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Posted on 08/28/2005 8:10:23 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin conceded that as many as 100,000 inner-city residents didn't have the means to leave and an untold number of tourists were stranded by the closing of the airport. At this hour, people are still filing into the Superdome after security screening for weapons and contraband. National Guard have brought in 360,000 MRE (meals ready to eat) to feed the estimated 30,000 storm refugees in the Superdome.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VI
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
Fully-linked version of the live feeds (just in case a few people don't want to first open up WMP to cut-and-paste) -
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/
1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT
Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast
.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518 WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans via WESH-TV/DT Orlando - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38843.asx
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
If I told you...
Wait a second...
Something tells me...
Ouch!
This is not a myth.
I've read about that. What a horrible way to die.
WESH is reporting that the NHC (National Hurricane Center) director was so concerned about this epic hurricane that he directly called the NO mayor and basically told him to "get off your butt and get the people outta there!" According to WESH, the director was unable to cope - or accept - the lack of guidance appearing to come out of the mayor's office. Wow!
More tornado warnings and "shears" on the doppler.
AM 870 says yes. Bumper to bumper. Forgot the number for the westward road to TX. THat is bumper to bumper for 400 mi.
I would have a hard time in the Superdome -- I don't do well in closed places so I cannot imagine being in there or in the high rises. I would have left.
Winds 50 mph in New Orleans according to Channel 2.
A prayerful BUMP for all of those in her dangerous path.
As I have bored people before on these threads, I once rode out a Force 12 for eighteen hours in a 36' sailboat. I have this appreciation for what can happen.
Radial point is ~90nm E of Venice, LA (tip of Delta) and 64 nm South of Dauphin Island, AL
ID T1 TIME LAT LON DIST HDG WDIR WSPD GST WVHT DPD APD MWD PRES PTDY ATMP WTMP DEWP VIS TIDE (GMT) nm ° ° kts kts ft sec sec ° in in °F °F °F mi ft ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 42040 B 0350 29.18 -88.21 0 0 90 40.8 52.4 31.5 14 - - 29.28 -0.11 83.1 85.5 80.6 - - 42007 B 0350 30.09 -88.77 62 332 80 31.1 38.9 16.7 14 - - 29.46 -0.08 82.6 86.0 80.1 - - OSTF1 O 0350 30.36 -89.61 102 315 10 5.8 11.7 - - - - 29.55 -0.07 77.5 - 73.8 - - 42039 B 0350 28.79 -86.02 117 101 130 33.0 42.7 24.3 13 - - 29.63 +0.03 85.8 86.2 78.3 - - 42036 B 0350 28.50 -84.52 198 101 120 27.2 33.0 15.1 13 - - 29.72 +0.02 84.6 84.2 77.9 - - WAVM6 O 0342 30.28 -89.37 89 318 50 25.1 32.1 - - - - 29.55 - - - - - - APCF1 O 0342 29.73 -84.98 172 78 - - - - - - - 29.78 - - - - - - BYGL1 O 0336 29.78 -90.42 121 288 40 7.0 12.0 - - - - 29.46 - 78.8 86.4 - - - LABL1 O 0336 30.05 -90.37 124 295 50 21.0 33.0 - - - - 29.55 - 81.0 - - - - BYGL1 O 0330 29.78 -90.42 121 288 40 8.9 13.0 - - - - 29.47 - 78.8 86.4 - - - LABL1 O 0330 30.05 -90.37 124 295 40 22.9 34.0 - - - - 29.55 - 81.1 - - - - PCBF1 O 0330 30.21 -85.88 136 62 - 13.0 20.0 - - - - 29.75 - - - - - - WAVM6 O 0324 30.28 -89.37 89 318 50 25.1 29.9 - - - - 29.57 - - - - - - BYGL1 O 0324 29.78 -90.42 121 288 30 8.0 13.0 - - - - 29.48 - 79.0 86.4 - - - LABL1 O 0324 30.05 -90.37 124 295 50 20.0 32.1 - - - - 29.56 - 81.7 - - - - BYGL1 O 0318 29.78 -90.42 121 288 40 8.9 19.0 - - - - 29.47 - 79.3 86.5 - - - LABL1 O 0318 30.05 -90.37 124 295 50 17.1 28.9 - - - - 29.56 - 81.7 - - - - BYGL1 O 0312 29.78 -90.42 121 288 40 11.1 19.0 - - - - 29.49 - 79.9 86.5 - - - LABL1 O 0312 30.05 -90.37 124 295 40 21.0 31.1 - - - - 29.57 - 81.7 - - - - PCBF1 O 0312 30.21 -85.88 136 62 - 13.0 21.0 - - - - 29.76 - - - - - - WAVM6 O 0306 30.28 -89.37 89 318 50 22.9 32.1 - - - - 29.58 - - - - - - BYGL1 O 0306 29.78 -90.42 121 288 50 9.9 18.1 - - - - 29.49 - 80.1 86.5 - - - LABL1 O 0306 30.05 -90.37 124 295 40 21.0 40.0 - - - - 29.56 - 81.7 - - - - APCF1 O 0306 29.73 -84.98 172 78 - - - - - - - 29.79 - - - - - - DPIA1 C 0305 30.25 -88.07 65 6 70 30 36 - - - - 29.61 -0.02 82.9 86.2 77.4 - 3.51 BURL1 C 0300 28.90 -89.43 66 256 70 63 70 - - - - 29.16 -0.17 81.3 - - - - PCLF1 O 0300 30.40 -87.21 90 35 - 4.1 8.0 - - - - 29.68 +0.01 82.2 85.5 - - - GDIL1 C 0300 29.27 -89.96 92 274 30 40 45 - - - - 29.34 -0.14 81.3 84.9 80.1 2.5 - BYGL1 O 0300 29.78 -90.42 121 288 40 8.9 15.0 - - - - 29.45 - 79.0 86.2 - - - ILDL1 O 0300 29.05 -90.53 122 267 10 42.9 55.9 8.5 12 - - 29.32 -0.14 80.2 88.3 - - 2.41 LABL1 O 0300 30.05 -90.37 124 295 40 21.0 34.0 - - - - 29.56 -0.06 81.9 - - - - LUML1 O 0300 29.25 -90.66 128 272 10 31.1 41.0 - - - - 29.34 - 79.2 81.1 75.9 - 0.70 TAML1 O 0300 29.19 -90.67 129 271 30 36.9 48.0 - - - - 29.32 - 80.6 81.5 76.5 - 0.97 PCBF1 O 0300 30.21 -85.88 136 62 - 15.0 20.0 - - - - 29.75 - - - - - - SGOF1 C 0300 29.41 -84.86 176 85 120 31 34 - - - - 29.76 +0.02 84.4 86.4 77.2 - - ELXL3 S 0300 26.50 -90.80 212 221 310 52.1 - - - - - 29.26 +0.03 83.8 - - 2.5 - V7EA2 S 0300 26.80 -91.70 234 233 - - - - - - - 29.18 +0.00 82.8 - - - - V7EA2 S 0300 26.80 -91.70 234 233 320 44.1 - - - - - 29.18 +0.00 82.8 - - - - KTNF1 C 0300 29.82 -83.59 244 80 90 9 11 - - - - 29.84 +0.04 76.1 - 74.3 - - V7HC6 S 0300 26.20 -91.40 246 224 320 29.9 - - - - - 29.38 +0.03 84.2 86.9 - 6.2 - 1 B = Buoy, C = C-MAN Station, D = Drifting Buoy, S = Ship, O = Other
Current Obs:
(Slidell) KASD 290353Z AUTO 05015G22KT 10SM FEW017 26/23 A2955 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SW RAB07E28 SLP007 P0001 T02560233
(New Orleans Intl) KMSY 290353Z 04027G34KT 7SM -RA SCT019 OVC060 27/24 A2949 RMK AO2 PK WND 05038/0255 RAB0258 SLP991 P0002 T02670239
(Mobile) KMOB 290356Z AUTO 06019G23KT 10SM FEW015 SCT041 26/23 A2965 RMK AO2 RAB01E16 SLP038 P0000 T02560228 TSNO
(Pensacola) KPNS 290343Z AUTO 07010G18KT 10SM FEW016 BKN030 BKN038 26/24 A2968 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT E AND SE RAE23 P0001
(Apalachicola) KAAF 290356Z AUTO 12016G24KT 10SM CLR 29/25 A2976 RMK AO2 PK WND 12026/0335 SLP078 T02890250 TSNO
Some elderly people died trying to evacuate NO....apparently dehydration.
well done! Nice map--thanks!
What? And ruin the mystery of it all? ;)
Thank you for all the great work you are doing spiff!!!!!!!
Unfortunately, there are always deaths associated with evacuations. Usually auto accidents.
Looks to me like there's almost no way New Orleans misses the eyewall. Worst possible outcome for the city.
MODERATOR SWARM!! I knew Katrina was a serious event... but I didn't know it was THIS serious...
Thank goodness I've been busy calling my daughter every five minutes with weather updates, or else I probably would have already incurred the wrath of ZOT. However I have instead been playing phone reporter to grounded Eglin Airmen, thanks to Free Republic and TWC (tornado spotted earlier in Destin).
I'm just so grateful for these threads to keep me up to date on it all! Thanks to NautiNurse and all who work so hard to keep things moing aroud here - Moderators included.
It's going to be a long night in the Florida Panhandle as well as the rest of the Gulf. Prayers for all in Katrina's path!
Thanks for the update on that...I wasn't sure.
It can come in just as fast, depends on the situation.
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