Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

This thread has been locked, it will not receive new replies.
Locked on 09/20/2005 6:22:17 AM PDT by Admin Moderator, reason:

Locked - New Thread http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1487888/posts



Skip to comments.

Tropical Storm Rita Live Thread
NHC - NOAA ^ | 18 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/18/2005 1:56:41 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Tropical Storm Rita has developed from TD 18 in the Atlantic Ocean. TS Rita is currently located north of Hispaniola, the eastern tip of Cuba, and ESE of Nassau, Bahamas. Hurricane watches and warnings are in effect for portions of Florida. Check for local weather statements.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only!
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP) - http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live"
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP) - mms://216.242.118.141/broadband

Other Resources:

Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Announcements; News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; lovelyrita; rita; tropical; weather
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 161-180181-200201-220 ... 1,861-1,863 next last
To: brytlea

The Beta and Advection Model (BAM), follows a trajectory in the pressure-weighted vertically-averaged horizontal wind from the Aviation model beginning at the current storm location, with a correction that accounts for the beta effect (Marks 1992). Three versions of this model, one with a shallow-layer (BAMS), one with a medium-layer (BAMM), and one with a deep-layer (BAMD), are run. BAMS runs using the 850-700 mb layer,BAMM with the 850-400 mb layer, and BAMD with the 850-200 mb layer. The deep-layer version was run operationally for primary synoptic times in 1989; all three versions have been run four times per day since 1990.


181 posted on 09/18/2005 6:04:24 PM PDT by dc-zoo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 174 | View Replies]

To: CindyDawg

You've got to have the essentials. ;-)


182 posted on 09/18/2005 6:04:37 PM PDT by TheMom (My husband and children rock! I am like a rock . . . round and thick.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 161 | View Replies]

To: SauronOfMordor
I was thinking more along these models, can run your A/C's w/out any problem.
183 posted on 09/18/2005 6:05:29 PM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 156 | View Replies]

To: dc-zoo

How often are they right?
susie


184 posted on 09/18/2005 6:06:19 PM PDT by brytlea (All you need as ID to vote in FL is your Costco card...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 181 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse

I was just trying to help, save him some work:')


185 posted on 09/18/2005 6:06:31 PM PDT by CindyDawg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 178 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse

That graphic is not too large, is it?


186 posted on 09/18/2005 6:06:41 PM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 166 | View Replies]

To: TheMom

I have margarita mix on my list.


187 posted on 09/18/2005 6:07:34 PM PDT by CindyDawg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 182 | View Replies]

To: shield

Well dang...I was just starting to think we were clear..hhmmm.


188 posted on 09/18/2005 6:08:59 PM PDT by SE Mom (God Bless those who serve..)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 163 | View Replies]

To: onyx

Yes, but since NHC has been dead on track...that'd be the one I'd pay attention to. There are several others you can pretty much forget about it. There usually never right.


189 posted on 09/18/2005 6:09:20 PM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 169 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse

You can never go wrong with beef jerky.


190 posted on 09/18/2005 6:09:31 PM PDT by TheMom (My husband and children rock! I am like a rock . . . round and thick.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 165 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse
Have you seen the BAMM models? Nagin better not let those people back in NO yet.
191 posted on 09/18/2005 6:09:44 PM PDT by Ellesu (www.thedeadpelican.com)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 137 | View Replies]

To: CindyDawg

Don't forget the tequila.


192 posted on 09/18/2005 6:10:57 PM PDT by TheMom (My husband and children rock! I am like a rock . . . round and thick.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 187 | View Replies]

To: Tarpon

In addition to probable hurricane warnings going up tonight for the Keys (an eye is forming), there is chatter about watches extending as far north as Jupiter Inlet too. The early fix appeared to be too far south. Stay tuned.


193 posted on 09/18/2005 6:11:00 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 180 | View Replies]

To: brytlea

Not very. No computer model is exactly accurate. Not to be used for planning purposes.


194 posted on 09/18/2005 6:11:09 PM PDT by dc-zoo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 184 | View Replies]

To: Ellesu

Please see posts 154, 160, and most especially 170.


195 posted on 09/18/2005 6:12:10 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 191 | View Replies]

To: TheMom

That's under staples and kept stocked:')


196 posted on 09/18/2005 6:14:40 PM PDT by CindyDawg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 192 | View Replies]

To: TheMom

Unless you're a cow....
susie


197 posted on 09/18/2005 6:17:21 PM PDT by brytlea (All you need as ID to vote in FL is your Costco card...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 190 | View Replies]

To: dc-zoo

The BAMD and BAMM are essentially the same model; one is the BAM "Deep Layer" and the BAMM is "Medium Layer." The BAMM only applies to weak, sheared tropical storms and generally should be ignored.

The BAM models are old and pretty primitive. Not totally worthless like the A98E, but not to be taken all that seriously; as mentioned they're very sensitive to initial motion and in many cases the init motion is off.

Generally the top model is the GUNA, which is an AVERAGE of the GFDL, GFS, UKMET, and NOGAPS models.


198 posted on 09/18/2005 6:17:41 PM PDT by Strategerist
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 171 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse

Great, I was thinking we were in the clear!
susie


199 posted on 09/18/2005 6:18:01 PM PDT by brytlea (All you need as ID to vote in FL is your Costco card...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 193 | View Replies]

To: dc-zoo

Yeah, you're right...I just wondered. I want to know today, because it will give me more time to bring the yard art in....
susie


200 posted on 09/18/2005 6:18:39 PM PDT by brytlea (All you need as ID to vote in FL is your Costco card...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 194 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 161-180181-200201-220 ... 1,861-1,863 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson