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Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VII
NOAA - NHC ^ | 28 August 2005 | NOAA - NHC

Posted on 08/28/2005 8:10:23 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin conceded that as many as 100,000 inner-city residents didn't have the means to leave and an untold number of tourists were stranded by the closing of the airport. At this hour, people are still filing into the Superdome after security screening for weapons and contraband. National Guard have brought in 360,000 MRE (meals ready to eat) to feed the estimated 30,000 storm refugees in the Superdome.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Buoy Data Florida

Images:


New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:


Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VI
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12


Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

Fully-linked version of the live feeds (just in case a few people don't want to first open up WMP to cut-and-paste) -

WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/

1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT

Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast

.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518 WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans via WESH-TV/DT Orlando - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38843.asx

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: amscray; bugoutnow; getoutadodge; getoutoftown; hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; katrinaandthewaves; livehurricanekatrina; lordprotectnoandla; nawlins; neworleans; tropical; walkingonsunshine; weather
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To: JustaCowgirl

Wait a minute -- is the causeway still OPEN?!
861 posted on 08/28/2005 9:43:33 PM PDT by Flux Capacitor (Trust me. I know what I'm doing.)
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To: Flux Capacitor; al baby

You guys are on a roll tonight!


862 posted on 08/28/2005 9:44:06 PM PDT by bonfire (dwindler)
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To: spunkets

Westward to Texas is I-10, I-12, depending on whether you go north or south of Lake Pontchartrain. They hook up together in Baton Rouge and merge as I-10.


I would guess that as soon as you get as far away as Sorrento or Ponchatoula you are pretty much OK. Slidell is toast. Covington is OK. Mandeville probably toast. Laplace could go either way.


863 posted on 08/28/2005 9:44:08 PM PDT by CobaltBlue (Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice. Moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue.)
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Comment #864 Removed by Moderator

To: Howlin
Hi! I have been watching the coverage, but my daughter and son-in-law were here for a visit, so I couldn't be on the computer.

My son-in-law had never seen Geraldo in his purple prose mode, as he was during his two-hour block tonight. The kids won't get cable, so they had NO idea how Geraldo talks when he is wound up! I swear, my son-in-law kept staring at the TV with his mouth open, and saying things like "I have never heard a news anchor talk like that!"

865 posted on 08/28/2005 9:44:22 PM PDT by Miss Marple (Lord, please look after Mozart Lover's son and keep him strong.)
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To: MplsSteve

Yes. Very much a nail biter.


866 posted on 08/28/2005 9:44:31 PM PDT by newzjunkey (Cindy Sheehan: "All You Are Saying Is Give APPEASEMENT A Chance!")
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To: dandelion

Glad to assist. Was on the phone earlier this evening helping to coordinate evac route with a LA FReeper.


867 posted on 08/28/2005 9:44:37 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse
Only 10,000 in the Dome? Thought is was 30K.

I think I heard that the Dome can "hold" 30,000, but I haven't heard how many are there now. God speed!

868 posted on 08/28/2005 9:44:39 PM PDT by Chena (I'm not young enough to know everything)
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To: texaslil

We stay here at FR because somehow we feel connected....ALone we can do nothing, but connected through the most common need..food (recipes) to our spiritual needs (prayers), we feel stronger and coping is easier.

I just feel so very sad. Sad for those with families and their potential loses....Sadder for those without families who will just become numbers in the history books.

Blessings for your family. Get some rest. Congratulations on the new life in your family.


869 posted on 08/28/2005 9:44:53 PM PDT by hoosiermama (prayers for all)
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To: filbert
When you do your casualty estimates you don't figure on numbers, you figure on percentage. 21% of Galveston died.
870 posted on 08/28/2005 9:45:05 PM PDT by U S Army EOD (WHEN JANE FONDA STARTS HER TOUR, LET ME KNOW WHERE SHE IS)
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To: NautiNurse

Around here , with storms or bad weather ,it has always been that no one goes home until all of the next shift arrives. No one. It wouldn't keep people from walking out though.


871 posted on 08/28/2005 9:45:10 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: newzjunkey


Well, there's been a couple of swarm varieties.
And, don'tcha know, our signon dates are not always accurate...lol.


872 posted on 08/28/2005 9:45:16 PM PDT by onyx (North is a direction. South is a way of life.)
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To: CFC__VRWC

"Looks to me like there's almost no way New Orleans misses the eyewall. Worst possible outcome for the
city."

Well yes, but....see how the 2200 +12/24 plot is drifting east of the 1600 one?

Fingers crossed, hoping the trend continues.

Max surge seems to take place from 355 to 015 degrees relative to the forward motion of the storm. As big as this one is, that swath will be pretty wide. I hate playing god, but I think fewer will die if the surge comes ashore someplace where the population center isn't largely below sea level.

The further east this storm drifts, the less the westward wind at the head of the eyewall will drive it into Lake P.

Note though, that she's slowing down, and that none of the actual data shows any eastward drift at all, not yet. The longer the winds have to drive the surf ashore, the worse the surge, no matter where it strikes.


873 posted on 08/28/2005 9:45:22 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: Arizona Carolyn
I was wondering about school buses, I'm sure it would be good to get them out of the way of the hurricane and they could transport a lot of people too.

I think the reality is probably lack of planning.

874 posted on 08/28/2005 9:45:23 PM PDT by tiki
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To: Flux Capacitor
Wait a minute -- is the causeway still OPEN?!

I sure hope not. =/
875 posted on 08/28/2005 9:45:25 PM PDT by Termite_Commander (Warning: Cynical Right-winger Ahead)
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To: JustaCowgirl

Cannot imagine being on the causeway with this bearing down. That would be terrible.

I don't do well driving over water either. I remember driving I-10 over miles of water it seemed like with signs saying to watch for the gators. I wouldn't have gotten out of the car if you paid me.


876 posted on 08/28/2005 9:45:31 PM PDT by PhiKapMom (AOII Mom -- Allen in 2008)
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To: sandyeggo
" Bumper to bumper for 400 miles??!!"

According to AM 870 down there. I forgot the number of the interstate, but it extends well into TX. 20MPH.

877 posted on 08/28/2005 9:45:40 PM PDT by spunkets
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To: Howlin; All

I'm off to bed for a while, a few hours anyway.

If someone can take over and report the BOUY's and BURL1, and ping me if you can.

Take care all, praying for those in the path.

BOUY's
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/radial_search.php?lat1=27.6N&lon1=89.4W&dist=250&time=3

BURL1 (Land)
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=burl1

Regards,
Joe


878 posted on 08/28/2005 9:45:49 PM PDT by Sonar5 (60+ Million have Spoken Clearly - "We Want Our Country Back")
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To: Admin Moderator

Oh, my !


879 posted on 08/28/2005 9:46:05 PM PDT by tomkat (sincere as all gitout)
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To: All

WWL-TV just noted that the SuperDome's single primary generator is underground... No word on any secondary generators.


880 posted on 08/28/2005 9:46:27 PM PDT by Spktyr (Overwhelmingly superior firepower and the willingness to use it is the only proven peace solution.)
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