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Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part V
NHC - NOAA ^ | 28 August 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 08/28/2005 9:35:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico. Mandatory evacuation of New Orleans is finally underway. Louisiana officials are warning of complete failure to levy systems, and pleading with people to leave low lying areas. For those who choose to stay, they are recommending picks and axes for breaking through to access their roofs during flooding.

Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be rushing hurricane preparations to completion.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Buoy Data Florida

Images:


New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:


Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:


http://www.wjbo.com - BR radio station. Callers calling in and describing traffic etc.
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518

Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; livehurricanekatrina; tropical; weather
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To: mercy

.....I have an awful feeling we are looking at dead people right now on fox......

I saw a program once on the hurricane that destroyed Galveston in 1906. The local US weatherman failed to heed the warnings of his brother, also a weatherman and stayed. He told people to come to his stormproof house. They all died.

This is appearing to be like the storm that destroyed Galveston.



2,021 posted on 08/28/2005 1:56:05 PM PDT by bert (K.E. ; N.P . The wild winds of fortune will carry us onward)
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To: GOP_Proud

No. I read it on another thread.
Maybe a zero was missing? or a 1?
Still isn't very much space.


2,022 posted on 08/28/2005 1:56:05 PM PDT by mabelkitty (Lurk forever, but once you post, your newbness shines like a new pair of shoes.)
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To: MplsSteve

Nope, it's not a true weakening: Take a look at this excerpt from the discussion:

HAVING SAID THAT...DATA FROM
THE STEPPED-FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER INSTRUMENT ON BOARD THE
AIRCRAFT SUGGEST THAT THE SURFACE TO 700 MB FLIGHT LEVEL WIND RATIO
IS NOT QUITE AS LARGE AS WE TYPICALLY USE...AND THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO 145 KT. HURRICANES DO NOT
MAINTAIN SUCH GREAT INTENSITY FOR VERY LONG. HOWEVER THERE ARE NO
OBVIOUS LARGE-SCALE MECHANISMS...SUCH AS INCREASED VERTICAL
SHEAR...TO WEAKEN KATRINA. THE HURRICANE IS LIKELY TO MAKE
LANDFALL WITH CATEGORY 4 OR 5 INTENSITY.

It's an adjustment to the estimated surface winds, and likely does not reflect a true weakening, just that the estimated surface winds earlier may have been too high. Again, it's academic at this point.


2,023 posted on 08/28/2005 1:56:05 PM PDT by Wthrman13
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To: steveegg

Jonathan Serrie - sometimes clueless, most of the time pretty smart; I'm guessing he'll hie it out of there pretty soon.


2,024 posted on 08/28/2005 1:56:18 PM PDT by mhking (The world needs a wake up call gentlemen...we're gonna phone it in.)
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To: GOP_Proud
Not me...the guy who said it is the idiot. I'm sure Shep has plans on where he can go quickly when he has to. What's the idiot's plan?

Agree with you totally! The news media have plans for all their reporters to get out to where it is safe, what are this idiots plans?

2,025 posted on 08/28/2005 1:56:28 PM PDT by blondee123
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To: GOP_Proud

No, I was saying I'd like to buy the guy a drink! Wish I could have told Shep to f--- off!


2,026 posted on 08/28/2005 1:56:33 PM PDT by Fudd Fan (Bergen County, NJ [northeast corner])
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To: EBH

Those people in the bar are like those who mocked Moses for building an ark.

God promised he would never flood the Earth again, but it's starting to look like he is going to flood New Orleans one way or another.


2,027 posted on 08/28/2005 1:56:33 PM PDT by nhoward14
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To: GRRRRR
yeah Shep's in the bar with a toddy, hittin' on the 'cute' chicks

chicks?

Maybe, maybe not.

2,028 posted on 08/28/2005 1:56:37 PM PDT by dinasour (Pajamahadeen)
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To: Howlin

If Katrina is 150 miles from NO and moving at 13mph, that puts it ashore in 10 hours (3am EDT); NO at 5am EDT. Could continue to speed up.


2,029 posted on 08/28/2005 1:56:49 PM PDT by alancarp (When does it cease to be "Freedom of the Press" and become outright SEDITION?)
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To: mhking
Your skin is flayed off in 10 seconds or 15 seconds...what's a few seconds between friends... ;)

Exactly. With the pressure as low as it is, I'd expect the wind speed to go back up rather than heading down further.

2,030 posted on 08/28/2005 1:56:54 PM PDT by steveegg (Real torture is taking a ride with Sen Ted "Swimmer" Kennedy in a 1968 Oldsmobile off a short bridge)
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To: shanscom
The Superdome's listed capacity for a football game is 72,003 people. The field can probably hold some more people and there are rooms scattered throughout the complex.

Well let's hope that the playing field is above the possible flood level.
Or that the doors seal tight enough to keep the water out.
But the people in the stands should be OK.
And there should be plenty of room behind the stands where all the concession areas are. People will have to step over each other to get around. They may be packed in like sardines, but at least they'll be safe.

2,031 posted on 08/28/2005 1:56:58 PM PDT by Willie Green (Go Pat Go!!!)
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To: tiredoflaundry

it reminds me a lot of 9/11 too - the unimaginable happening before our very eyes, an unfathomable human toll, just awful.


2,032 posted on 08/28/2005 1:57:01 PM PDT by sassbox (New Jersey - lots of prayers for New Orleans and the Gulf Coast)
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To: spectre

The crowd is not going to tolerate standing in line for much longer.


2,033 posted on 08/28/2005 1:57:01 PM PDT by hole_n_one
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To: IndyTiger

You know, watching the different cable channels, and listening to the reports, my take is much of this area, and these people are not really prepared, or waited until the last minute to leave. Just my take.


2,034 posted on 08/28/2005 1:57:06 PM PDT by Black Tooth
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To: RightWhale
There will be some damage, but this is not a tornado.

Quite the contrary--this is akin to a 200 mile wide tornado that pounds 165 mph sustained winds for 2-3 hours, rather than plowing through a narrow area in seconds.

2,035 posted on 08/28/2005 1:57:12 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Torie

um....?

165 MPH

Has it decreased?

I am betting this is a typo...


2,036 posted on 08/28/2005 1:57:19 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://www.xanga.com/home.aspx?user=rwfromkansas)
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To: oceanview

"Shep needs to get out of there now. Just let these people take their chance with mother nature."

We don't need Shep down there to show us these pathetic people who would rather stay in denial and get drunk; we know they're fools. It's not worth Shep's life.


2,037 posted on 08/28/2005 1:57:20 PM PDT by LibSnubber (Lafayette, LA........PRAYER AGAINST STORMS on my homepage)
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To: rwfromkansas

"I bet many of those people are poor and homeless.

I find it sad that so many no doubt can't escape."

Yep. And the mayor and governor did squat until it was too late. Sorry, my mistake, they did do something. They consulted with lawyers about whether it was legal or not to save peoples' lives.


2,038 posted on 08/28/2005 1:57:25 PM PDT by kenth (north Georgia mountains - prayers for all in the path of Katrina)
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To: Howlin

When they say it is coming on shore about 7:00 am, do they mean the eye on shore, or the highest winds coming on shore?

I guess I am asking what time any bad damage might happen....Shep just said it started raining really hard on Bourbon street


2,039 posted on 08/28/2005 1:57:31 PM PDT by Txsleuth (Arlington Texas --- Next home of the Dallas Cowboys...going more broke every second.)
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To: Dog

They are telling people to be on the third floor or higher. They seem to have a lot of faith in the foundations of those buildings with the forecast storm surge.


2,040 posted on 08/28/2005 1:57:31 PM PDT by mathluv (Mercy shown to an evil man is cruelty to the innocent.)
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