Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VI

NOAA - NHC ^ | 28 August 2005 | NOAA - NHC

[NautiNurse]

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. Thousands of people did not evacuate New Orleans. Outer bands of Katrina are reaching the Louisiana coast.

Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be in their safe locations.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[spectre]

Thank you! I was looking for "back up".

sw

[LdSentinal]

The idiot mayor of NO is a DemocRat, isn't he ? No comment

Yes, but he supported Bush for president last year.

[kingu]

The National Hurricane Center's predictions always err on the side of caution. If a hurricane is coming close to Miami, the path will initially put it on that course to scare more people into fleeing.

The National Weather Service, on the other hand, errs on the side of caution as well, but will not track a hurricane into a population center unless the track actually goes in that direction.

In either case, following the weather blogs that are out there and looking at the raw model data generally gives the true answer. NHC and NWS predictions will generally match when there is less than 18 hours to landfall.

I would not be anywhere within 125 miles of N.O. this evening for any amount of money, and being within 250 miles would take one heck of a big payoff. This is a monster, this monster is coming on shore, and the only question at this point is what percentage of the population will live and how many months it will take before the majority of people will be able to return.

I'm hopeful that this won't be the case, but nothing I've seen so far has made me confident that the levees will stand, that a large portion of southeast Louisiana will be under water, and that this will be the most expensive natural disaster in history.

[bill1952]

Insurance? Sure.
Along with the standard deductible per occurrence, (The eyes of two major hurricance passed over within 3 weeks - This was the first) there was the 5% hurricane deductible, per occurrence.

Without going into detail, it, along with the loss of business, wiped us out.

I didn't stay for the second one. (Hurricane Jeanne)

I flew out in my last aircraft, and I'm ready to this year again.

[gopwinsin04]

[the Deejay]

Geraldo starting on FNC... let's all switch channels together!

LOL!!! OMG, I can't stop laughing!

You forgot to say, "1,2,3"

Geraldo is on for TWO HOURS tonight!

[shezza]

FEMA guy Marty at the Superdome was asked about food: Oh yes, he says, the National Guard brought in 15 thousand MREs and 5 truckloads of water, enough to sustain these people for several days. (Um, they're estimating 30,000 people there already. 15,000 MREs means everybody gets half a meal, once. Hopefully the National Guard has delivered just the first of many truckloads of MREs, 'cause things are going to get really ugly if the people have to stay for several days without food.)

[sonsofliberty2000]

What kinda party is that? New Orleans sucks :-p

[homemom]

Darn it, I wanted to see him in NO! I love it when the reporters are outside all wet and in the wind . . . Don't get me wrong, I DO want them all to be safe . . .

[silentknight]

Latest wave forecast

18z Wave Forecast - for tomorrow morning

http://www5.wright-weather.com/bb/showthread.php?s=&postid=452492#post452492

[bonfire]

Did you put your house up for sale?

[mware]

[Gabz]

Okay, I know I will get flamed for this one. I actually LIKE Geraldo!

NO flame from me. Geraldo can be annoying at times - but I've got a soft spot for him from back when he was just a street reporter in NYC back in the early 70s.

[jimbo123]

Looks like it's heading due north now...

http://radar.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS.p20-r/si.klix.shtml

[WestCoastGal]

One thing I do like about Geraldo is when he is with the troops in Iraq or Afghanistan. He always praises them and lets them say hi to their families etc.

[Danette]

Anybody have an update on the people in the bars? Shep interviewed people at some packed bars this afternoon. Did they wise up and leave or not?

[GOP_Proud]

< No, the Cuyahoga fire happened about ten years or so before Kucinich. >


Ok...but what was the why and how?

[pax_et_bonum]

It's a Galveston 1900 storm all over again.

I've been thinking the same thing.

[oceanview]

the tradeoff is wind/surge versus flooding from the lake. not sure which one is "better". most of the weather saavy people on this thread believe its "better" for the eye to go west of NO, even if its just slightly west of it, rather then east.

its funny that none of the weather forecasters - Lyons. Mayfield, Bastardi - talk about this.

[HairOfTheDog]

I'd pat these people down too! And when the bad guys get hungry, when they can't sleep, or go to the bathroom, when they start cussing, and fighting among themselves, you'd be glad they weren't armed.

It'd be faster, and safer, if they just handed everyone a baseball bat.