Man will occasionally stumble over the truth, but most of the time will pick himself up and carry on)
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To: aberaussie; Alas Babylon!; Alia; alnick; Amelia; asp1; AntiGuv; Bahbah; balrog666; blam; Blennos; ..

at 4 PM CDT a Hurricane Watch has been issued for Gulf of Mexico coast from Port Mansfield Texas to Cameron Louisiana.

At 4 PM CDT a tropical storm watch has been issued for east of Cameron to Grand Isle Louisiana and from south of Port Mansfield to Brownsville.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles.

1,992 posted on 09/21/2005 2:06:18 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: sinkspur

Speaking of the Yucatan, we got stuck in hurricane Emily, a cat 5/4, in July.

What idiots we were for not leaving, it was a nightmare, I have never been so afraid.


1,993 posted on 09/21/2005 2:06:21 PM PDT by roses of sharon
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To: NautiNurse

Nauti, where are you?


1,994 posted on 09/21/2005 2:06:49 PM PDT by AliVeritas (Ignorance is a condition. Stupidity is a strategy.)
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To: steveegg

If it's 4 minutes North and 11 minutes West.....then why is the last advisory this....."Rita is moving toward the west near 13 mph and this motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours." Is it going WNW or NW or W......? There is so much information out there I sometimes don't know what is actually happening at the moment. Clue me in!


1,995 posted on 09/21/2005 2:06:53 PM PDT by Prolifeconservative (If there is another terrorist attack, the womb is a very unsafe place to hide.)
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To: burzum
There is no way that the Gulf could support a hurricane that size!

That's for sure. Tip was larger than GOM.

1,996 posted on 09/21/2005 2:07:18 PM PDT by laz (They can bus 'em to the polls, but they can't bus 'em out of the path of a Cat 5 hurricane.)
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My neighbor, Kristy, called at 1:50 PM and asked for prayer for her relatives in Galveston.

All of them are evacuating.

Her grandfather lives between Galveston and Dallas. She has uncles, aunts, and their children in Galveston.

The hitch is that one of them owns a lot of livestock and they are not able to move all of them; they are taking their mares and a stud, and some of the cows.

Thanks in advance.

God have mercy on these people.


1,997 posted on 09/21/2005 2:07:22 PM PDT by GretchenM (Hooked on porn and hating it? Visit http://www.theophostic.com .)
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To: AliVeritas
Tell me there's not such a thing as a cat 6... right?

There is no such thing as a weak Cat 5.

The categories are a damage control scheme. It is estimated that each level causes about 10 times as much damage as the one previous. This means that a Cat 5 is 10,000 times as damaging as a Cat 1.

1,998 posted on 09/21/2005 2:07:27 PM PDT by burzum (Great minds discuss ideas, average minds discuss events, small minds discuss people.-Adm H Rickover)
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To: Longbow1969; ErnBatavia

He is just dreadful. Nasty.


1,999 posted on 09/21/2005 2:07:39 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: ContemptofCourt

They are saying it's about 15 miles north of the NHC track already, which, all other things being equal at this distance, translates to a 100 mile shift (northeastward) up the coast. It's potentially a big deal.


2,000 posted on 09/21/2005 2:07:41 PM PDT by LikeLight
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