Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III

NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[jacquej]

I am wondering if they couldn't get some of those huge transport planes into the airports ansd start flying out those who are without transportation and means, those who are ill or homebound...

How many can fit in those huge planes, and how many planes would be needed. If they did it right, with planes landing and taking off every 20 minutes, it might help a bit, if they can get people to the airport....

[NautiNurse]

If she makes landfall SE Louisiana Monday morning--that's high tide. Grand Isle and Terrebonne Bay high tides are 7:20AM, and 8:28AM respectively.

[TheLion]

[rwfromkansas]

making a bad problem even worse.

Wow. This could shape up to be a tremendous disaster and make Andrew look like nothing.

[Diddle E. Squat]

Above the Royal Gorge in Colorado. 1,000 feet down, don't fall off!

[chemicalman]

Guess the tides won't matter with a Cat 5 storm...lol

I remember our neighbor next to our camp in Grand Isle that lived there telling the story of how H Betsy destroyed everything there except for 2 camps. And one of them was next door to our camp. He said he found his refridgerator 12 miles away.
Many, many other stories about Betsy.

[dawn53]

Nope.

Those are big rats, right? (am I'm not talking DemocRATS, LOL.)

[gov_bean_ counter]

Imagine a 15 lb rat.

[Iowa Granny]

All of the major evacuation routes have turned into parking lots.

FNC keeps showing I-10; it's flowing at a snails pace. No wonder people don't want to evacuate. Anyone who doesn't load up and leave early isn't going to make it out.

Bizzare. Can someone shed some light onto WHY the traffic is moving so slowly? I can understand the left lane being sluggish due to absorbing incoming traffic, and other lanes being slowed by merging traffic, but it looks to be nearly a standstill. It certainly explains the reservations people have about being caught in their cars.

I've driven that road a couple of times and can't remember how many lanes there are,,, thinking at least 4, maybe 5.

When this is over, LA residents should storm the Captiol and DEMAND a revision of evacuation plans.

[NautiNurse]

I think those rats are big enough to eat cats.

[Diddle E. Squat]

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200512_5day.html

4pm central projected track remains the same, NO.

[Dog Gone]

If she makes landfall SE Louisiana Monday morning--that's high tide.

Wonderful. Add another foot or so to the floodwaters in New Orleans.

I wonder where the Saints will play their home games for the next couple of months.

[janetjanet998]

the sad thing they went through this with ivan last year and should of learned..
they waited too long!!!!!!!

[NRA2BFree]

My niece is the Human Resource director for Shell Oil Company in New Orleans, where she lives with her family. My brother (her dad) retired from the Federal Government in Sacramento, CA and moved to Mobile, AL where he built a home. Last year was their second year for hurricane season. My sister-in-law was griping about the humidity, but now she doesn't even talk about it. LOL

[NautiNurse]

You are seeing three lanes of traffic trying to accommodate an evacuation of over 1 million people. They will open the other direction to outbound traffic very soon.

[steve86]

Not to mention that Amtrak has a major base of operation in NO, with spare equipment, that could have been planned to commandeer and run shuttle evacuee trains

Good thought. Empty freight cars can carry loads of people. Actually, my only time in NO was passing through on a train, but it was a passenger route, not the hobo variety. Prayers especially for the poor, sick, and disadvantaged.

[PacesPaines]

After listening to Gov. Blanco... IMO in her previous life she must have been Miss Manners!

Maybe not too far off <g>  Gov. Blanco is a member of the same national college sorority as Washington's Gov. Christine Gregoire.

No kidding.  You'll have to scroll down the page to find them, but according to her bio there, Gov. Blanco is a former HS business teacher.

<banging head on desk and crawling away in shame because I happen to be member of the same sorority... aaaarrrrgghhh>

[chemicalman]

Well, I'm out for now. Headed home, boarding up, taking my boat with me to work in the morning, and then with me when I evacuate work. I know insurance is only going pay the loan off on the new boat....and in case I need to go up the Miss with it..lol

Y'all be safe.

[Types_with_Fist]

I wonder where the Saints will play their home games for the next couple of months.

I was just talking to my son about this. I'd say -- with a direct hit at Cat4 or Cat5 -- the Aints won't have any home games for a couple of months, as the water should be halfway up the Lodge Level in the Dome.

[NautiNurse]

Add another foot or so to the floodwaters in New Orleans.

Terrebonne Bay high tide is +1.2ft. Grand Isle is +1.5.